Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 23, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Raptors	61%	113	143	131.2	109	112.7
	24	Jazz	39%	110	127	115.5	110	106.5

Prediction updated: Mar 24, 2026 01:03 AM

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

-15

103

UTA

+15

-15

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.39 69.4%

UTA

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	32.2	23	72%	4	2	5	1	0	2	0	4	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	28.6	7	50%	1	15	0	0	2	5	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 22	28.1	21	105%	5	2	1	1	1	5	2	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	6-8	75%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	27.4	20	91%	7	10	1	1	4	4	1	6	3-3	100%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	24.7	27	75%	2	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	3-7	43%	6-10	60%	4-5	80%

Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	27.6	13	54%	3	6	1	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	22.7	17	85%	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	17.1	9	64%	4	1	1	5	2	5	1	3	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 28	16.0	2	20%	0	5	2	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	8.9	4	100%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	6.8	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0-4	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Inflammation
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower back strain - injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	143	69%	35	49	12	10	15	30	6	29	15-28	54%	34-51	67%	20-37	54%

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20 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	32.2	23	72%	4	2	5	1	0	2	0	4	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	28.6	7	50%	1	15	0	0	2	5	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 22	28.1	21	105%	5	2	1	1	1	5	2	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	6-8	75%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	27.4	20	91%	7	10	1	1	4	4	1	6	3-3	100%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	24.7	27	75%	2	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	3-7	43%	6-10	60%	4-5	80%

Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	27.6	13	54%	3	6	1	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	22.7	17	85%	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	17.1	9	64%	4	1	1	5	2	5	1	3	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 28	16.0	2	20%	0	5	2	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	8.9	4	100%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	6.8	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0-4	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Inflammation
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower back strain - injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	143	69%	35	49	12	10	15	30	6	29	15-28	54%	34-51	67%	20-37	54%

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24 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ace Bailey #19 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 20	35.2	37	74%	6	3	0	2	0	3	1	5	8-8	100%	4-11	36%	7-10	70%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	32.1	9	41%	2	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	5-8	63%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Bez Mbeng #21 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 23	30.9	3	38%	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	29.5	6	27%	8	4	1	1	4	3	1	7	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
John Konchar #55 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 30	23.1	19	106%	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	8-8	100%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%

Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	31.4	24	57%	5	1	1	0	6	3	1	4	5-5	100%	8-10	80%	1-9	11%
Kennedy Chandler #0 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 24	29.4	13	59%	5	9	3	0	2	3	0	5	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	28.4	16	73%	7	2	1	2	1	3	3	4	4-6	67%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury management
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	58%	39	25	9	6	15	19	9	30	36-43	84%	26-47	55%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.39 69.4%

UTA

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

84%

UTA

67%

Midrange

TOR

40%

UTA

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

30.0

54%

81%

UTA

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

TOR

54%

UTA

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	27	75%	13.5 / 18
S. Mamukelashvili	23	72%	11.5 / 16
J. Walter	21	105%	10.5 / 10
S. Barnes	20	91%	10.0 / 11
J. Battle	17	85%	8.5 / 10
G. Dick	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. Murray-Boyles	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Shead	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Mogbo	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Fultz	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Jackson-Davis	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bailey	37	74%	18.5 / 25
B. Sensabaugh	24	57%	12.0 / 21
J. Konchar	19	106%	9.5 / 9
O. Tshiebwe	16	73%	8.0 / 11
K. Chandler	13	59%	6.5 / 11
E. Harkless	9	41%	4.5 / 11
K. Filipowski	6	27%	3.0 / 11
B. Mbeng	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 115.1 22 112.9	TOR 131.2 +15.7 UTA 115.5
Pace	22 99.1 2 103.4	TOR 112.7 +6.1 UTA 106.5
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.1 27 13.8	TOR 12.8 −0.7 UTA 13.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.6% 20 53.6%	TOR 72.7% +17.9% UTA 54.8%
TO %	7 12.9% 23 14.4%	TOR 14.5% −0.5% UTA 15.0%
ORB %	16 25.5% 12 26.2%	TOR 16.7% UTA 23.7% +7.0%
FTrt	16 26.5 10 27.7	TOR 31.8 UTA 51.8 +20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 69.2% 2 69.6%	TOR 90.7% +26.6% UTA 64.1%
STL %	8 8.8% 14 8.5%	TOR 11.0% +2.8% UTA 8.2%
BLK %	12 9.6% 30 7.5%	TOR 21.3% +9.5% UTA 11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.6% 18 56.4%	TOR 69.4% +11.1% UTA 58.3%
Rim FG%	6 66.5% 17 64.5%	TOR 83.9% +17.2% UTA 66.7%
Mid FG%	16 43.7% 8 44.4%	TOR 40.0% UTA 43.5% +3.5%
3P %	21 35.4% 25 34.5%	TOR 54.1% +18.0% UTA 36.1%
FT %	22 76.9% 13 78.6%	TOR 53.6% UTA 83.7% +30.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 32.9% 17 31.3%	TOR 35.2% +6.3% UTA 28.9%
Mid Att. %	27 30.7% 23 28.4%	TOR 22.7% −5.0% UTA 27.7%
3P Att. %	25 36.3% 21 40.3%	TOR 42.0% UTA 43.4% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	UTA
Possessions	109	110
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	143	127
Rebounds	35	39
Assists	49	25
Steals	12	9
Blocks	10	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	15 (3)
Fouls	30	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (4)	30 (2)
Field Goals	54-88	39-83
At-the-Rim FG	26-31	16-24
Midrange FG	8-20	10-23
2-Point FG	34-51	26-47
3-Point FG	20-37	13-36
Free Throws	15-28	36-43
Fast Break Pts	25	25
2nd Chance Pts	4	15
Points in Paint	60	46
Pts off Turnovers	25	24
Bench Points	45	53
Biggest Lead	35	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg