Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	40%	112	133	120.9	110	115.0
	27	Jazz	60%	116	110	100.0	110	105.4

Prediction updated: Mar 26, 2026 01:04 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+16

-18

108

UTA

+14

-14

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.23 61.6%

UTA

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	40.2	11	92%	7	3	3	3	1	4	0	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Julian Reese #15 · C · 6'9" 230 · 23	30.1	26	72%	17	0	1	1	3	4	5	12	2-4	50%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	24.4	12	75%	2	3	0	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Will Riley #27 · SG · 6'9" 180 · 20	22.3	19	56%	10	5	0	0	1	0	2	8	6-8	75%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PF · 6'7" 195 · 22	18.9	11	50%	2	3	3	0	2	1	0	2	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	29.3	8	50%	6	2	3	0	3	3	2	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	27.4	21	55%	2	0	0	0	3	5	0	2	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	5-13	38%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	25.0	17	65%	4	6	2	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	22.3	8	80%	6	5	0	0	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Capsulitis
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Tightness
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	62%	56	27	12	4	18	26	13	43	16-24	67%	39-62	63%	13-32	41%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	40.2	11	92%	7	3	3	3	1	4	0	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Julian Reese #15 · C · 6'9" 230 · 23	30.1	26	72%	17	0	1	1	3	4	5	12	2-4	50%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	24.4	12	75%	2	3	0	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Will Riley #27 · SG · 6'9" 180 · 20	22.3	19	56%	10	5	0	0	1	0	2	8	6-8	75%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PF · 6'7" 195 · 22	18.9	11	50%	2	3	3	0	2	1	0	2	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	29.3	8	50%	6	2	3	0	3	3	2	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	27.4	21	55%	2	0	0	0	3	5	0	2	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	5-13	38%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	25.0	17	65%	4	6	2	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	22.3	8	80%	6	5	0	0	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Capsulitis
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Tightness
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	62%	56	27	12	4	18	26	13	43	16-24	67%	39-62	63%	13-32	41%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bez Mbeng #21 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 23	43.9	11	50%	5	6	3	1	1	4	1	4	1-3	33%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
John Konchar #55 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 30	38.5	8	44%	14	5	1	3	0	4	2	12	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Cody Williams #5 · C · 6'8" 190 · 21	37.3	24	55%	4	1	2	1	4	1	1	3	2-4	50%	11-17	65%	0-3	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	29.5	10	38%	3	6	2	0	2	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Ace Bailey #19 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 20	28.9	15	39%	5	3	2	2	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	6-13	46%	1-6	17%

Kennedy Chandler #0 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 24	33.9	14	41%	1	8	1	0	2	1	0	1	1-6	17%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	16.9	7	58%	8	4	0	0	4	0	5	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	11.1	21	117%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	5-6	83%	2-3	67%	4-5	80%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury management
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	DND – Rest
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	51%	40	34	11	8	14	17	11	29	13-25	52%	38-67	57%	7-29	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.23 61.6%

UTA

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

67%

UTA

73%

Midrange

WAS

55%

UTA

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

19.5

41%

61%

UTA

10.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

WAS

67%

UTA

52%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Reese	26	72%	13.0 / 18
J. Hardy	21	55%	10.5 / 19
W. Riley	19	56%	9.5 / 17
S. Cooper	17	65%	8.5 / 13
B. Carrington	12	75%	6.0 / 8
L. Black	11	92%	5.5 / 6
B. Coulibaly	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Watkins	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Gill	8	80%	4.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Williams	24	55%	12.0 / 22
B. Hinson	21	117%	10.5 / 9
A. Bailey	15	39%	7.5 / 19
K. Chandler	14	41%	7.0 / 17
B. Mbeng	11	50%	5.5 / 11
E. Harkless	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Konchar	8	44%	4.0 / 9
O. Tshiebwe	7	58%	3.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 22 112.9	WAS 120.9 +20.9 UTA 100.0
Pace	5 102.5 2 103.4	WAS 115.0 +9.6 UTA 105.4
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 27 13.8	WAS 12.5 −1.1 UTA 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 20 53.6%	WAS 62.2% +11.7% UTA 50.5%
TO %	26 14.7% 23 14.4%	WAS 15.4% UTA 12.3% −3.1%
ORB %	21 24.0% 12 26.2%	WAS 31.0% +10.6% UTA 20.4%
FTrt	26 23.5 10 27.7	WAS 25.5 UTA 26.0 +0.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 2 69.6%	WAS 51.9% UTA 75.6% +23.7%
STL %	22 7.8% 14 8.5%	WAS 10.9% +0.9% UTA 10.0%
BLK %	9 10.0% 30 7.5%	WAS 6.0% UTA 12.9% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 18 56.4%	WAS 61.6% +11.1% UTA 50.5%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 17 64.5%	WAS 66.7% UTA 72.7% +6.0%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 8 44.4%	WAS 55.0% +28.9% UTA 26.1%
3P %	16 35.9% 25 34.5%	WAS 40.6% +16.5% UTA 24.1%
FT %	23 76.6% 13 78.6%	WAS 66.7% +14.7% UTA 52.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 17 31.3%	WAS 44.7% UTA 45.8% +1.2%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 23 28.4%	WAS 21.3% −2.7% UTA 24.0%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 21 40.3%	WAS 34.0% +3.8% UTA 30.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	UTA
Possessions	110	110
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	133	110
Rebounds	56	40
Assists	27	34
Steals	12	11
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	26	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (1)	29 (2)
Field Goals	52-94	45-96
At-the-Rim FG	28-42	32-44
Midrange FG	11-20	6-23
2-Point FG	39-62	38-67
3-Point FG	13-32	7-29
Free Throws	16-24	13-25
Fast Break Pts	18	27
2nd Chance Pts	22	10
Points in Paint	70	72
Pts off Turnovers	15	25
Bench Points	54	42
Biggest Lead	37	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg