Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 27, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Clippers	69%	117	114	115.2	99	102.3
	22	Pacers	31%	110	113	111.9	101	97.8

Prediction updated: Mar 27, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+22

-11

110

IND

+17

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.04 51.8%

IND

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	34.5	30	71%	0	5	0	0	4	1	0	0	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	6-11	55%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	34.5	28	52%	8	4	3	0	0	2	2	6	1-2	50%	12-20	60%	1-6	17%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	33.2	16	73%	9	4	0	2	1	3	2	7	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 29	25.8	4	29%	3	3	1	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 29	19.9	5	42%	6	1	2	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-1	100%

Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	29.3	17	53%	7	1	1	0	2	1	2	5	12-15	80%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	20.6	2	17%	3	1	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	14.5	3	30%	5	0	2	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	14.4	4	67%	4	0	0	0	2	3	3	1	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	13.2	5	36%	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	0	1-3	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Feature
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	52%	46	20	12	4	11	19	16	30	19-27	70%	28-62	45%	13-34	38%

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12 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	34.5	30	71%	0	5	0	0	4	1	0	0	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	6-11	55%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	34.5	28	52%	8	4	3	0	0	2	2	6	1-2	50%	12-20	60%	1-6	17%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	33.2	16	73%	9	4	0	2	1	3	2	7	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 29	25.8	4	29%	3	3	1	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 29	19.9	5	42%	6	1	2	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-1	100%

Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	29.3	17	53%	7	1	1	0	2	1	2	5	12-15	80%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	20.6	2	17%	3	1	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	14.5	3	30%	5	0	2	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	14.4	4	67%	4	0	0	0	2	3	3	1	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	13.2	5	36%	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	0	1-3	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Feature
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	52%	46	20	12	4	11	19	16	30	19-27	70%	28-62	45%	13-34	38%

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22 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	35.4	26	87%	7	2	1	0	5	5	1	6	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	4-5	80%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	32.7	11	31%	6	3	1	0	5	3	0	6	3-4	75%	4-13	31%	0-3	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	32.2	13	46%	1	10	1	1	2	5	1	0	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	2-7	29%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	20.3	3	30%	3	4	0	1	2	1	0	3	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 23	4.4	5	125%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	26.8	11	61%	4	3	2	1	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	22.9	20	91%	8	4	0	0	1	3	3	5	0-0	-	4-4	100%	4-7	57%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	18.6	2	33%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	15.9	13	72%	7	0	0	1	1	2	2	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	13.5	2	100%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	13.1	7	70%	2	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	4.1	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	45	34	6	4	20	24	10	35	11-15	73%	27-51	53%	16-36	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	IND
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.04 51.8%

IND

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

50%

IND

68%

Midrange

LAC

41%

IND

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

19.5

38%

57%

IND

24.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

LAC

70%

IND

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Garland	30	71%	15.0 / 21
K. Leonard	28	52%	14.0 / 27
B. Mathurin	17	53%	8.5 / 16
B. Lopez	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Collins	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Miller	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Jones	4	29%	2.0 / 7
I. Jackson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Batum	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Dunn	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nesmith	26	87%	13.0 / 15
O. Toppin	20	91%	10.0 / 11
A. Nembhard	13	46%	6.5 / 14
M. Potter	13	72%	6.5 / 9
P. Siakam	11	31%	5.5 / 18
K. Brown	11	61%	5.5 / 9
Q. Jackson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Walker	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Huff	3	30%	1.5 / 5
B. Sheppard	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. McConnell	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Slawson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.4 28 110.1	LAC 115.2 +3.3 IND 111.9
Pace	28 97.3 10 101.4	LAC 102.3 +4.5 IND 97.8
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 25 13.9	LAC 14.1 −0.7 IND 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.9% 23 53.3%	LAC 49.5% IND 58.6% +9.1%
TO %	17 13.9% 14 13.6%	LAC 10.0% −7.6% IND 17.6%
ORB %	23 23.7% 29 21.7%	LAC 31.4% +6.4% IND 25.0%
FTrt	3 29.5 20 25.2	LAC 28.1 +10.9 IND 17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.6% 5 67.8%	LAC 48.8% IND 79.1% +30.3%
STL %	5 9.2% 28 7.2%	LAC 12.1% +6.2% IND 5.9%
BLK %	13 9.5% 26 8.1%	LAC 7.8% +1.3% IND 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 24 55.4%	LAC 51.8% IND 58.2% +6.4%
Rim FG%	3 67.1% 25 62.9%	LAC 50.0% IND 67.9% +17.9%
Mid FG%	10 44.2% 19 42.7%	LAC 40.6% +5.8% IND 34.8%
3P %	7 36.8% 18 35.6%	LAC 38.2% IND 44.4% +6.2%
FT %	1 82.3% 17 77.6%	LAC 70.4% IND 73.3% +2.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.6% 23 30.3%	LAC 31.3% IND 32.2% +0.9%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 18 27.5%	LAC 33.3% IND 26.4% −6.9%
3P Att. %	19 40.4% 14 42.2%	LAC 35.4% IND 41.4% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	IND
Possessions	99	101
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	114	113
Rebounds	46	45
Assists	20	34
Steals	12	6
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	20 (0)
Fouls	19	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (6)	10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	35 (3)
Field Goals	41-96	43-87
At-the-Rim FG	15-30	19-28
Midrange FG	13-32	8-23
2-Point FG	28-62	27-51
3-Point FG	13-34	16-36
Free Throws	19-27	11-15
Fast Break Pts	14	12
2nd Chance Pts	21	18
Points in Paint	46	42
Pts off Turnovers	27	28
Bench Points	31	55
Biggest Lead	3	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg