Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 26, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Kings	17%	108	117	123.2	95	91.6
	16	Magic	83%	120	121	128.7	94	97.6

Prediction updated: Mar 26, 2026 10:51 PM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+14

-9

100

ORL

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.18 59.1%

ORL

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	38.6	10	50%	7	3	3	0	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	38.5	33	59%	6	11	0	0	0	3	0	6	9-10	90%	12-23	52%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	33.8	14	58%	9	2	2	2	2	1	4	5	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 28	32.4	13	54%	2	5	1	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Devin Carter #22 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 24	24.9	14	54%	3	4	1	0	5	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	35.0	23	96%	3	0	0	0	0	5	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	6-10	60%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	15.8	2	100%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	12.2	6	60%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
DaQuan Jeffries #25 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 29	7.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Joint Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	35	30	7	3	9	24	9	26	13-16	81%	31-55	56%	14-33	42%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	38.6	10	50%	7	3	3	0	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	38.5	33	59%	6	11	0	0	0	3	0	6	9-10	90%	12-23	52%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	33.8	14	58%	9	2	2	2	2	1	4	5	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 28	32.4	13	54%	2	5	1	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Devin Carter #22 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 24	24.9	14	54%	3	4	1	0	5	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	35.0	23	96%	3	0	0	0	0	5	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	6-10	60%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	15.8	2	100%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	12.2	6	60%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
DaQuan Jeffries #25 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 29	7.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Joint Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	35	30	7	3	9	24	9	26	13-16	81%	31-55	56%	14-33	42%

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16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	37.6	30	58%	9	7	0	0	1	2	4	5	7-8	88%	10-18	56%	1-4	25%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	35.4	10	45%	11	0	1	1	2	1	1	10	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	34.8	23	77%	0	6	0	0	2	1	0	0	8-8	100%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	34.0	8	50%	4	4	0	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	32.3	18	90%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	5-6	83%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%

Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	21.8	11	92%	5	2	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Jevon Carter #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 31	13.5	7	88%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	12.6	6	75%	2	0	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	7.9	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	5.2	5	125%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Morales #30 · PG · 6'6" 180 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lateral Abdominal; Strain
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	67%	36	22	2	2	12	14	7	29	28-32	88%	27-47	57%	13-27	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.18 59.1%

ORL

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

68%

ORL

63%

Midrange

SAC

44%

ORL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

21.0

42%

64%

ORL

19.5

48%

72%

Free Throws

SAC

81%

ORL

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	33	59%	16.5 / 28
D. Plowden	23	96%	11.5 / 12
P. Achiuwa	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Carter	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Monk	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Raynaud	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. McDermott	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Cardwell	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Jeffries	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	30	58%	15.0 / 26
D. Bane	23	77%	11.5 / 15
T. da Silva	18	90%	9.0 / 10
J. Cain	11	92%	5.5 / 6
W. Carter	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Suggs	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Carter	7	88%	3.5 / 4
G. Bitadze	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Richardson	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Howard	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Wagner	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 17 114.3	SAC 123.2 ORL 128.7 +5.6
Pace	17 100.0 14 100.5	SAC 91.6 ORL 97.6 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 17 14.2	SAC 15.7 ORL 14.7 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 26 53.0%	SAC 59.1% ORL 62.8% +3.7%
TO %	15 13.7% 12 13.5%	SAC 10.4% −1.6% ORL 12.0%
ORB %	13 25.9% 18 25.0%	SAC 23.7% +2.5% ORL 21.2%
FTrt	19 25.6 2 31.1	SAC 18.2 ORL 43.2 +25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 12 64.7%	SAC 66.7% +11.7% ORL 55.0%
STL %	21 8.0% 16 8.4%	SAC 7.4% +5.3% ORL 2.1%
BLK %	19 8.6% 17 8.8%	SAC 6.4% +2.8% ORL 3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 19 56.3%	SAC 59.1% ORL 66.5% +7.4%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 24 63.0%	SAC 67.9% +4.9% ORL 63.0%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 24 41.5%	SAC 44.4% ORL 50.0% +5.6%
3P %	29 34.1% 27 34.3%	SAC 42.4% ORL 48.1% +5.7%
FT %	21 77.2% 8 80.1%	SAC 81.3% ORL 87.5% +6.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 4 35.7%	SAC 31.8% ORL 36.5% +4.7%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 12 25.7%	SAC 30.7% ORL 27.0% −3.7%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 24 38.6%	SAC 37.5% +1.0% ORL 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	ORL
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	117	121
Rebounds	35	36
Assists	30	22
Steals	7	2
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	12 (0)
Fouls	24	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	29 (4)
Field Goals	45-88	40-74
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	17-27
Midrange FG	12-27	10-20
2-Point FG	31-55	27-47
3-Point FG	14-33	13-27
Free Throws	13-16	28-32
Fast Break Pts	16	4
2nd Chance Pts	12	11
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	13	16
Bench Points	33	32
Biggest Lead	3	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg