Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Lakers	71%	122	137	126.9	108	102.1
	22	Pacers	29%	115	130	122.6	106	112.5

Prediction updated: Mar 25, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+14

-13

109

IND

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.27 63.4%

IND

1.37 68.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	38.0	25	66%	1	8	2	0	2	3	0	1	9-9	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	37.5	43	63%	6	7	1	0	5	5	1	5	9-10	90%	11-19	58%	4-11	36%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	36.3	21	75%	10	1	2	2	0	1	2	8	3-6	50%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 41	34.5	23	61%	9	9	1	0	1	1	1	8	5-5	100%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24	28.6	6	100%	5	1	4	1	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	28.0	8	80%	2	2	0	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	13.4	4	50%	1	1	2	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	12.4	5	125%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	11.4	2	33%	4	1	2	0	1	2	1	3	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #44 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	INACTIVE
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Contusion
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	63%	39	30	15	4	13	22	7	32	28-34	82%	41-66	62%	9-23	39%

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5 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	38.0	25	66%	1	8	2	0	2	3	0	1	9-9	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	37.5	43	63%	6	7	1	0	5	5	1	5	9-10	90%	11-19	58%	4-11	36%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	36.3	21	75%	10	1	2	2	0	1	2	8	3-6	50%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 41	34.5	23	61%	9	9	1	0	1	1	1	8	5-5	100%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24	28.6	6	100%	5	1	4	1	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	28.0	8	80%	2	2	0	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	13.4	4	50%	1	1	2	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	12.4	5	125%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	11.4	2	33%	4	1	2	0	1	2	1	3	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #44 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	INACTIVE
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Contusion
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	63%	39	30	15	4	13	22	7	32	28-34	82%	41-66	62%	9-23	39%

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22 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	33.6	14	58%	2	19	0	0	2	4	0	2	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	32.1	14	54%	3	1	1	0	3	5	0	3	0-2	0%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	31.6	18	82%	6	1	0	1	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	2-5	40%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	29.8	20	56%	8	1	1	0	4	6	2	6	5-7	71%	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 23	29.6	15	75%	6	4	0	0	3	3	0	6	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	4-8	50%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	19.9	15	75%	3	2	3	0	3	0	0	3	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	17.5	13	108%	2	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	16.1	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.4	17	85%	2	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	8.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	7.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	68%	34	35	7	2	18	25	5	29	18-23	78%	32-47	68%	16-39	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.27 63.4%

IND

1.37 68.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

76%

IND

79%

Midrange

LAL

43%

IND

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

13.5

39%

59%

IND

24.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

LAL

82%

IND

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	43	63%	21.5 / 34
A. Reaves	25	66%	12.5 / 19
L. James	23	61%	11.5 / 19
J. Hayes	21	75%	10.5 / 14
L. Kennard	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. LaRavia	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Vanderbilt	5	125%	2.5 / 2
B. James	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Kleber	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Huff	18	82%	9.0 / 11
T. McConnell	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Walker	15	75%	7.5 / 10
O. Toppin	15	75%	7.5 / 10
A. Nembhard	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Nesmith	14	54%	7.0 / 13
B. Sheppard	13	108%	6.5 / 6
M. Potter	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 2
Q. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 117.1 28 110.1	LAL 126.9 +4.2 IND 122.6
Pace	21 99.2 10 101.4	LAL 102.1 IND 112.5 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 25 13.9	LAL 14.1 IND 12.8 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 23 53.3%	LAL 61.2% IND 65.1% +3.9%
TO %	19 13.9% 14 13.6%	LAL 11.9% −3.9% IND 15.8%
ORB %	22 23.9% 29 21.7%	LAL 19.4% +5.9% IND 13.5%
FTrt	1 32.0 20 25.2	LAL 38.2 +11.5 IND 26.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.5% 5 67.8%	LAL 60.0% IND 72.9% +12.9%
STL %	12 8.6% 28 7.2%	LAL 13.9% +7.3% IND 6.6%
BLK %	23 8.3% 26 8.1%	LAL 8.5% +5.5% IND 3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 24 55.4%	LAL 63.4% IND 68.4% +5.0%
Rim FG%	1 72.0% 25 62.9%	LAL 76.3% IND 78.8% +2.5%
Mid FG%	4 46.8% 19 42.7%	LAL 42.9% IND 42.9%
3P %	14 35.9% 18 35.6%	LAL 39.1% IND 41.0% +1.9%
FT %	26 76.3% 17 77.6%	LAL 82.4% +4.1% IND 78.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.7% 23 30.3%	LAL 42.7% +4.3% IND 38.4%
Mid Att. %	26 30.0% 18 27.5%	LAL 31.5% IND 16.3% −15.2%
3P Att. %	22 39.4% 14 42.2%	LAL 25.8% IND 45.3% +19.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	LAL	IND
Possessions	108	106
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	137	130
Rebounds	39	34
Assists	30	35
Steals	15	7
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	22	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (7)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	29 (0)
Field Goals	50-89	48-86
At-the-Rim FG	29-38	26-33
Midrange FG	12-28	6-14
2-Point FG	41-66	32-47
3-Point FG	9-23	16-39
Free Throws	28-34	18-23
Fast Break Pts	22	23
2nd Chance Pts	11	8
Points in Paint	70	54
Pts off Turnovers	29	23
Bench Points	19	49
Biggest Lead	29	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg