Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Mavericks	23%	113	135	129.8	104	104.5
	3	Nuggets	77%	122	142	134.0	106	105.5

Prediction updated: Mar 26, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

100

+11

-4

111

DEN

+11

-9

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.22 60.8%

DEN

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	35.8	26	62%	8	7	2	1	0	1	1	7	5-6	83%	9-14	64%	1-4	25%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	31.8	9	90%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	31.2	19	59%	15	1	0	1	0	6	4	11	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	29.9	22	55%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	7-8	88%	6-11	55%	1-6	17%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	16.4	7	70%	4	0	1	1	0	3	1	3	5-7	71%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	19.3	11	61%	2	6	0	0	1	4	1	1	5-7	71%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	17.6	11	69%	3	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	17.4	7	39%	3	3	0	0	0	3	2	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	12.9	4	67%	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	10.7	8	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	9.3	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	7.7	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	61%	42	31	3	3	4	22	10	32	27-34	79%	36-62	58%	12-35	34%

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23 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	35.8	26	62%	8	7	2	1	0	1	1	7	5-6	83%	9-14	64%	1-4	25%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	31.8	9	90%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	31.2	19	59%	15	1	0	1	0	6	4	11	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	29.9	22	55%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	7-8	88%	6-11	55%	1-6	17%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	16.4	7	70%	4	0	1	1	0	3	1	3	5-7	71%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	19.3	11	61%	2	6	0	0	1	4	1	1	5-7	71%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	17.6	11	69%	3	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	17.4	7	39%	3	3	0	0	0	3	2	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	12.9	4	67%	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	10.7	8	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	9.3	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	7.7	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	61%	42	31	3	3	4	22	10	32	27-34	79%	36-62	58%	12-35	34%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	41.3	53	88%	6	4	0	0	4	2	2	4	6-6	100%	10-14	71%	9-14	64%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	37.8	23	52%	21	19	1	0	1	5	2	19	6-6	100%	7-14	50%	1-5	20%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	29.4	12	75%	1	3	0	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	25.1	11	61%	3	4	0	0	2	6	1	2	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Spencer Jones #21 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 25	20.3	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	26.9	4	50%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	23.3	21	81%	4	3	0	0	0	2	0	4	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	20.0	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	15.8	8	57%	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	INACTIVE
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	INACTIVE
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	67%	45	36	1	1	9	27	5	40	23-29	79%	31-51	61%	19-38	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.22 60.8%

DEN

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

63%

DEN

69%

Midrange

DAL

54%

DEN

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

18.0

34%

51%

DEN

28.5

50%

75%

Free Throws

DAL

79%

DEN

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	26	62%	13.0 / 21
N. Marshall	22	55%	11.0 / 20
P. Washington	19	59%	9.5 / 16
B. Williams	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Middleton	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Christie	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Thompson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Smith	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Powell	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Bagley	7	39%	3.5 / 9
R. Nembhard	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Poulakidas	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	53	88%	26.5 / 30
N. Jokić	23	52%	11.5 / 22
P. Watson	21	81%	10.5 / 13
C. Johnson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. Braun	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Strawther	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Brown	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Jones	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Hardaway	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 1 121.3	DAL 129.8 DEN 134.0 +4.2
Pace	6 102.5 19 99.4	DAL 104.5 DEN 105.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 9 14.7	DAL 13.8 DEN 13.6 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 1 57.7%	DAL 55.7% DEN 66.9% +11.2%
TO %	13 13.5% 3 12.1%	DAL 3.4% −4.7% DEN 8.1%
ORB %	26 23.2% 24 23.6%	DAL 20.0% +6.5% DEN 13.5%
FTrt	6 28.7 4 29.4	DAL 35.1 +2.5 DEN 32.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 9 66.5%	DAL 64.6% DEN 72.0% +7.4%
STL %	27 7.3% 30 6.8%	DAL 2.9% +2.0% DEN 0.9%
BLK %	16 9.0% 29 7.6%	DAL 5.9% +4.3% DEN 1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 1 60.1%	DAL 60.8% DEN 67.0% +6.2%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 12 65.1%	DAL 63.0% DEN 69.2% +6.2%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 2 47.0%	DAL 54.3% +2.3% DEN 52.0%
3P %	26 34.4% 1 39.6%	DAL 34.3% DEN 50.0% +15.7%
FT %	28 75.5% 5 80.8%	DAL 79.4% +0.1% DEN 79.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 19 31.1%	DAL 27.8% DEN 29.2% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 21 28.1%	DAL 36.1% DEN 28.1% −8.0%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 17 40.8%	DAL 36.1% DEN 42.7% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DAL	DEN
Possessions	104	106
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	135	142
Rebounds	42	45
Assists	31	36
Steals	3	1
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	4 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls	22	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	40 (2)
Field Goals	48-97	50-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	18-26
Midrange FG	19-35	13-25
2-Point FG	36-62	31-51
3-Point FG	12-35	19-38
Free Throws	27-34	23-29
Fast Break Pts	12	27
2nd Chance Pts	16	8
Points in Paint	56	54
Pts off Turnovers	19	7
Bench Points	52	39
Biggest Lead	4	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg