Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 23, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Grizzlies	25%	112	107	103.9	103	112.3
	17	Hawks	75%	120	146	140.4	104	96.0

Prediction updated: Mar 23, 2026 11:32 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+15

-21

ATL

+13

-11

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.10 55.2%

ATL

1.38 68.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	30.2	26	81%	3	0	0	0	4	1	0	3	6-6	100%	7-9	78%	2-5	40%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	30.1	0	0%	5	2	0	0	3	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	25.1	8	40%	3	1	4	0	2	3	3	0	4-6	67%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	23.9	17	53%	1	4	2	1	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	20.3	4	50%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Tyler Burton #5 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	28.5	20	71%	8	1	1	0	1	0	2	6	7-7	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	28.3	16	53%	1	6	1	1	4	1	0	1	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	4-12	33%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	26.3	9	50%	4	0	0	2	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	21.6	7	58%	6	4	1	0	3	4	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	34	20	9	4	21	20	6	28	23-26	88%	21-40	53%	14-43	33%

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26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	30.2	26	81%	3	0	0	0	4	1	0	3	6-6	100%	7-9	78%	2-5	40%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	30.1	0	0%	5	2	0	0	3	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	25.1	8	40%	3	1	4	0	2	3	3	0	4-6	67%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	23.9	17	53%	1	4	2	1	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	20.3	4	50%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Tyler Burton #5 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	28.5	20	71%	8	1	1	0	1	0	2	6	7-7	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	28.3	16	53%	1	6	1	1	4	1	0	1	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	4-12	33%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	26.3	9	50%	4	0	0	2	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	21.6	7	58%	6	4	1	0	3	4	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	34	20	9	4	21	20	6	28	23-26	88%	21-40	53%	14-43	33%

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17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	25.7	26	100%	2	6	1	0	0	3	1	1	6-6	100%	4-5	80%	4-6	67%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	24.1	12	75%	5	4	1	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	22.4	3	38%	4	3	2	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	22.0	15	63%	4	9	1	0	2	1	3	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	20.1	16	73%	5	2	2	1	1	2	2	3	6-8	75%	5-5	100%	0-2	0%

Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	26.1	11	61%	8	0	2	2	0	3	2	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	20.6	11	55%	4	2	0	2	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	19.7	16	100%	5	3	1	0	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	15.9	11	61%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	15.5	5	50%	2	2	1	0	3	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	8.0	9	113%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	6.6	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	3-3	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	6.6	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	6.6	6	60%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	69%	44	37	12	6	11	19	12	32	23-25	92%	24-38	63%	25-54	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ATL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.10 55.2%

ATL

1.38 68.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

56%

ATL

77%

Midrange

MEM

46%

ATL

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

21.0

33%

49%

ATL

37.5

46%

69%

Free Throws

MEM

88%

ATL

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Jackson	26	81%	13.0 / 16
T. Burton	20	71%	10.0 / 14
T. Jerome	17	53%	8.5 / 16
W. Clayton	16	53%	8.0 / 15
T. Hendricks	9	50%	4.5 / 9
O. Prosper	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Jarreau	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Wells	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Rupert	0	-	0.0 / 3
T. Gibson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	26	100%	13.0 / 13
O. Okongwu	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Kuminga	16	100%	8.0 / 8
C. McCollum	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Daniels	12	75%	6.0 / 8
Z. Risacher	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Landale	11	55%	5.5 / 10
C. Kispert	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Wallace	9	113%	4.5 / 4
C. Houstan	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Vincent	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Gueye	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Hield	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Koloko	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 14 115.1	MEM 103.9 ATL 140.4 +36.5
Pace	7 101.8 4 102.5	MEM 112.3 +16.3 ATL 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 29 13.5	MEM 12.8 −2.2 ATL 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 10 55.4%	MEM 50.6% ATL 66.8% +16.2%
TO %	22 14.3% 8 13.0%	MEM 19.6% ATL 9.6% −10.0%
ORB %	19 24.7% 20 24.3%	MEM 15.8% ATL 30.0% +14.2%
FTrt	21 25.1 27 23.4	MEM 31.3 +4.1 ATL 27.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 4 69.1%	MEM 57.1% ATL 75.5% +18.4%
STL %	11 8.7% 6 9.1%	MEM 8.7% ATL 11.5% +2.8%
BLK %	14 9.1% 18 8.8%	MEM 10.5% ATL 15.0% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 14 56.9%	MEM 55.2% ATL 68.9% +13.7%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 21 63.3%	MEM 55.6% ATL 76.9% +21.3%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 6 44.6%	MEM 46.2% +12.9% ATL 33.3%
3P %	22 35.3% 5 37.1%	MEM 32.6% ATL 46.3% +13.7%
FT %	9 79.3% 20 77.4%	MEM 88.5% ATL 92.0% +3.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 13 32.1%	MEM 32.5% +4.3% ATL 28.3%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 9 25.0%	MEM 15.7% ATL 13.0% −2.6%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 11 42.9%	MEM 51.8% ATL 58.7% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	ATL
Possessions	103	104
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	107	146
Rebounds	34	44
Assists	20	37
Steals	9	12
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	21 (2)	11 (0)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (9)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	32 (3)
Field Goals	35-83	49-92
At-the-Rim FG	15-27	20-26
Midrange FG	6-13	4-12
2-Point FG	21-40	24-38
3-Point FG	14-43	25-54
Free Throws	23-26	23-25
Fast Break Pts	20	26
2nd Chance Pts	11	19
Points in Paint	40	48
Pts off Turnovers	12	39
Bench Points	52	74
Biggest Lead	5	44

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg