Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	34%	109	130	117.1	111	100.6
	7	Pistons	66%	114	129	118.3	109	98.7

Prediction updated: Mar 25, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+26

-20

117

DET

+17

-14

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.12 56.0%

DET

1.15 57.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	43.2	16	57%	13	4	2	1	4	3	8	5	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-1	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	42.0	27	61%	8	12	0	0	5	1	3	5	7-8	88%	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	40.3	21	58%	4	3	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	3-10	30%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	34.9	27	64%	1	5	1	0	4	4	1	0	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	5-12	42%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	24.0	11	92%	1	2	2	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	28.1	5	50%	10	2	0	0	1	2	2	8	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	19.6	8	40%	5	1	1	0	2	0	1	4	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	11.6	5	36%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	11.1	8	67%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	9.3	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	INACTIVE
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	130	56%	50	31	8	1	20	19	18	32	12-17	71%	32-53	60%	18-52	35%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	43.2	16	57%	13	4	2	1	4	3	8	5	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-1	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	42.0	27	61%	8	12	0	0	5	1	3	5	7-8	88%	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	40.3	21	58%	4	3	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	3-10	30%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	34.9	27	64%	1	5	1	0	4	4	1	0	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	5-12	42%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	24.0	11	92%	1	2	2	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	28.1	5	50%	10	2	0	0	1	2	2	8	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	19.6	8	40%	5	1	1	0	2	0	1	4	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	11.6	5	36%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	11.1	8	67%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	9.3	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	INACTIVE
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	130	56%	50	31	8	1	20	19	18	32	12-17	71%	32-53	60%	18-52	35%

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7 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	44.6	19	56%	3	10	1	0	6	3	2	1	6-8	75%	5-7	71%	1-6	17%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	42.0	26	68%	14	3	0	2	4	1	7	7	8-9	89%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	37.1	18	82%	4	5	4	1	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	35.4	22	61%	3	3	1	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	2-5	40%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	31.9	17	71%	7	4	0	0	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-10	50%

Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	20.4	8	44%	2	2	2	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	15.2	4	29%	5	2	1	1	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	15.0	7	44%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	12.5	2	33%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	10.9	6	43%	0	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lung; Pneumothorax
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	129	58%	43	33	12	5	14	20	14	29	16-19	84%	43-69	62%	9-33	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DET
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.12 56.0%

DET

1.15 57.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

76%

DET

73%

Midrange

ATL

46%

DET

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

27.0

35%

52%

DET

13.5

27%

41%

Free Throws

ATL

71%

DET

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	27	61%	13.5 / 22
C. McCollum	27	64%	13.5 / 21
N. Alexander-Walker	21	58%	10.5 / 18
D. Daniels	16	57%	8.0 / 14
O. Okongwu	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Kuminga	8	40%	4.0 / 10
G. Vincent	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Landale	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Kispert	5	36%	2.5 / 7
Z. Risacher	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Duren	26	68%	13.0 / 19
T. Harris	22	61%	11.0 / 18
D. Jenkins	19	56%	9.5 / 17
A. Thompson	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Robinson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Huerter	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Green	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Reed	6	43%	3.0 / 7
C. LeVert	4	29%	2.0 / 7
R. Holland	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 9 117.4	ATL 117.1 DET 118.3 +1.2
Pace	4 102.5 20 99.3	ATL 100.6 +1.9 DET 98.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 13 14.5	ATL 14.3 −0.3 DET 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 15 54.7%	ATL 56.2% +0.8% DET 55.4%
TO %	8 13.0% 21 14.1%	ATL 15.1% DET 11.3% −3.8%
ORB %	20 24.3% 3 30.9%	ATL 38.3% +7.9% DET 30.4%
FTrt	27 23.4 5 29.2	ATL 16.2 DET 18.6 +2.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 16 64.1%	ATL 62.0% DET 63.5% +1.5%
STL %	6 9.1% 1 10.4%	ATL 7.2% DET 11.0% +3.8%
BLK %	18 8.8% 1 13.2%	ATL 1.4% DET 9.4% +8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 12 57.0%	ATL 56.0% DET 57.6% +1.6%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 16 64.7%	ATL 76.0% +3.5% DET 72.5%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 27 40.5%	ATL 46.4% DET 48.3% +1.9%
3P %	5 37.1% 17 35.6%	ATL 34.6% +7.3% DET 27.3%
FT %	20 77.4% 27 76.3%	ATL 70.6% DET 84.2% +13.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 2 40.1%	ATL 23.8% DET 39.2% +15.4%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 11 25.3%	ATL 26.7% −1.8% DET 28.4%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 29 34.5%	ATL 49.5% +17.2% DET 32.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	ATL	DET
Possessions	111	109
Possession Minutes	26.5	26.5
Points	130	129
Rebounds	50	43
Assists	31	33
Steals	8	12
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (8)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	29 (3)
Field Goals	50-105	52-102
At-the-Rim FG	19-25	29-40
Midrange FG	13-28	14-29
2-Point FG	32-53	43-69
3-Point FG	18-52	9-33
Free Throws	12-17	16-19
Fast Break Pts	23	18
2nd Chance Pts	25	23
Points in Paint	50	76
Pts off Turnovers	23	31
Bench Points	28	27
Biggest Lead	21	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg