Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 27, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Mavericks	35%	112	100	96.2	104	105.7
	18	Blazers	65%	117	93	89.4	104	102.4

Prediction updated: Mar 28, 2026 02:03 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

-17

POR

+18

-24

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.04 52.1%

POR

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	37.5	24	63%	3	2	4	0	3	0	1	2	6-6	100%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	32.9	19	56%	3	3	5	0	1	3	0	3	5-7	71%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	27.3	5	42%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	25.3	5	28%	3	2	1	2	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	20.8	4	50%	5	3	1	0	3	3	1	4	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	27.3	26	81%	9	3	1	1	1	5	3	6	1-4	25%	8-9	89%	3-5	60%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	20.0	10	50%	1	5	0	1	2	5	0	1	6-8	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	18.1	7	35%	2	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	2-8	25%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	12.0	0	0%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	10.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	8.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	37	24	12	5	17	22	7	30	21-30	70%	29-57	51%	7-24	29%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	37.5	24	63%	3	2	4	0	3	0	1	2	6-6	100%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	32.9	19	56%	3	3	5	0	1	3	0	3	5-7	71%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	27.3	5	42%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	25.3	5	28%	3	2	1	2	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	20.8	4	50%	5	3	1	0	3	3	1	4	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	27.3	26	81%	9	3	1	1	1	5	3	6	1-4	25%	8-9	89%	3-5	60%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	20.0	10	50%	1	5	0	1	2	5	0	1	6-8	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	18.1	7	35%	2	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	2-8	25%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	12.0	0	0%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	10.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	8.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	37	24	12	5	17	22	7	30	21-30	70%	29-57	51%	7-24	29%

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18 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	38.6	8	44%	5	3	1	1	1	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	37.8	20	53%	9	6	1	2	5	2	0	9	4-9	44%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Jrue Holiday #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 36	35.1	23	55%	4	3	1	0	4	0	1	3	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	3-9	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	31.6	6	27%	17	0	0	1	5	4	6	11	2-4	50%	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 32	29.0	19	68%	4	0	1	2	1	2	3	1	9-12	75%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	22.1	9	38%	2	3	3	0	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	15.6	4	50%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	11.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	10.8	4	67%	5	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	7.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chris Youngblood #11 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Kent #29 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	47%	48	16	8	7	24	23	14	34	23-33	70%	23-49	47%	8-30	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	POR
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.04 52.1%

POR

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

61%

POR

47%

Midrange

DAL

38%

POR

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

10.5

29%

44%

POR

12.0

27%

40%

Free Throws

DAL

70%

POR

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bagley	26	81%	13.0 / 16
C. Flagg	24	63%	12.0 / 19
N. Marshall	19	56%	9.5 / 17
B. Williams	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Thompson	7	35%	3.5 / 10
P. Washington	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Christie	5	28%	2.5 / 9
D. Powell	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Nembhard	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	23	55%	11.5 / 21
D. Avdija	20	53%	10.0 / 19
J. Grant	19	68%	9.5 / 14
S. Henderson	9	38%	4.5 / 12
T. Camara	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Clingan	6	27%	3.0 / 11
M. Thybulle	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Williams	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Cissoko	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 21 113.1	DAL 96.2 +6.7 POR 89.4
Pace	6 102.5 8 101.6	DAL 105.7 +3.3 POR 102.4
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 16 14.2	DAL 13.6 −0.4 POR 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 22 53.3%	DAL 48.8% +4.5% POR 44.3%
TO %	13 13.5% 30 16.1%	DAL 15.3% −5.8% POR 21.1%
ORB %	26 23.2% 2 31.3%	DAL 17.1% POR 31.8% +14.7%
FTrt	6 28.7 9 28.0	DAL 37.0 POR 41.8 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 18 61.6%	DAL 66.7% +15.1% POR 51.6%
STL %	27 7.3% 20 8.1%	DAL 11.5% +3.8% POR 7.7%
BLK %	16 9.0% 8 10.1%	DAL 10.2% POR 12.3% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 23 55.6%	DAL 52.1% +4.7% POR 47.4%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 19 63.9%	DAL 60.6% +13.7% POR 46.9%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 29 37.4%	DAL 37.5% POR 47.1% +9.6%
3P %	26 34.4% 28 34.2%	DAL 29.2% +2.5% POR 26.7%
FT %	28 75.5% 24 76.5%	DAL 70.0% +0.3% POR 69.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 5 35.6%	DAL 40.7% +0.2% POR 40.5%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 2 17.6%	DAL 29.6% POR 21.5% −8.1%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 3 46.8%	DAL 29.6% POR 38.0% +8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	DAL	POR
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	100	93
Rebounds	37	48
Assists	24	16
Steals	12	8
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	24 (1)
Fouls	22	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	34 (6)
Field Goals	36-81	31-79
At-the-Rim FG	20-33	15-32
Midrange FG	9-24	8-17
2-Point FG	29-57	23-49
3-Point FG	7-24	8-30
Free Throws	21-30	23-33
Fast Break Pts	9	9
2nd Chance Pts	13	12
Points in Paint	52	44
Pts off Turnovers	33	11
Bench Points	43	17
Biggest Lead	17	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg