Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 23, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	89%	117	123	121.8	101	94.8
	25	76ers	11%	101	103	103.0	100	107.0

Prediction updated: Mar 23, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+12

-15

PHI

+17

-16

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.27 63.4%

PHI

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	29.9	17	71%	9	4	0	5	1	0	1	8	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-4	75%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	29.1	22	79%	5	5	1	2	5	2	0	5	3-3	100%	8-9	89%	1-4	25%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	22.1	2	20%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	21.8	10	71%	12	5	1	1	3	1	5	7	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 25	20.4	18	60%	4	6	0	0	3	3	2	2	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%

Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	25.4	13	59%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 22	22.3	5	50%	1	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	18.8	18	113%	8	4	0	1	1	2	0	8	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	5-7	71%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	18.6	9	64%	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	15.6	4	67%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	10.7	5	63%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	1.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	NWT - League Suspension
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Payton Sandfort #14 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	63%	48	33	6	10	15	15	11	37	9-10	90%	30-49	61%	18-41	44%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	29.9	17	71%	9	4	0	5	1	0	1	8	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-4	75%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	29.1	22	79%	5	5	1	2	5	2	0	5	3-3	100%	8-9	89%	1-4	25%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	22.1	2	20%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	21.8	10	71%	12	5	1	1	3	1	5	7	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 25	20.4	18	60%	4	6	0	0	3	3	2	2	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%

Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	25.4	13	59%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 22	22.3	5	50%	1	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	18.8	18	113%	8	4	0	1	1	2	0	8	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	5-7	71%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	18.6	9	64%	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	15.6	4	67%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	10.7	5	63%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	1.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	NWT - League Suspension
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Payton Sandfort #14 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	63%	48	33	6	10	15	15	11	37	9-10	90%	30-49	61%	18-41	44%

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25 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	39.5	35	63%	6	4	1	0	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	7-13	54%	7-15	47%
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 25	31.8	13	36%	6	2	2	0	5	0	3	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	3-11	27%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	25.7	3	38%	5	3	1	2	1	1	3	2	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	24.8	8	57%	1	2	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	19.4	0	0%	7	4	1	1	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	25.9	10	45%	2	6	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	22.1	15	63%	6	4	0	0	3	1	1	5	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	18.5	6	100%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	18.3	7	50%	2	1	2	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	10.3	4	40%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	3.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Tendon Strain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - League Suspension \| NWT
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	44	29	10	3	16	12	12	32	4-9	44%	24-48	50%	17-46	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.27 63.4%

PHI

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

69%

PHI

57%

Midrange

OKC

47%

PHI

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

27.0

44%

66%

PHI

25.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

OKC

90%

PHI

44%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	22	79%	11.0 / 14
J. Williams	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Williams	18	113%	9.0 / 8
C. Holmgren	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. McCain	13	59%	6.5 / 11
I. Hartenstein	10	71%	5.0 / 7
I. Joe	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Wallace	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Wiggins	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Caruso	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Dort	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2
B. Carlson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Edgecombe	35	63%	17.5 / 28
T. Watford	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Beauchamp	13	36%	6.5 / 18
C. Payne	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Edwards	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Terry	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Drummond	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Walker	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Bona	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Martin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Barlow	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 16 114.4	OKC 121.8 +18.8 PHI 103.0
Pace	15 100.3 16 100.3	OKC 94.8 PHI 107.0 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 11 14.6	OKC 15.2 PHI 13.5 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 25 53.0%	OKC 63.3% +10.6% PHI 52.7%
TO %	1 11.8% 6 12.8%	OKC 13.7% −1.8% PHI 15.5%
ORB %	28 22.3% 11 26.2%	OKC 25.6% +1.1% PHI 24.5%
FTrt	17 26.1 11 27.5	OKC 11.1 +1.5 PHI 9.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 28 58.9%	OKC 68.8% PHI 70.7% +1.9%
STL %	4 9.6% 7 9.0%	OKC 5.9% PHI 10.0% +4.1%
BLK %	2 11.0% 3 10.9%	OKC 20.8% +14.7% PHI 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 21 55.9%	OKC 63.4% +12.4% PHI 51.0%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 27 62.1%	OKC 68.8% +11.7% PHI 57.1%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 23 41.8%	OKC 47.1% +7.1% PHI 40.0%
3P %	9 36.5% 23 34.9%	OKC 43.9% +6.9% PHI 37.0%
FT %	3 81.7% 4 80.9%	OKC 90.0% +45.6% PHI 44.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 6 35.0%	OKC 35.6% +5.8% PHI 29.8%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 13 25.9%	OKC 18.9% −2.4% PHI 21.3%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 23 39.1%	OKC 45.6% PHI 48.9% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	PHI
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	123	103
Rebounds	48	44
Assists	33	29
Steals	6	10
Blocks	10	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	15	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	32 (0)
Field Goals	48-90	41-94
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	16-28
Midrange FG	8-17	8-20
2-Point FG	30-49	24-48
3-Point FG	18-41	17-46
Free Throws	9-10	4-9
Fast Break Pts	9	21
2nd Chance Pts	16	17
Points in Paint	52	40
Pts off Turnovers	29	23
Bench Points	54	44
Biggest Lead	24	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg