Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 27, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	19%	106	126	121.2	104	105.7
	20	Warriors	81%	118	131	126.0	104	102.3

Prediction updated: Mar 28, 2026 02:03 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

-11

102

GSW

+10

-12

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.25 62.4%

GSW

1.28 64.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Leaky Black #14 · PF · 6'6" 209 · 27	42.0	4	22%	8	4	1	0	0	3	2	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	25.8	16	80%	2	5	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-5	80%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	22.5	8	36%	9	3	0	1	1	6	2	7	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.1	11	50%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	19.1	21	62%	6	2	0	1	0	0	1	5	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	4-9	44%

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	29.2	22	85%	5	5	2	0	1	4	0	5	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	3-5	60%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	25.3	6	38%	2	3	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	25.0	14	78%	1	3	2	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	12.0	14	117%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	10.8	7	88%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	6.1	3	150%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	Inactive - Not With Team
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	38	29	5	3	11	23	5	33	8-10	80%	32-53	60%	18-42	43%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Leaky Black #14 · PF · 6'6" 209 · 27	42.0	4	22%	8	4	1	0	0	3	2	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	25.8	16	80%	2	5	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-5	80%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	22.5	8	36%	9	3	0	1	1	6	2	7	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.1	11	50%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	19.1	21	62%	6	2	0	1	0	0	1	5	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	4-9	44%

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	29.2	22	85%	5	5	2	0	1	4	0	5	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	3-5	60%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	25.3	6	38%	2	3	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	25.0	14	78%	1	3	2	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	12.0	14	117%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	10.8	7	88%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	6.1	3	150%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	Inactive - Not With Team
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	38	29	5	3	11	23	5	33	8-10	80%	32-53	60%	18-42	43%

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20 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	33.4	27	84%	4	4	0	0	1	2	2	2	8-9	89%	5-7	71%	3-5	60%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	33.3	22	65%	10	7	2	0	3	1	1	9	7-8	88%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Draymond Green #23 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	32.2	6	60%	4	10	1	2	3	2	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	28.8	28	67%	8	3	0	0	0	0	2	6	5-7	71%	4-6	67%	5-11	45%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	24.5	8	80%	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	27.3	12	46%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-10	40%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	24.9	15	63%	5	2	1	1	2	3	1	4	1-3	33%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	24.9	13	65%	5	2	1	0	2	2	1	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	7.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Rupture
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	64%	43	32	5	3	12	14	9	34	24-31	77%	25-41	61%	19-44	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.25 62.4%

GSW

1.28 64.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

75%

GSW

68%

Midrange

WAS

44%

GSW

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

27.0

43%

64%

GSW

28.5

43%

65%

Free Throws

WAS

80%

GSW

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Riley	22	85%	11.0 / 13
B. Coulibaly	21	62%	10.5 / 17
B. Carrington	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Gill	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Hardy	14	117%	7.0 / 6
T. Johnson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Sarr	8	36%	4.0 / 11
S. Cooper	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Champagnie	6	38%	3.0 / 8
L. Black	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Watkins	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Porziņģis	28	67%	14.0 / 21
G. Santos	27	84%	13.5 / 16
B. Podziemski	22	65%	11.0 / 17
G. Payton	15	63%	7.5 / 12
P. Spencer	13	65%	6.5 / 10
L. Cryer	12	46%	6.0 / 13
W. Richard	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Green	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Leons	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 19 114.0	WAS 121.2 GSW 126.0 +4.8
Pace	5 102.5 18 99.9	WAS 105.7 +3.4 GSW 102.3
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 10 14.7	WAS 13.6 −0.4 GSW 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 13 55.0%	WAS 62.1% GSW 62.9% +0.8%
TO %	26 14.7% 28 14.9%	WAS 10.0% −0.8% GSW 10.8%
ORB %	21 24.0% 14 25.8%	WAS 12.8% GSW 21.4% +8.6%
FTrt	26 23.5 24 23.8	WAS 10.5 GSW 36.5 +26.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 1 70.6%	WAS 58.0% GSW 72.7% +14.7%
STL %	22 7.8% 3 9.6%	WAS 4.8% GSW 4.8%
BLK %	9 10.0% 27 8.0%	WAS 7.3% +1.6% GSW 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 11 57.1%	WAS 62.4% GSW 64.2% +1.8%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 5 66.7%	WAS 75.0% +7.3% GSW 67.7%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 22 42.1%	WAS 44.0% +4.0% GSW 40.0%
3P %	16 35.9% 20 35.6%	WAS 42.9% GSW 43.2% +0.3%
FT %	23 76.6% 6 80.7%	WAS 80.0% +2.6% GSW 77.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 24 29.5%	WAS 29.5% GSW 36.5% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 3 20.8%	WAS 26.3% GSW 11.8% −14.6%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 1 49.7%	WAS 44.2% GSW 51.8% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	GSW
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	126	131
Rebounds	38	43
Assists	29	32
Steals	5	5
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	23	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (4)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	34 (4)
Field Goals	50-95	44-85
At-the-Rim FG	21-28	21-31
Midrange FG	11-25	4-10
2-Point FG	32-53	25-41
3-Point FG	18-42	19-44
Free Throws	8-10	24-31
Fast Break Pts	10	9
2nd Chance Pts	12	10
Points in Paint	54	46
Pts off Turnovers	22	18
Bench Points	66	40
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg