Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	55%	117	125	127.6	98	93.3
	13	Suns	45%	115	123	124.2	99	104.2

Prediction updated: Mar 25, 2026 03:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+15

-9

104

PHX

+13

-3

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 60.1%

PHX

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	37.9	21	53%	1	6	0	1	2	1	0	1	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	3-9	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	35.4	23	61%	17	17	0	0	2	3	3	14	5-7	71%	9-15	60%	0-1	0%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	32.7	14	64%	3	2	1	1	0	5	0	3	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	32.5	13	65%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	26.2	16	57%	6	3	0	0	2	4	5	1	5-10	50%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	22.8	18	69%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	22.6	9	64%	9	3	1	0	2	4	2	7	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	21.8	4	50%	7	0	0	0	1	5	3	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	8.1	7	88%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	50	35	2	2	9	27	14	36	22-30	73%	32-56	57%	13-32	41%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	37.9	21	53%	1	6	0	1	2	1	0	1	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	3-9	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	35.4	23	61%	17	17	0	0	2	3	3	14	5-7	71%	9-15	60%	0-1	0%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	32.7	14	64%	3	2	1	1	0	5	0	3	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	32.5	13	65%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	26.2	16	57%	6	3	0	0	2	4	5	1	5-10	50%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	22.8	18	69%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	22.6	9	64%	9	3	1	0	2	4	2	7	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	21.8	4	50%	7	0	0	0	1	5	3	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	8.1	7	88%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	50	35	2	2	9	27	14	36	22-30	73%	32-56	57%	13-32	41%

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13 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	34.7	22	55%	3	8	0	0	0	3	1	2	11-13	85%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · C · 6'11" 235 · 24	33.7	15	75%	6	1	1	0	0	4	2	4	3-7	43%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Jalen Green #4 · SF · 6'4" 186 · 24	29.1	21	62%	6	6	0	0	2	2	0	6	6-8	75%	3-7	43%	3-6	50%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33	28.1	17	94%	5	3	1	3	0	4	2	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	5-8	63%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	27.3	11	50%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%

Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	26.4	7	44%	8	2	2	0	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	23.2	21	55%	5	3	1	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	5-12	42%
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	23.1	3	19%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 20	10.8	6	75%	1	0	0	2	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 27	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
CJ Huntley #22 · SF · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot Third Metatarsal; Stress Reaction
Amir Coffey #2 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
Haywood Highsmith #19 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	56%	41	24	6	5	3	20	10	31	28-37	76%	22-42	52%	17-47	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHX

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 60.1%

PHX

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

75%

PHX

60%

Midrange

DEN

39%

PHX

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19.5

41%

61%

PHX

25.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

DEN

73%

PHX

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	23	61%	11.5 / 19
J. Murray	21	53%	10.5 / 20
T. Hardaway	18	69%	9.0 / 13
A. Gordon	16	57%	8.0 / 14
C. Johnson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Braun	13	65%	6.5 / 10
B. Brown	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Strawther	7	88%	3.5 / 4
S. Jones	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	22	55%	11.0 / 20
J. Green	21	62%	10.5 / 17
G. Allen	21	55%	10.5 / 19
R. O'Neale	17	94%	8.5 / 9
O. Ighodaro	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Gillespie	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Goodwin	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Maluach	6	75%	3.0 / 4
R. Fleming	3	19%	1.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 18 114.3	DEN 127.6 +3.3 PHX 124.2
Pace	19 99.4 23 98.2	DEN 93.3 PHX 104.2 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 12 14.5	DEN 15.4 PHX 13.8 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 19 53.7%	DEN 58.5% +5.1% PHX 53.4%
TO %	3 12.1% 16 13.7%	DEN 9.0% PHX 2.8% −6.2%
ORB %	24 23.6% 7 28.9%	DEN 31.1% +9.4% PHX 21.7%
FTrt	4 29.4 28 22.5	DEN 34.1 PHX 41.6 +7.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 23 60.1%	DEN 77.8% +16.3% PHX 61.5%
STL %	30 6.8% 2 9.7%	DEN 2.0% PHX 6.1% +4.1%
BLK %	29 7.6% 21 8.4%	DEN 4.8% PHX 8.9% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 27 55.3%	DEN 60.1% +3.7% PHX 56.4%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 18 64.0%	DEN 75.0% +15.0% PHX 60.0%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 17 43.3%	DEN 39.3% PHX 45.5% +6.2%
3P %	1 39.6% 12 36.1%	DEN 40.6% +4.4% PHX 36.2%
FT %	5 80.8% 15 78.1%	DEN 73.3% PHX 75.7% +2.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 29 26.3%	DEN 31.8% +9.3% PHX 22.5%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 22 28.4%	DEN 31.8% PHX 24.7% −7.1%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 7 45.3%	DEN 36.4% PHX 52.8% +16.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	PHX
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	125	123
Rebounds	50	41
Assists	35	24
Steals	2	6
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	3 (0)
Fouls	27	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (5)	31 (1)
Field Goals	45-88	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-28	12-20
Midrange FG	11-28	10-22
2-Point FG	32-56	22-42
3-Point FG	13-32	17-47
Free Throws	22-30	28-37
Fast Break Pts	11	7
2nd Chance Pts	15	10
Points in Paint	58	36
Pts off Turnovers	5	13
Bench Points	38	37
Biggest Lead	12	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg