Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 27, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	27%	108	102	112.1	91	99.5
	2	Celtics	73%	116	109	119.8	91	83.8

Prediction updated: Mar 27, 2026 11:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+12

-4

BOS

+18

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.03 51.5%

BOS

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	38.4	20	63%	4	5	2	0	0	4	0	4	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	2-5	40%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	37.7	8	50%	9	2	0	0	1	5	4	5	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	36.6	29	60%	6	6	1	1	2	0	0	6	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	5-11	45%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	33.7	21	50%	5	2	0	0	0	3	1	4	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	3-10	30%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	32.2	6	38%	6	5	2	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	18.1	3	21%	2	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	13.8	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	12.4	3	38%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	10.3	3	50%	1	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	6.8	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Impingement
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	35	23	6	4	4	21	10	25	19-24	79%	19-45	42%	15-42	36%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	38.4	20	63%	4	5	2	0	0	4	0	4	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	2-5	40%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	37.7	8	50%	9	2	0	0	1	5	4	5	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	36.6	29	60%	6	6	1	1	2	0	0	6	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	5-11	45%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	33.7	21	50%	5	2	0	0	0	3	1	4	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	3-10	30%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	32.2	6	38%	6	5	2	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	18.1	3	21%	2	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	13.8	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	12.4	3	38%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	10.3	3	50%	1	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	6.8	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Impingement
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	35	23	6	4	4	21	10	25	19-24	79%	19-45	42%	15-42	36%

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2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	36.6	26	46%	12	5	0	0	2	1	0	12	8-10	80%	6-16	38%	2-8	25%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	34.2	10	33%	4	5	0	0	3	5	2	2	4-5	80%	3-9	33%	0-4	0%
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 28	29.0	10	71%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	28.1	3	50%	6	2	0	0	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	27.6	5	83%	11	5	0	1	3	3	0	11	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	34.5	36	72%	7	4	0	0	5	2	3	4	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	6-11	55%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	27.5	5	83%	3	1	0	3	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	15.1	11	92%	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	7.4	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charles Bassey #99 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Tonje #8 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
Nikola Vučević #4 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	58%	52	26	0	4	15	20	13	39	19-23	83%	24-46	52%	14-35	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	BOS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.03 51.5%

BOS

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

57%

BOS

67%

Midrange

ATL

27%

BOS

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

22.5

36%

54%

BOS

21.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

ATL

79%

BOS

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	29	60%	14.5 / 24
C. McCollum	21	50%	10.5 / 21
N. Alexander-Walker	20	63%	10.0 / 16
O. Okongwu	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Daniels	6	38%	3.0 / 8
Z. Risacher	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Kuminga	3	21%	1.5 / 7
G. Vincent	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Gueye	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Kispert	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pritchard	36	72%	18.0 / 25
J. Tatum	26	46%	13.0 / 28
L. Garza	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. White	10	33%	5.0 / 15
S. Hauser	10	71%	5.0 / 7
N. Queta	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Walsh	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. Scheierman	3	50%	1.5 / 3
H. González	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 2 120.0	ATL 112.1 BOS 119.8 +7.7
Pace	4 102.5 30 95.5	ATL 99.5 +15.6 BOS 83.8
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 2 15.7	ATL 14.5 −2.7 BOS 17.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 11 55.3%	ATL 47.7% BOS 55.6% +7.9%
TO %	8 13.0% 2 12.0%	ATL 3.9% −11.0% BOS 14.9%
ORB %	20 24.3% 6 29.2%	ATL 20.4% BOS 34.2% +13.8%
FTrt	27 23.4 30 20.7	ATL 27.6 BOS 28.4 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 30 58.5%	ATL 67.6% BOS 68.4% +0.8%
STL %	6 9.1% 25 7.4%	ATL 6.6% +6.6% BOS 0.0%
BLK %	18 8.8% 5 10.4%	ATL 8.7% BOS 8.9% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 13 56.9%	ATL 51.5% BOS 58.0% +6.5%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 2 68.9%	ATL 56.5% BOS 66.7% +10.2%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 12 44.2%	ATL 27.3% BOS 40.0% +12.7%
3P %	5 37.1% 8 36.7%	ATL 35.7% BOS 40.0% +4.3%
FT %	20 77.4% 7 80.7%	ATL 79.2% BOS 82.6% +3.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 30 24.4%	ATL 26.4% +0.5% BOS 25.9%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 24 28.9%	ATL 25.3% −5.6% BOS 30.9%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 4 46.7%	ATL 48.3% +5.1% BOS 43.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	ATL	BOS
Possessions	91	91
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	102	109
Rebounds	35	52
Assists	23	26
Steals	6	0
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	4 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	21	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	39 (4)
Field Goals	34-87	38-81
At-the-Rim FG	13-23	14-21
Midrange FG	6-22	10-25
2-Point FG	19-45	24-46
3-Point FG	15-42	14-35
Free Throws	19-24	19-23
Fast Break Pts	14	6
2nd Chance Pts	9	18
Points in Paint	34	38
Pts off Turnovers	20	4
Bench Points	18	55
Biggest Lead	16	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg