Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Kings	12%	110	90	90.9	99	95.3
	5	Hornets	88%	126	134	138.1	97	100.8

Prediction updated: Mar 24, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-12

CHA

+19

-13

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 45.9%

CHA

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Carter #22 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 24	34.1	18	60%	3	3	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	3-5	60%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 28	29.9	7	25%	3	14	1	0	0	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	0-3	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	29.5	16	50%	7	0	0	0	2	1	0	7	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	28.8	7	32%	4	5	0	0	2	0	1	3	1-3	33%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 23	27.7	5	42%	4	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	36.2	22	65%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	3-8	38%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	29.8	9	56%	1	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	23.9	6	38%	11	1	0	1	3	5	7	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	35	27	4	3	12	15	10	25	7-11	64%	28-63	44%	9-28	32%

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26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Carter #22 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 24	34.1	18	60%	3	3	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	3-5	60%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 28	29.9	7	25%	3	14	1	0	0	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	0-3	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	29.5	16	50%	7	0	0	0	2	1	0	7	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	28.8	7	32%	4	5	0	0	2	0	1	3	1-3	33%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 23	27.7	5	42%	4	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	36.2	22	65%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	3-8	38%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	29.8	9	56%	1	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	23.9	6	38%	11	1	0	1	3	5	7	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	35	27	4	3	12	15	10	25	7-11	64%	28-63	44%	9-28	32%

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5 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	27.2	13	43%	3	6	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-10	30%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	24.1	17	85%	11	2	1	2	1	0	5	6	5-7	71%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	24.0	9	50%	8	4	0	0	2	2	1	7	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 25	23.3	20	63%	6	8	2	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	6-13	46%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	20.6	14	58%	4	3	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	4-7	57%

Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	22.1	6	75%	4	1	0	2	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	21.1	8	57%	4	1	1	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	18.4	27	104%	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	6-8	75%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	17.0	6	75%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	16.8	0	0%	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	10.3	7	88%	6	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	7.5	6	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	7.5	1	25%	3	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tosan Evbuomwan #8 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	64%	57	32	7	5	13	16	12	45	12-16	75%	22-39	56%	26-55	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	CHA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 45.9%

CHA

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

53%

CHA

69%

Midrange

SAC

36%

CHA

20%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

13.5

32%

48%

CHA

39.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

SAC

64%

CHA

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Plowden	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. Carter	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Raynaud	16	50%	8.0 / 16
D. McDermott	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Monk	7	25%	3.5 / 14
D. DeRozan	7	32%	3.5 / 11
D. Cardwell	6	38%	3.0 / 8
P. Baldwin	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	27	104%	13.5 / 13
L. Ball	20	63%	10.0 / 16
M. Diabaté	17	85%	8.5 / 10
K. Knueppel	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Miller	13	43%	6.5 / 15
M. Bridges	9	50%	4.5 / 9
S. James	8	57%	4.0 / 7
L. McNeeley	7	88%	3.5 / 4
R. Kalkbrenner	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Green	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Mann	6	75%	3.0 / 4
X. Tillman	1	25%	0.5 / 2
G. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 5 118.6	SAC 90.9 CHA 138.1 +47.2
Pace	17 100.0 27 97.5	SAC 95.3 CHA 100.8 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 3 15.2	SAC 15.1 CHA 14.3 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 12 55.2%	SAC 45.6% CHA 64.9% +19.3%
TO %	15 13.7% 27 14.8%	SAC 11.1% −1.8% CHA 12.9%
ORB %	13 25.9% 4 30.5%	SAC 18.2% CHA 32.4% +14.2%
FTrt	19 25.6 23 24.4	SAC 12.1 CHA 17.0 +4.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 14 64.3%	SAC 73.0% +6.3% CHA 66.7%
STL %	21 8.0% 29 7.2%	SAC 4.0% CHA 7.2% +3.2%
BLK %	19 8.6% 20 8.6%	SAC 7.7% CHA 7.9% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 10 57.3%	SAC 45.9% CHA 64.4% +18.5%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 23 63.1%	SAC 53.3% CHA 69.0% +15.7%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 25 41.4%	SAC 36.4% +16.4% CHA 20.0%
3P %	29 34.1% 3 37.8%	SAC 32.1% CHA 47.3% +15.2%
FT %	21 77.2% 2 81.8%	SAC 63.6% CHA 75.0% +11.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 25 29.3%	SAC 33.0% +2.1% CHA 30.9%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 6 22.0%	SAC 36.3% CHA 10.6% −25.6%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 2 48.7%	SAC 30.8% CHA 58.5% +27.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	CHA
Possessions	99	97
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	90	134
Rebounds	35	57
Assists	27	32
Steals	4	7
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	45 (0)
Field Goals	37-91	48-94
At-the-Rim FG	16-30	20-29
Midrange FG	12-33	2-10
2-Point FG	28-63	22-39
3-Point FG	9-28	26-55
Free Throws	7-11	12-16
Fast Break Pts	17	21
2nd Chance Pts	6	30
Points in Paint	48	42
Pts off Turnovers	13	19
Bench Points	37	61
Biggest Lead	2	46

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg