Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 22, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Blazers	28%	113	112	108.7	103	100.1
	3	Nuggets	72%	121	128	126.7	101	104.0

Prediction updated: Mar 22, 2026 08:36 PM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+17

-10

110

DEN

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.4%

DEN

1.32 66.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.9	23	55%	6	14	0	0	3	3	2	4	7-8	88%	5-10	50%	2-7	29%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	30.2	16	89%	5	2	0	0	1	2	2	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Jrue Holiday #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 36	28.9	9	35%	3	3	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-10	20%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	25.4	18	69%	13	1	0	0	2	1	4	9	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	19.3	7	39%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	27.1	13	43%	3	2	0	0	1	5	1	2	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	25.2	3	25%	3	1	3	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	18.9	16	80%	5	1	0	0	0	0	3	2	0-1	0%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	17.8	2	25%	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	10.6	2	33%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jayson Kent #29 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	3.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Youngblood #11 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	51%	45	31	5	0	10	16	14	31	12-16	75%	26-47	55%	16-50	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.9	23	55%	6	14	0	0	3	3	2	4	7-8	88%	5-10	50%	2-7	29%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	30.2	16	89%	5	2	0	0	1	2	2	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Jrue Holiday #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 36	28.9	9	35%	3	3	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-10	20%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	25.4	18	69%	13	1	0	0	2	1	4	9	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	19.3	7	39%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	27.1	13	43%	3	2	0	0	1	5	1	2	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	25.2	3	25%	3	1	3	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	18.9	16	80%	5	1	0	0	0	0	3	2	0-1	0%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	17.8	2	25%	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	10.6	2	33%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jayson Kent #29 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	3.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Youngblood #11 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	51%	45	31	5	0	10	16	14	31	12-16	75%	26-47	55%	16-50	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	35.1	22	61%	14	14	2	1	5	3	3	11	0-0	-	8-10	80%	2-8	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	30.8	22	61%	2	7	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	4-9	44%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	29.0	15	83%	6	2	0	0	1	2	0	6	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	28.4	12	75%	3	4	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	27.7	19	95%	2	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-7	71%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	25.9	13	72%	3	3	0	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	22.0	6	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	3-3	100%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	19.9	14	50%	6	3	0	0	0	3	0	6	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	11.4	5	83%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	G League - Two-Way
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	66%	42	37	6	3	11	19	5	37	12-13	92%	31-44	70%	18-46	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.4%

DEN

1.32 66.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

69%

DEN

79%

Midrange

POR

38%

DEN

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

24.0

32%

48%

DEN

27.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

POR

75%

DEN

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	23	55%	11.5 / 21
D. Clingan	18	69%	9.0 / 13
T. Camara	16	89%	8.0 / 9
R. Williams	16	80%	8.0 / 10
S. Henderson	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. Holiday	9	35%	4.5 / 13
S. Cissoko	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Thybulle	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Kent	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Murray	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Wesley	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Murray	22	61%	11.0 / 18
C. Johnson	19	95%	9.5 / 10
C. Braun	15	83%	7.5 / 9
P. Watson	14	50%	7.0 / 14
B. Brown	13	72%	6.5 / 9
A. Gordon	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Hardaway	6	50%	3.0 / 6
S. Jones	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 1 121.3	POR 108.7 DEN 126.7 +18.0
Pace	8 101.6 19 99.4	POR 100.1 DEN 104.0 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 9 14.7	POR 14.4 DEN 13.8 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 1 57.7%	POR 51.5% DEN 64.4% +12.9%
TO %	30 16.1% 3 12.1%	POR 9.6% −0.7% DEN 10.3%
ORB %	2 31.3% 24 23.6%	POR 27.5% +13.6% DEN 13.9%
FTrt	9 28.0 4 29.4	POR 16.5 +2.1 DEN 14.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 9 66.5%	POR 73.8% DEN 75.5% +1.7%
STL %	20 8.1% 30 6.8%	POR 4.9% DEN 5.9% +1.0%
BLK %	8 10.1% 29 7.6%	POR 0.0% DEN 6.4% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 1 60.1%	POR 51.4% DEN 66.0% +14.6%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 12 65.1%	POR 69.2% DEN 79.2% +10.0%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 2 47.0%	POR 38.1% DEN 60.0% +21.9%
3P %	28 34.2% 1 39.6%	POR 32.0% DEN 39.1% +7.1%
FT %	24 76.5% 5 80.8%	POR 75.0% DEN 92.3% +17.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 19 31.1%	POR 26.8% +0.1% DEN 26.7%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 21 28.1%	POR 21.6% −0.6% DEN 22.2%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 17 40.8%	POR 51.5% +0.4% DEN 51.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	112	128
Rebounds	45	42
Assists	31	37
Steals	5	6
Blocks	0	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	16	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	37 (4)
Field Goals	42-97	49-90
At-the-Rim FG	18-26	19-24
Midrange FG	8-21	12-20
2-Point FG	26-47	31-44
3-Point FG	16-50	18-46
Free Throws	12-16	12-13
Fast Break Pts	9	27
2nd Chance Pts	14	8
Points in Paint	46	54
Pts off Turnovers	13	14
Bench Points	39	38
Biggest Lead	0	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg