Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 27, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Jazz	8%	111	129	121.7	106	110.5
	4	Nuggets	92%	129	135	128.6	105	100.9

Prediction updated: Mar 28, 2026 12:52 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+11

-10

107

DEN

+19

-14

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.22 60.8%

DEN

1.23 61.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Elijah Harkless #16 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 26	41.2	11	34%	4	2	2	2	1	3	0	4	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	2-9	22%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	30.3	24	71%	0	7	2	0	1	3	0	0	6-7	86%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	27.5	15	54%	7	1	0	0	2	5	1	6	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-7	14%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	25.5	13	72%	4	6	2	0	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	24.8	25	66%	8	5	0	0	1	3	0	8	2-4	50%	10-11	91%	1-6	17%

John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	30.2	16	80%	8	2	1	2	0	0	3	5	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Kennedy Chandler #0 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 24	29.4	16	73%	1	7	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	18.6	0	0%	2	1	2	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	12.4	9	90%	9	3	0	0	1	2	4	5	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury management
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	61%	43	34	10	4	10	24	9	34	14-19	74%	44-62	71%	9-33	27%

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28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Elijah Harkless #16 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 26	41.2	11	34%	4	2	2	2	1	3	0	4	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	2-9	22%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	30.3	24	71%	0	7	2	0	1	3	0	0	6-7	86%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	27.5	15	54%	7	1	0	0	2	5	1	6	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-7	14%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	25.5	13	72%	4	6	2	0	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	24.8	25	66%	8	5	0	0	1	3	0	8	2-4	50%	10-11	91%	1-6	17%

John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	30.2	16	80%	8	2	1	2	0	0	3	5	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Kennedy Chandler #0 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 24	29.4	16	73%	1	7	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	18.6	0	0%	2	1	2	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	12.4	9	90%	9	3	0	0	1	2	4	5	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury management
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	61%	43	34	10	4	10	24	9	34	14-19	74%	44-62	71%	9-33	27%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	39.4	31	78%	6	14	0	0	1	1	0	6	8-8	100%	4-8	50%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	38.6	33	87%	15	12	1	0	7	0	4	11	5-8	63%	11-14	79%	2-2	100%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	30.9	17	57%	7	1	1	1	1	2	2	5	5-6	83%	6-8	75%	0-4	0%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	26.2	12	55%	4	0	1	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-11	36%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	21.7	7	44%	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	28.3	21	70%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	6-7	86%	0-0	-	5-12	42%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	21.0	7	32%	5	4	0	2	4	4	1	4	2-3	67%	1-8	13%	1-2	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	15.2	7	70%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	13.7	0	0%	6	0	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	5.1	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	INACTIVE
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	61%	50	34	5	4	14	17	15	35	26-32	81%	26-47	55%	19-48	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.22 60.8%

DEN

1.23 61.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

75%

DEN

54%

Midrange

UTA

61%

DEN

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

13.5

27%

41%

DEN

28.5

40%

59%

Free Throws

UTA

74%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Filipowski	25	66%	12.5 / 19
C. Williams	24	71%	12.0 / 17
J. Konchar	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Chandler	16	73%	8.0 / 11
A. Bailey	15	54%	7.5 / 14
B. Sensabaugh	13	72%	6.5 / 9
E. Harkless	11	34%	5.5 / 16
O. Tshiebwe	9	90%	4.5 / 5
B. Mbeng	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	33	87%	16.5 / 19
J. Murray	31	78%	15.5 / 20
T. Hardaway	21	70%	10.5 / 15
A. Gordon	17	57%	8.5 / 15
C. Johnson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Braun	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Watson	7	32%	3.5 / 11
B. Brown	7	70%	3.5 / 5
S. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 1 121.3	UTA 121.7 DEN 128.6 +6.9
Pace	2 103.4 19 99.4	UTA 110.5 +9.6 DEN 100.9
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 9 14.7	UTA 13.0 −1.2 DEN 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 1 57.7%	UTA 60.5% +3.1% DEN 57.4%
TO %	23 14.4% 3 12.1%	UTA 8.8% −3.3% DEN 12.1%
ORB %	12 26.2% 24 23.6%	UTA 20.5% DEN 30.6% +10.1%
FTrt	10 27.7 4 29.4	UTA 20.0 DEN 33.7 +13.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 9 66.5%	UTA 64.2% DEN 75.6% +11.4%
STL %	14 8.5% 30 6.8%	UTA 9.4% +4.6% DEN 4.8%
BLK %	30 7.5% 29 7.6%	UTA 8.5% +2.0% DEN 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 1 60.1%	UTA 60.8% DEN 61.4% +0.6%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 12 65.1%	UTA 75.0% +21.4% DEN 53.6%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 2 47.0%	UTA 61.1% +3.2% DEN 57.9%
3P %	25 34.5% 1 39.6%	UTA 27.3% DEN 39.6% +12.3%
FT %	13 78.6% 5 80.8%	UTA 73.7% DEN 81.3% +7.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 19 31.1%	UTA 46.3% +16.8% DEN 29.5%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 21 28.1%	UTA 18.9% −1.1% DEN 20.0%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 17 40.8%	UTA 34.7% DEN 50.5% +15.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	UTA	DEN
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	129	135
Rebounds	43	50
Assists	34	34
Steals	10	5
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	24	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	35 (0)
Field Goals	53-95	45-95
At-the-Rim FG	33-44	15-28
Midrange FG	11-18	11-19
2-Point FG	44-62	26-47
3-Point FG	9-33	19-48
Free Throws	14-19	26-32
Fast Break Pts	24	17
2nd Chance Pts	15	19
Points in Paint	84	46
Pts off Turnovers	28	13
Bench Points	41	35
Biggest Lead	14	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg