Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 23, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Rockets	73%	117	124	113.8	109	109.7
	23	Bulls	27%	109	132	121.1	109	108.3

Prediction updated: Mar 23, 2026 11:36 PM

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+10

-17

102

CHI

+11

-14

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.23 61.4%

CHI

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 37	39.7	40	77%	7	5	0	0	4	1	1	6	5-8	63%	10-13	77%	5-10	50%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	39.3	23	77%	3	1	2	2	2	5	1	2	7-9	78%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	37.4	33	87%	13	10	2	2	2	4	2	11	0-3	0%	15-17	88%	1-2	50%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	36.3	13	38%	5	6	2	2	4	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-14	21%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · SF · 6'11" 220 · 23	34.2	6	30%	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	5	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-7	14%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	21.1	3	50%	1	3	2	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	14.3	4	33%	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	7.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	4.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 28	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	61%	41	27	8	7	17	18	8	33	15-24	63%	38-51	75%	11-41	27%

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10 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 37	39.7	40	77%	7	5	0	0	4	1	1	6	5-8	63%	10-13	77%	5-10	50%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	39.3	23	77%	3	1	2	2	2	5	1	2	7-9	78%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	37.4	33	87%	13	10	2	2	2	4	2	11	0-3	0%	15-17	88%	1-2	50%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	36.3	13	38%	5	6	2	2	4	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-14	21%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · SF · 6'11" 220 · 23	34.2	6	30%	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	5	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-7	14%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	21.1	3	50%	1	3	2	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	14.3	4	33%	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	7.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	4.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 28	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	61%	41	27	8	7	17	18	8	33	15-24	63%	38-51	75%	11-41	27%

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23 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	38.7	15	50%	7	13	2	1	2	2	0	7	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	3-8	38%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 21	34.8	23	68%	4	1	0	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	5-9	56%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	28.1	15	58%	5	6	2	0	1	2	0	5	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	26.4	11	55%	8	0	0	1	0	4	1	7	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 26	25.8	15	94%	6	2	0	2	3	4	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-5	60%

Collin Sexton #2 · SF · 6'3" 190 · 27	25.9	25	78%	4	2	3	0	2	1	2	2	9-10	90%	2-7	29%	4-7	57%
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	23.3	17	71%	9	3	0	0	1	1	2	7	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	18.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	18.3	9	64%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	63%	45	30	8	4	14	21	7	38	23-28	82%	26-52	50%	19-38	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.23 61.4%

CHI

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

72%

CHI

42%

Midrange

HOU

77%

CHI

71%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

16.5

27%

40%

CHI

28.5

50%

75%

Free Throws

HOU

63%

CHI

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	40	77%	20.0 / 26
A. Sengun	33	87%	16.5 / 19
A. Thompson	23	77%	11.5 / 15
R. Sheppard	13	38%	6.5 / 17
J. Smith	6	30%	3.0 / 10
T. Eason	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Holiday	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Capela	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Finney-Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Okogie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Sexton	25	78%	12.5 / 16
M. Buzelis	23	68%	11.5 / 17
L. Miller	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Giddey	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Jones	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Smith	15	94%	7.5 / 8
N. Richards	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Dillingham	9	64%	4.5 / 7
P. Williams	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 25 112.2	HOU 113.8 CHI 121.1 +7.3
Pace	29 96.9 3 103.3	HOU 109.7 +1.4 CHI 108.3
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 28 13.6	HOU 13.1 −0.2 CHI 13.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 14 54.7%	HOU 59.2% CHI 60.6% +1.4%
TO %	25 14.7% 20 14.1%	HOU 14.2% CHI 13.5% −0.7%
ORB %	1 34.8% 27 23.1%	HOU 17.4% CHI 17.5% +0.1%
FTrt	18 26.0 22 24.6	HOU 26.1 CHI 31.1 +5.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 7 67.2%	HOU 55.1% CHI 66.7% +11.6%
STL %	9 8.7% 26 7.4%	HOU 7.3% CHI 7.3%
BLK %	4 10.9% 15 9.0%	HOU 13.5% +5.7% CHI 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 17 56.5%	HOU 61.4% CHI 62.9% +1.5%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 30 61.4%	HOU 72.4% +30.3% CHI 42.1%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 15 43.7%	HOU 77.3% +5.9% CHI 71.4%
3P %	10 36.4% 19 35.6%	HOU 26.8% CHI 50.0% +23.2%
FT %	25 76.3% 18 77.6%	HOU 62.5% CHI 82.1% +19.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 3 38.2%	HOU 31.5% CHI 42.2% +10.7%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 1 17.5%	HOU 23.9% CHI 15.6% −8.4%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 8 44.3%	HOU 44.6% +2.3% CHI 42.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	HOU	CHI
Possessions	109	109
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	124	132
Rebounds	41	45
Assists	27	30
Steals	8	8
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	38 (2)
Field Goals	49-92	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	16-38
Midrange FG	17-22	10-14
2-Point FG	38-51	26-52
3-Point FG	11-41	19-38
Free Throws	15-24	23-28
Fast Break Pts	18	8
2nd Chance Pts	11	12
Points in Paint	62	48
Pts off Turnovers	17	16
Bench Points	9	53
Biggest Lead	4	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg