Final Win Prob. pScore
1043%119
120
457%121
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
123.79795.0
CLE logo Cavaliers
106.29799.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.120
103
Q4 - 0:12.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)120
103
Q4 - 0:34.9CavaliersSam Merrill turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)120
103
Q4 - 0:39.9CavaliersJames Harden offensive rebound120
103
Q4 - 0:42.5CavaliersKeon Ellis misses three point jump shot120
103
Q4 - 0:54.9HeatNorman Powell makes two point running dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)120
103
Q4 - 0:56.1HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound118
103
Q4 - 0:58.4CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot118
103
Q4 - 1:10HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot118
103
Q4 - 1:30Stoppage (Out of bounds)116
103
Q4 - 1:30HeatHeat defensive rebound116
103
Q4 - 1:30CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point turnaround hook shot116
103
Q4 - 1:45HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)116
103
Q4 - 2:08CavaliersDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
103
Q4 - 2:08CavaliersDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
102
Q4 - 2:08HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)114
101
Q4 - 2:14HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)114
101
Q4 - 2:44CavaliersJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)114
101
Q4 - 2:57HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
98
Q4 - 2:57HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
98
Q4 - 2:57CavaliersSam Merrill personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)112
98
Q4 - 2:57HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound112
98
Q4 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot112
98
Q4 - 3:22HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound112
98
Q4 - 3:24CavaliersJames Harden misses three point jump shot112
98
Q4 - 3:37CavaliersSam Merrill defensive rebound112
98
Q4 - 3:39HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 1112
98
Q4 - 3:39Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis, James Harden)112
98
Q4 - 3:39CavaliersDonovan Mitchell shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)112
98
Q4 - 3:39HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running layup (Norman Powell assists)112
98
Q4 - 3:43CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (lost ball) (Norman Powell steals)110
98
Q4 - 3:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1110
98
Q4 - 3:50CavaliersDonovan Mitchell shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)109
98
Q4 - 3:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Kel'el Ware assists)109
98
Q4 - 3:54HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound107
98
Q4 - 3:58CavaliersKel'el Ware blocks Evan Mobley's two point turnaround hook shot107
98
Q4 - 4:10HeatNorman Powell turnover (traveling)107
98
Q4 - 4:30Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)107
98
Q4 - 4:30Cavaliers 60 second timeout107
98
Q4 - 4:30CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)107
98
Q4 - 4:30CavaliersDonovan Mitchell offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)107
98
Q4 - 4:33CavaliersKeon Ellis offensive rebound107
98
Q4 - 4:38CavaliersKeon Ellis misses three point jump shot107
98
Q4 - 4:44CavaliersDonovan Mitchell offensive rebound107
98
Q4 - 4:46CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point pullup jump shot107
98
Q4 - 4:54HeatPelle Larsson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
98
Q4 - 4:57CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot107
98
Q4 - 5:09HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)107
96
Q4 - 5:28CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
96
Q4 - 5:28CavaliersEvan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2104
95
Q4 - 5:28HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)104
95
Q4 - 5:42HeatNorman Powell makes two point turnaround jump shot104
95
Q4 - 6:05HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound102
95
Q4 - 6:08CavaliersJames Harden misses three point jump shot102
95
Q4 - 6:19HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
95
Q4 - 6:19Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)101
95
Q4 - 6:19Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)101
95
Q4 - 6:19HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
95
Q4 - 6:19CavaliersKeon Ellis shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)100
95
Q4 - 6:25HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - 6:25CavaliersThomas Bryant misses two point putback layup100
95
Q4 - 6:25CavaliersThomas Bryant offensive rebound100
95
Q4 - 6:28CavaliersKeon Ellis misses three point jump shot100
95
Q4 - 6:42Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, James Harden)100
95
Q4 - 6:42Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)100
95
Q4 - 6:42HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Loose ball) (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)100
95
Q4 - 6:42CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound100
95
Q4 - 6:46CavaliersDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot100
95
Q4 - 6:58HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)100
95
Q4 - 7:13CavaliersThomas Bryant makes two point floating jump shot (Sam Merrill assists)97
95
Q4 - 7:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Kel'el Ware assists)97
93
Q4 - 7:32HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound95
93
Q4 - 7:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot95
93
Q4 - 7:57CavaliersJames Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 395
93
Q4 - 7:57Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)95
92
Q4 - 7:57CavaliersJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 395
92
Q4 - 7:57CavaliersJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 395
91
Q4 - 7:57HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)95
90
Q4 - 8:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)95
90
Q4 - 8:25CavaliersJames Harden turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)93
90
Q4 - 8:38Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, James Harden)93
90
Q4 - 8:38Cavaliers 60 second timeout93
90
Q4 - 8:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)93
90
Q4 - 8:45HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound90
90
Q4 - 8:47CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving hook shot90
90
Q4 - 9:10HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup90
90
Q4 - 9:15HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound88
90
Q4 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot88
90
Q4 - 9:30CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin makes regular free throw 2 of 288
90
Q4 - 9:30CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin makes regular free throw 1 of 288
89
Q4 - 9:30HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Nae'Qwan Tomlin draws the foul)88
88
Q4 - 9:38CavaliersDennis Schroder defensive rebound88
88
Q4 - 9:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot88
88
Q4 - 9:57CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin makes two point reverse layup (Dennis Schroder assists)88
88
Q4 - 10:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)88
86
Q4 - 10:26Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden)88
86
Q4 - 10:26Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)88
86
Q4 - 10:26CavaliersDonovan Mitchell personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)88
86
Q4 - 10:26CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)88
86
Q4 - 10:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)88
86
Q4 - 10:57HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound85
86
Q4 - 11:00CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot85
86
Q4 - 11:07CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound85
86
Q4 - 11:08CavaliersTyrese Proctor misses two point running layup85
86
Q4 - 11:13HeatPelle Larsson turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Proctor steals)85
86
Q4 - 11:25CavaliersKeon Ellis makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)85
86
Q4 - 11:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup85
83
Q4 - 12:00Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, Tyrese Proctor)83
83
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
83
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound83
83
Q3 - 0:01.6CavaliersJames Harden turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)83
83
Q3 - 0:01.7Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)83
83
Q3 - 0:01.7Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)83
83
Q3 - 0:01.7HeatPelle Larsson turnover (offensive foul)83
83
Q3 - 0:01.7HeatPelle Larsson offensive foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)83
83
Q3 - 0:11.9CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot83
83
Q3 - 0:27.6CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound83
80
Q3 - 0:29.6HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot83
80
Q3 - 0:41.3Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)83
80
Q3 - 0:41.4CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot83
80
Q3 - 0:49.4CavaliersThomas Bryant defensive rebound83
77
Q3 - 0:51.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot83
77
Q3 - 1:13CavaliersJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)83
77
Q3 - 1:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot83
74
Q3 - 1:43CavaliersThomas Bryant makes two point driving layup (Dennis Schroder assists)81
74
Q3 - 2:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup81
72
Q3 - 2:10CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point turnaround jump shot79
72
Q3 - 2:25CavaliersJames Harden defensive rebound79
70
Q3 - 2:28HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot79
70
Q3 - 2:30Stoppage (Out of bounds)79
70
Q3 - 2:30HeatHeat offensive rebound79
70
Q3 - 2:30HeatJames Harden blocks Norman Powell's two point running layup79
70
Q3 - 2:33HeatKasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound79
70
Q3 - 2:36CavaliersJames Harden misses three point pullup jump shot79
70
Q3 - 2:51HeatBam Adebayo makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)79
70
Q3 - 2:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
70
Q3 - 2:59CavaliersDennis Schroder misses two point driving finger roll layup76
70
Q3 - 3:10Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
70
Q3 - 3:10CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound76
70
Q3 - 3:12HeatKasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot76
70
Q3 - 3:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound76
70
Q3 - 3:25CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot76
70
Q3 - 3:46Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)76
70
Q3 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 276
70
Q3 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 275
70
Q3 - 3:46CavaliersThomas Bryant shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
70
Q3 - 4:01CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)75
70
Q3 - 4:06Jump ball. James Harden vs. Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Dennis Schroder gains possession)75
67
Q3 - 4:06Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, James Harden)75
67
Q3 - 4:06Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)75
67
Q3 - 4:27CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound75
67
Q3 - 4:30HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point running jump shot75
67
Q3 - 4:34CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (lost ball) (Pelle Larsson steals)75
67
Q3 - 4:40CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound75
67
Q3 - 4:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround bank hook shot75
67
Q3 - 4:59CavaliersKeon Ellis makes two point driving finger roll layup (James Harden assists)75
67
Q3 - 5:14CavaliersDennis Schroder defensive rebound75
65
Q3 - 5:19HeatNorman Powell misses three point jump shot75
65
Q3 - 5:36Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden)75
65
Q3 - 5:36Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson)75
65
Q3 - 5:36Heat 60 second timeout75
65
Q3 - 5:36Tyler Herro defensive goaltending violation75
65
Q3 - 5:36CavaliersSam Merrill makes two point running layup (Dennis Schroder assists)75
65
Q3 - 5:37CavaliersDennis Schroder defensive rebound75
63
Q3 - 5:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot75
63
Q3 - 5:54CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)75
63
Q3 - 6:03CavaliersDennis Schroder defensive rebound75
60
Q3 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot75
60
Q3 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
60
Q3 - 6:27CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point driving layup75
60
Q3 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 275
60
Q3 - 6:48Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis, James Harden)74
60
Q3 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 274
60
Q3 - 6:48CavaliersEvan Mobley shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)73
60
Q3 - 7:05CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Sam Merrill assists)73
60
Q3 - 7:20HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)73
58
Q3 - 7:32Cavaliers 60 second timeout71
58
Q3 - 7:32CavaliersJames Harden personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
58
Q3 - 7:32HeatHeat offensive rebound71
58
Q3 - 7:33HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot71
58
Q3 - 7:43HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound71
58
Q3 - 7:43CavaliersJames Harden misses three point running jump shot71
58
Q3 - 7:46CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound71
58
Q3 - 7:50HeatNorman Powell misses three point fadeaway jump shot71
58
Q3 - 7:55HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound71
58
Q3 - 7:59HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot71
58
Q3 - 8:23CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)71
58
Q3 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)71
55
Q3 - 8:48CavaliersKeon Ellis makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Harden assists)69
55
Q3 - 9:03HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 269
53
Q3 - 9:03HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 268
53
Q3 - 9:03CavaliersDonovan Mitchell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)67
53
Q3 - 9:07HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound67
53
Q3 - 9:09CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot67
53
Q3 - 9:26HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Keon Ellis steals)67
53
Q3 - 9:45CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)67
53
Q3 - 9:47CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound67
50
Q3 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running pullup jump shot67
50
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
50
Q3 - 10:01CavaliersKeon Ellis misses three point jump shot67
50
Q3 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Davion Mitchell assists)67
50
Q3 - 10:31CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point driving layup (Sam Merrill assists)65
50
Q3 - 10:40HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)65
48
Q3 - 10:51HeatNorman Powell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)65
48
Q3 - 11:02HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound63
48
Q3 - 11:04CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point turnaround jump shot63
48
Q3 - 11:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)63
48
Q3 - 11:15Jump ball. Evan Mobley vs. Andrew Wiggins (Cavaliers gains possession)63
48
Q3 - 11:28CavaliersJames Harden defensive rebound63
48
Q3 - 11:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot63
48
Q3 - 11:46CavaliersJames Harden makes two point driving finger roll layup63
48
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)63
46
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
46
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound63
46
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup bank jump shot63
46
Q2 - 0:04.3CavaliersKeon Ellis makes two point cutting dunk (Evan Mobley assists)63
46
Q2 - 0:21.7HeatNorman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 263
44
Q2 - 0:21.7Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)62
44
Q2 - 0:21.7HeatNorman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 262
44
Q2 - 0:21.7CavaliersKeon Ellis personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)61
44
Q2 - 0:35.7CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot61
44
Q2 - 0:48.3Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)61
41
Q2 - 0:48.3Stoppage (Out of bounds)61
41
Q2 - 1:00HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)61
41
Q2 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound58
41
Q2 - 1:11CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point cutting layup58
41
Q2 - 1:22CavaliersJames Harden defensive rebound58
41
Q2 - 1:24HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 258
41
Q2 - 1:24HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 258
41
Q2 - 1:24CavaliersDonovan Mitchell shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)57
41
Q2 - 1:34CavaliersKeon Ellis makes regular free throw 3 of 357
41
Q2 - 1:34CavaliersKeon Ellis makes regular free throw 2 of 357
40
Q2 - 1:34CavaliersKeon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 357
39
Q2 - 1:34Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)57
38
Q2 - 1:34Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis, James Harden)57
38
Q2 - 1:34Heat 60 second timeout57
38
Q2 - 1:34Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)57
38
Q2 - 1:34HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Keon Ellis draws the foul)57
38
Q2 - 1:40CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound57
38
Q2 - 1:43HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot57
38
Q2 - 2:02CavaliersKeon Ellis makes two point cutting layup (Evan Mobley assists)57
38
Q2 - 2:16HeatNorman Powell makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)57
36
Q2 - 2:26CavaliersTyrese Proctor personal foul (Loose ball) (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)55
36
Q2 - 2:26HeatHeat offensive rebound55
36
Q2 - 2:27HeatNorman Powell misses three point running jump shot55
36
Q2 - 2:32HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound55
36
Q2 - 2:35CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point stepback jump shot55
36
Q2 - 2:49CavaliersTyrese Proctor offensive rebound55
36
Q2 - 2:53CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot55
36
Q2 - 3:03HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
36
Q2 - 3:17CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 152
36
Q2 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)52
35
Q2 - 3:17CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point layup (Keon Ellis assists)52
35
Q2 - 3:34HeatNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)52
33
Q2 - 3:48CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point running layup (James Harden assists)49
33
Q2 - 3:52CavaliersJames Harden defensive rebound49
31
Q2 - 3:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot49
31
Q2 - 4:19CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot49
31
Q2 - 4:27HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Proctor steals)49
29
Q2 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
29
Q2 - 4:43CavaliersEvan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 249
29
Q2 - 4:43Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Tyrese Proctor, James Harden)49
29
Q2 - 4:43CavaliersEvan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 249
29
Q2 - 4:43HeatNorman Powell shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)49
29
Q2 - 4:55CavaliersKeon Ellis defensive rebound49
29
Q2 - 4:58HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot49
29
Q2 - 5:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
29
Q2 - 5:08CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point stepback jump shot49
29
Q2 - 5:21HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point running dunk49
29
Q2 - 5:25CavaliersJames Harden turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Wiggins steals)47
29
Q2 - 5:44CavaliersJames Harden defensive rebound47
29
Q2 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot47
29
Q2 - 5:56Stoppage (Out of bounds)47
29
Q2 - 6:03Heat 60 second timeout47
29
Q2 - 6:19CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point driving layup (Sam Merrill assists)47
29
Q2 - 6:25Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis, Tyrese Proctor, James Harden)47
27
Q2 - 6:25Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)47
27
Q2 - 6:25HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Sam Merrill draws the foul)47
27
Q2 - 6:30CavaliersThomas Bryant defensive rebound47
27
Q2 - 6:33HeatKasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot47
27
Q2 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
27
Q2 - 6:47CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot47
27
Q2 - 6:55CavaliersJames Harden defensive rebound47
27
Q2 - 7:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot47
27
Q2 - 7:14HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound47
27
Q2 - 7:19CavaliersThomas Bryant misses two point jump shot47
27
Q2 - 7:36HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)47
27
Q2 - 7:47CavaliersJames Harden turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Wiggins steals)45
27
Q2 - 7:48CavaliersJames Harden defensive rebound45
27
Q2 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot45
27
Q2 - 8:04CavaliersSam Merrill makes regular free throw 2 of 245
27
Q2 - 8:04Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, James Harden)45
26
Q2 - 8:04Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)45
26
Q2 - 8:04CavaliersSam Merrill makes regular free throw 1 of 245
26
Q2 - 8:04HeatKasparas Jakucionis shooting foul (Sam Merrill draws the foul)45
25
Q2 - 8:21HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point running pullup jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)45
25
Q2 - 8:28HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound42
25
Q2 - 8:31CavaliersKeon Ellis misses three point jump shot42
25
Q2 - 8:46HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 242
25
Q2 - 8:46Cavaliers 60 second timeout41
25
Q2 - 8:46Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)41
25
Q2 - 8:46HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 241
25
Q2 - 8:46CavaliersDennis Schroder shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)40
25
Q2 - 8:48HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound40
25
Q2 - 8:52CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot40
25
Q2 - 9:02HeatKasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 240
25
Q2 - 9:02Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis)39
25
Q2 - 9:02HeatKasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 239
25
Q2 - 9:02CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)38
25
Q2 - 9:08HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound38
25
Q2 - 9:10CavaliersThomas Bryant misses two point floating jump shot38
25
Q2 - 9:22CavaliersSam Merrill defensive rebound38
25
Q2 - 9:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 138
25
Q2 - 9:24CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)38
25
Q2 - 9:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)38
25
Q2 - 9:28CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot36
25
Q2 - 9:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)36
23
Q2 - 9:51HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound33
23
Q2 - 9:53CavaliersSam Merrill misses two point driving floating jump shot33
23
Q2 - 10:05Kel'el Ware kicked ball violation33
23
Q2 - 10:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)33
23
Q2 - 10:27CavaliersDennis Schroder makes two point floating jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)31
23
Q2 - 10:49HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)31
21
Q2 - 11:09HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound28
21
Q2 - 11:12CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot28
21
Q2 - 11:23HeatPelle Larsson turnover (traveling)28
21
Q2 - 11:42CavaliersSam Merrill makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)28
21
Q2 - 12:00Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)28
19
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
19
Q1 - 0:00.0CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound28
19
Q1 - 0:03.3HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)28
19
Q1 - 0:23.3CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin makes two point driving layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)25
19
Q1 - 0:41.6HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)25
17
Q1 - 0:48.5HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound25
17
Q1 - 0:50.6CavaliersJames Harden misses three point jump shot25
17
Q1 - 1:06HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 125
17
Q1 - 1:06CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)24
17
Q1 - 1:06HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving floating jump shot24
17
Q1 - 1:15CavaliersJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 222
17
Q1 - 1:15CavaliersJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 222
16
Q1 - 1:15HeatKasparas Jakucionis personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)22
15
Q1 - 1:31CavaliersThomas Bryant defensive rebound22
15
Q1 - 1:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot22
15
Q1 - 1:48HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound22
15
Q1 - 1:49CavaliersPelle Larsson blocks Dennis Schroder's two point driving floating jump shot22
15
Q1 - 2:00Kel'el Ware kicked ball violation22
15
Q1 - 2:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)22
15
Q1 - 2:21CavaliersThomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)19
15
Q1 - 2:21CavaliersThomas Bryant offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)19
15
Q1 - 2:28CavaliersDennis Schroder defensive rebound19
15
Q1 - 2:32HeatPelle Larsson misses three point pullup jump shot19
15
Q1 - 2:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)19
15
Q1 - 2:43Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)19
15
Q1 - 2:43Heat 60 second timeout19
15
Q1 - 2:43CavaliersDennis Schroder personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)19
15
Q1 - 2:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound19
15
Q1 - 2:48CavaliersThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot19
15
Q1 - 3:04HeatPelle Larsson turnover (traveling)19
15
Q1 - 3:08HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound19
15
Q1 - 3:10CavaliersThomas Bryant misses two point jump shot19
15
Q1 - 3:28HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)19
15
Q1 - 3:43CavaliersJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 216
15
Q1 - 3:43CavaliersJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 216
14
Q1 - 3:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)16
13
Q1 - 3:50CavaliersThomas Bryant defensive rebound16
13
Q1 - 3:53HeatNorman Powell misses three point pullup jump shot16
13
Q1 - 3:57Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
13
Q1 - 4:05Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, James Harden)16
13
Q1 - 4:05Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)16
13
Q1 - 4:05CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)16
13
Q1 - 4:14HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound16
13
Q1 - 4:14CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin misses two point tip dunk16
13
Q1 - 4:14CavaliersNae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound16
13
Q1 - 4:15CavaliersDennis Schroder misses two point driving finger roll layup16
13
Q1 - 4:23CavaliersDennis Schroder defensive rebound16
13
Q1 - 4:25HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot16
13
Q1 - 4:38CavaliersJames Harden makes three point pullup jump shot16
13
Q1 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)16
10
Q1 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound16
10
Q1 - 5:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot16
10
Q1 - 5:14CavaliersKeon Ellis makes regular free throw 3 of 316
10
Q1 - 5:14Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)16
9
Q1 - 5:14CavaliersKeon Ellis makes regular free throw 2 of 316
9
Q1 - 5:14CavaliersKeon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 316
8
Q1 - 5:14HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Keon Ellis draws the foul)16
7
Q1 - 5:39HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)16
7
Q1 - 6:00Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden)13
7
Q1 - 6:00CavaliersSam Merrill turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
7
Q1 - 6:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Keon Ellis steals)13
7
Q1 - 6:28CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)13
7
Q1 - 6:52Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis, James Harden)13
4
Q1 - 6:52Cavaliers 60 second timeout13
4
Q1 - 6:53HeatNorman Powell makes three point pullup jump shot13
4
Q1 - 7:03CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)10
4
Q1 - 7:06CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound10
2
Q1 - 7:08CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot10
2
Q1 - 7:20CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound10
2
Q1 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot10
2
Q1 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
2
Q1 - 7:31CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot10
2
Q1 - 7:43HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)10
2
Q1 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup10
2
Q1 - 8:11CavaliersJames Harden turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)8
2
Q1 - 8:17CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound8
2
Q1 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot8
2
Q1 - 8:30CavaliersEvan Mobley personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
2
Q1 - 8:38CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point stepback jump shot (James Harden assists)8
2
Q1 - 8:55HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)8
0
Q1 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 9:09CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot5
0
Q1 - 9:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)5
0
Q1 - 9:19CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 9:19CavaliersDavion Mitchell blocks Keon Ellis's two point running layup5
0
Q1 - 9:25CavaliersJames Harden defensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 9:26HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point running pullup jump shot5
0
Q1 - 9:30HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 9:33CavaliersJames Harden misses three point pullup jump shot5
0
Q1 - 9:40CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot5
0
Q1 - 9:54CavaliersSam Merrill turnover (lost ball) (Norman Powell steals)5
0
Q1 - 10:15HeatNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
0
Q1 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:28CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 10:37HeatNorman Powell personal foul (Keon Ellis draws the foul)2
0
Q1 - 10:44CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
0
Q1 - 11:08HeatHeat defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:08CavaliersKeon Ellis misses three point stepback jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:34HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running layup2
0
Q1 - 11:37CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)0
0
Q1 - 11:42CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:45HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Evan Mobley (Heat gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.28 63.8%
CLE
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
16
88%
CLE
13
22
59%
Midrange
MIA
10
20
50%
CLE
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
45
40%
60%
CLE
12
18.0
37
32%
49%
Free Throws
MIA
18
22
82%
CLE
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Powell1973%9.5 / 13
T. Herro1875%9.0 / 12
B. Adebayo1740%8.5 / 21
P. Larsson1488%7.0 / 8
J. Jaquez1458%7.0 / 12
K. Ware13130%6.5 / 5
A. Wiggins1267%6.0 / 9
D. Mitchell1179%5.5 / 7
K. Jakučionis233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell2864%14.0 / 22
J. Harden1869%9.0 / 13
S. Merrill1864%9.0 / 14
K. Ellis1761%8.5 / 14
E. Mobley840%4.0 / 10
N. Tomlin675%3.0 / 4
D. Schröder433%2.0 / 6
T. Bryant429%2.0 / 7
T. Proctor0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+10
-12
95
CLE
83
+11
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.28 63.8%
CLE
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
14
115.1
6
118.2
MIA 123.7 +17.5
CLE 106.2
Pace
1
104.4
13
100.5
MIA 95.0
CLE 99.0 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
30
13.1
22
14.0
MIA 15.2
CLE 14.5 −0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
19
53.7%
4
56.0%
MIA 63.0% +12.4%
CLE 50.6%
TO %
4
12.5%
9
13.1%
MIA 13.4%
CLE 13.3% −0.1%
ORB %
17
25.4%
9
26.8%
MIA 13.5%
CLE 18.6% +5.1%
FTrt
14
27.0
17
26.4
MIA 27.2
CLE 29.6 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
10
65.8%
11
65.5%
MIA 73.8%
CLE 74.3% +0.5%
STL %
13
8.5%
15
8.4%
MIA 11.3% +7.2%
CLE 4.1%
BLK %
28
8.0%
12
9.7%
MIA 6.8% +4.0%
CLE 2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
18
56.3%
6
58.1%
MIA 63.8% +8.4%
CLE 55.4%
Rim FG%
23
63.1%
7
66.0%
MIA 87.5% +28.4%
CLE 59.1%
Mid FG%
21
42.2%
3
46.9%
MIA 50.0% +4.5%
CLE 45.5%
3P %
15
35.8%
13
36.0%
MIA 40.0% +7.6%
CLE 32.4%
FT %
11
79.2%
19
77.5%
MIA 81.8%
CLE 87.5% +5.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
12
32.6%
16
31.2%
MIA 19.8%
CLE 27.2% +7.4%
Mid Att. %
17
27.0%
8
24.4%
MIA 24.7% −2.5%
CLE 27.2%
3P Att. %
19
40.5%
9
44.4%
MIA 55.6% +9.9%
CLE 45.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points120103
Rebounds4040
Assists3126
Steals114
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)14 (0)
Fouls1721
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals42-8135-81
At-the-Rim FG14-1613-22
Midrange FG10-2010-22
2-Point FG24-3623-44
3-Point FG18-4512-37
Free Throws18-2221-24
Fast Break Pts174
2nd Chance Pts102
Points in Paint4044
Pts off Turnovers1811
Bench Points4314
Biggest Lead212

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 33
34.0
19
73%
4
2
2
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
#13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 29
33.1
17
40%
10
7
2
0
1
1
1
9
4-5
80%
5-10
50%
1-9
11%
#45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 28
31.9
11
79%
2
3
1
1
2
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26
30.3
18
75%
2
4
3
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
#22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31
23.6
12
67%
3
2
2
0
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25
34.1
14
88%
5
2
1
1
5
1
3
2
7-7
100%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22
20.1
13
130%
11
4
0
1
0
2
0
11
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
19.4
14
58%
2
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
#25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 20
13.6
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32
Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
64%
40
31
11
3
12
17
5
35
18-22
82%
24-36
67%
18-45
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.