Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Magic	21%	110	131	136.5	96	98.8
	3	Cavaliers	79%	121	136	141.7	96	93.3

Prediction updated: Mar 24, 2026 11:51 PM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+16

-9

103

CLE

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.27 63.6%

CLE

1.42 70.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	40.0	36	69%	6	5	1	1	5	4	1	5	13-15	87%	7-12	58%	3-7	43%
Desmond Bane #3 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 28	36.4	17	57%	7	3	2	0	2	4	2	5	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SG · 6'8" 217 · 25	36.0	18	69%	6	3	0	0	1	0	1	5	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	31.7	17	61%	6	3	0	0	0	1	5	1	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	29.2	15	75%	5	2	1	1	0	6	2	3	5-6	83%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%

Jevon Carter #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 31	27.5	15	63%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-9	33%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	16.1	5	63%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	13.6	4	67%	2	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	5.0	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	4.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Morales #30 · PG · 6'6" 180 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; High Ankle Sprain/Injury Management
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Abdominal; Left Lateral Strain
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| NA; Illness
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	64%	39	27	6	2	9	23	13	26	35-38	92%	27-45	60%	14-39	36%

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20 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	40.0	36	69%	6	5	1	1	5	4	1	5	13-15	87%	7-12	58%	3-7	43%
Desmond Bane #3 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 28	36.4	17	57%	7	3	2	0	2	4	2	5	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SG · 6'8" 217 · 25	36.0	18	69%	6	3	0	0	1	0	1	5	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	31.7	17	61%	6	3	0	0	0	1	5	1	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	29.2	15	75%	5	2	1	1	0	6	2	3	5-6	83%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%

Jevon Carter #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 31	27.5	15	63%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-9	33%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	16.1	5	63%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	13.6	4	67%	2	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	5.0	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	4.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Morales #30 · PG · 6'6" 180 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; High Ankle Sprain/Injury Management
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Abdominal; Left Lateral Strain
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| NA; Illness
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	64%	39	27	6	2	9	23	13	26	35-38	92%	27-45	60%	14-39	36%

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3 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	37.2	26	72%	3	7	1	1	2	4	0	3	6-7	86%	4-10	40%	4-6	67%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	34.7	42	78%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	11-11	100%	11-15	73%	3-7	43%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	32.9	19	68%	4	1	2	0	0	2	0	4	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	2-6	33%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	32.5	19	95%	9	6	0	1	3	4	3	6	3-4	75%	8-8	100%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	20.7	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	26.7	11	55%	3	3	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.9	2	100%	3	0	1	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	15.9	6	60%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	13.2	9	113%	6	1	2	0	1	2	1	5	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	6.2	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Bone Bruise
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	71%	33	24	7	4	8	22	6	27	26-29	90%	37-51	73%	12-30	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.27 63.6%

CLE

1.42 70.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

73%

CLE

77%

Midrange

ORL

42%

CLE

67%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

21.0

36%

54%

CLE

18.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

ORL

92%

CLE

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	36	69%	18.0 / 26
T. da Silva	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Bane	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Cain	17	61%	8.5 / 14
W. Carter	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. Carter	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Howard	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Bitadze	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Wagner	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Penda	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	42	78%	21.0 / 27
J. Harden	26	72%	13.0 / 18
S. Merrill	19	68%	9.5 / 14
E. Mobley	19	95%	9.5 / 10
M. Strus	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Bryant	9	113%	4.5 / 4
D. Schröder	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Wade	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Ellis	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 6 118.3	ORL 136.5 CLE 141.7 +5.2
Pace	14 100.5 12 100.6	ORL 98.8 +5.5 CLE 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 21 14.1	ORL 14.6 −0.9 CLE 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 5 56.1%	ORL 57.1% CLE 67.9% +10.8%
TO %	12 13.5% 10 13.2%	ORL 9.0% CLE 7.9% −1.1%
ORB %	18 25.0% 9 26.9%	ORL 32.5% +13.7% CLE 18.8%
FTrt	2 31.1 15 26.5	ORL 45.2 +9.4 CLE 35.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 11 65.3%	ORL 65.9% +16.9% CLE 49.0%
STL %	16 8.4% 15 8.4%	ORL 6.3% CLE 7.3% +1.0%
BLK %	17 8.8% 11 9.8%	ORL 3.9% CLE 8.9% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 5 58.2%	ORL 63.6% CLE 70.8% +7.2%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 7 66.1%	ORL 73.1% CLE 76.7% +3.6%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 3 46.8%	ORL 42.1% CLE 66.7% +24.6%
3P %	27 34.3% 13 36.0%	ORL 35.9% CLE 40.0% +4.1%
FT %	8 80.1% 19 77.6%	ORL 92.1% +2.4% CLE 89.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 14 31.7%	ORL 31.0% CLE 37.0% +6.1%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 8 24.1%	ORL 22.6% −3.3% CLE 25.9%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 9 44.2%	ORL 46.4% +9.4% CLE 37.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	CLE
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	131	136
Rebounds	39	33
Assists	27	24
Steals	6	7
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	8 (0)
Fouls	23	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	27 (2)
Field Goals	41-84	49-81
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	23-30
Midrange FG	8-19	14-21
2-Point FG	27-45	37-51
3-Point FG	14-39	12-30
Free Throws	35-38	26-29
Fast Break Pts	6	14
2nd Chance Pts	23	7
Points in Paint	38	62
Pts off Turnovers	14	17
Bench Points	28	28
Biggest Lead	7	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg