Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 23, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Warriors	60%	113	137	119.1	115	99.2
	21	Mavericks	40%	110	131	115.9	113	107.7

Prediction updated: Mar 24, 2026 01:34 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+24

-24

115

DAL

-21

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.19 59.6%

DAL

1.32 66.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	40.5	20	63%	10	6	1	1	3	1	5	5	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	2-6	33%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	38.5	11	46%	7	6	3	0	6	3	2	5	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-5	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	34.2	23	52%	3	3	3	2	2	4	1	2	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	4-11	36%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	29.2	22	55%	7	5	1	0	2	3	2	5	6-7	86%	5-11	45%	2-6	33%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	22.5	0	0%	6	5	3	0	7	3	2	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-3	0%

Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	35.2	16	62%	6	5	2	1	3	3	3	3	6-8	75%	5-5	100%	0-5	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	21.4	17	106%	4	3	2	0	0	3	1	3	0-1	0%	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	19.0	14	100%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	12.4	2	50%	2	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	12.0	12	120%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-4	100%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	137	60%	49	39	16	4	24	25	17	32	18-24	75%	34-54	63%	17-47	36%

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15 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	40.5	20	63%	10	6	1	1	3	1	5	5	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	2-6	33%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	38.5	11	46%	7	6	3	0	6	3	2	5	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-5	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	34.2	23	52%	3	3	3	2	2	4	1	2	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	4-11	36%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	29.2	22	55%	7	5	1	0	2	3	2	5	6-7	86%	5-11	45%	2-6	33%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	22.5	0	0%	6	5	3	0	7	3	2	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-3	0%

Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	35.2	16	62%	6	5	2	1	3	3	3	3	6-8	75%	5-5	100%	0-5	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	21.4	17	106%	4	3	2	0	0	3	1	3	0-1	0%	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	19.0	14	100%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	12.4	2	50%	2	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	12.0	12	120%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-4	100%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	137	60%	49	39	16	4	24	25	17	32	18-24	75%	34-54	63%	17-47	36%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	41.6	32	73%	4	9	2	0	7	4	1	3	6-6	100%	10-15	67%	2-4	50%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	35.4	16	53%	6	7	1	0	8	2	1	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	34.1	9	50%	3	2	3	0	0	1	0	3	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	33.3	15	94%	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-5	60%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	31.5	20	83%	7	5	1	1	0	3	2	5	4-8	50%	8-8	100%	0-0	-

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	27.6	15	75%	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	5-9	56%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	16.6	4	29%	1	5	2	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	14.5	9	90%	0	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	12.2	2	33%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	11.9	9	90%	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	6.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	131	66%	26	37	13	3	21	23	5	21	13-20	65%	35-51	69%	16-36	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.19 59.6%

DAL

1.32 66.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

72%

DAL

88%

Midrange

GSW

44%

DAL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

25.5

36%

54%

DAL

24.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

GSW

75%

DAL

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Moody	23	52%	11.5 / 22
K. Porziņģis	22	55%	11.0 / 20
B. Podziemski	20	63%	10.0 / 16
G. Payton	17	106%	8.5 / 8
G. Santos	16	62%	8.0 / 13
L. Cryer	14	100%	7.0 / 7
W. Richard	12	120%	6.0 / 5
D. Green	11	46%	5.5 / 12
P. Spencer	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Melton	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	32	73%	16.0 / 22
D. Gafford	20	83%	10.0 / 12
N. Marshall	16	53%	8.0 / 15
M. Christie	15	94%	7.5 / 8
K. Thompson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
P. Washington	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Bagley	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Poulakidas	9	90%	4.5 / 5
R. Nembhard	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Middleton	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 27 110.4	GSW 119.1 +3.2 DAL 115.9
Pace	18 99.9 6 102.5	GSW 99.2 DAL 107.7 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 24 14.0	GSW 14.5 DAL 13.4 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 28 52.7%	GSW 58.9% DAL 67.8% +8.9%
TO %	28 14.9% 13 13.5%	GSW 17.7% −1.7% DAL 19.4%
ORB %	14 25.8% 26 23.2%	GSW 44.7% +31.2% DAL 13.5%
FTrt	24 23.8 6 28.7	GSW 23.8 +0.8 DAL 23.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 22 60.4%	GSW 76.5% +4.0% DAL 72.5%
STL %	3 9.6% 27 7.3%	GSW 13.9% +2.4% DAL 11.5%
BLK %	27 8.0% 16 9.0%	GSW 7.8% +2.2% DAL 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 28 55.2%	GSW 59.6% DAL 66.2% +6.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 22 63.2%	GSW 72.2% DAL 88.0% +15.8%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 18 43.1%	GSW 44.4% DAL 50.0% +5.6%
3P %	20 35.6% 26 34.4%	GSW 36.2% DAL 44.4% +8.2%
FT %	6 80.7% 28 75.5%	GSW 75.0% +10.0% DAL 65.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 12 32.8%	GSW 35.6% +6.9% DAL 28.7%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 28 31.7%	GSW 17.8% −12.1% DAL 29.9%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 26 35.5%	GSW 46.5% +5.2% DAL 41.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	DAL
Possessions	115	113
Possession Minutes	27.8	25.2
Points	137	131
Rebounds	49	26
Assists	39	37
Steals	16	13
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	24 (0)	21 (2)
Fouls	25	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (7)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	21 (6)
Field Goals	51-101	51-87
At-the-Rim FG	26-36	22-25
Midrange FG	8-18	13-26
2-Point FG	34-54	35-51
3-Point FG	17-47	16-36
Free Throws	18-24	13-20
Fast Break Pts	13	23
2nd Chance Pts	23	8
Points in Paint	62	62
Pts off Turnovers	29	30
Bench Points	61	39
Biggest Lead	11	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg