Final Win Prob. pScore
1269%121
118
2231%114
135
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
114.6103102.7
IND logo Pacers
129.8104104.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.118
135
Q4 - 0:11.9PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound118
135
Q4 - 0:14.0HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot118
135
Q4 - 0:22.2PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)118
135
Q4 - 0:31.4Andrew Wiggins kicked ball violation118
133
Q4 - 0:48.1HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
133
Q4 - 0:48.1HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2117
133
Q4 - 0:48.1PacersJay Huff shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)117
133
Q4 - 0:58.1HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound117
133
Q4 - 1:00PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot117
133
Q4 - 1:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)117
133
Q4 - 1:14PacersPacers defensive rebound117
133
Q4 - 1:17HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point running jump shot117
133
Q4 - 1:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound117
133
Q4 - 1:24PacersPascal Siakam misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot117
133
Q4 - 1:43PacersJay Huff defensive rebound117
133
Q4 - 1:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot117
133
Q4 - 2:02Heat 60 second timeout117
133
Q4 - 2:04PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point pullup jump shot (Ben Sheppard assists)117
133
Q4 - 2:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)117
130
Q4 - 2:26PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound117
130
Q4 - 2:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot117
130
Q4 - 2:36PacersPascal Siakam makes two point stepback jump shot117
130
Q4 - 2:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)117
128
Q4 - 3:00PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
128
Q4 - 3:00PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
127
Q4 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)115
126
Q4 - 3:05PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound115
126
Q4 - 3:06HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup115
126
Q4 - 3:22PacersJay Huff makes two point jump shot (Kobe Brown assists)115
126
Q4 - 3:31PacersAndrew Nembhard makes technical free throw 1 of 1115
124
Q4 - 3:31HeatDavion Mitchell technical foul115
123
Q4 - 3:31HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)115
123
Q4 - 3:37PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound115
123
Q4 - 3:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot115
123
Q4 - 3:52HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound115
123
Q4 - 3:54PacersKobe Brown misses three point jump shot115
123
Q4 - 3:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)115
123
Q4 - 3:55PacersPacers offensive rebound115
123
Q4 - 3:56PacersAndrew Wiggins blocks Andrew Nembhard's two point driving layup115
123
Q4 - 4:05Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)115
123
Q4 - 4:05HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)115
123
Q4 - 4:10PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound115
123
Q4 - 4:13HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot115
123
Q4 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound115
123
Q4 - 4:25PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point pullup jump shot115
123
Q4 - 4:46PacersJay Huff defensive rebound115
123
Q4 - 4:50HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot115
123
Q4 - 5:07Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)115
123
Q4 - 5:07Heat 60 second timeout115
123
Q4 - 5:08PacersJay Huff makes two point floating jump shot (Jalen Slawson assists)115
123
Q4 - 5:21Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)115
121
Q4 - 5:21Stoppage (Out of bounds)115
121
Q4 - 5:21PacersPacers defensive rebound115
121
Q4 - 5:23HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup115
121
Q4 - 5:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound115
121
Q4 - 5:34PacersPascal Siakam misses two point fadeaway jump shot115
121
Q4 - 5:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup115
121
Q4 - 6:01PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running reverse layup (Pascal Siakam assists)113
121
Q4 - 6:04PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound113
119
Q4 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating bank jump shot113
119
Q4 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound113
119
Q4 - 6:18PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot113
119
Q4 - 6:21PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound113
119
Q4 - 6:24PacersJalen Slawson misses two point jump shot113
119
Q4 - 6:31PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound113
119
Q4 - 6:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot113
119
Q4 - 6:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound113
119
Q4 - 6:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot113
119
Q4 - 7:02PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
119
Q4 - 7:02Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jalen Slawson, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)113
118
Q4 - 7:02Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)113
118
Q4 - 7:02PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
118
Q4 - 7:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)113
117
Q4 - 7:08PacersJay Huff defensive rebound113
117
Q4 - 7:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot113
117
Q4 - 7:36PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point running pullup jump shot113
117
Q4 - 7:40PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound113
115
Q4 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot113
115
Q4 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound113
115
Q4 - 7:54PacersJay Huff misses three point jump shot113
115
Q4 - 8:13HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving finger roll layup113
115
Q4 - 8:27Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jalen Slawson, T.J. McConnell, Jay Huff, Ben Sheppard)111
115
Q4 - 8:27Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)111
115
Q4 - 8:27Heat 60 second timeout111
115
Q4 - 8:27PacersPascal Siakam makes two point running finger roll layup111
115
Q4 - 8:32PacersJay Huff defensive rebound111
113
Q4 - 8:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot111
113
Q4 - 8:48PacersBen Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)111
113
Q4 - 9:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup111
110
Q4 - 9:16PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)109
110
Q4 - 9:24HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point putback layup109
110
Q4 - 9:26HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 9:26HeatKobe Brown blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point putback layup107
110
Q4 - 9:26HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 9:32HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point putback layup107
110
Q4 - 9:32HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 9:36HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot107
110
Q4 - 9:43HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 9:43PacersPascal Siakam misses two point tip layup107
110
Q4 - 9:43PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 9:46PacersPascal Siakam misses two point cutting layup107
110
Q4 - 9:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)107
110
Q4 - 9:59PacersPacers defensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 10:00HeatT.J. McConnell blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point running pullup jump shot107
110
Q4 - 10:06HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 10:09PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point jump shot107
110
Q4 - 10:19PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 10:21HeatPelle Larsson misses two point running layup107
110
Q4 - 10:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 10:27PacersKobe Brown misses three point jump shot107
110
Q4 - 10:34PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 10:35HeatJay Huff blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving floating bank jump shot107
110
Q4 - 10:46HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 10:48PacersJay Huff misses three point jump shot107
110
Q4 - 10:56PacersKobe Brown defensive rebound107
110
Q4 - 10:59HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot107
110
Q4 - 11:15PacersJay Huff makes two point dunk (Kobe Brown assists)107
110
Q4 - 11:27HeatKasparas Jakucionis turnover (lost ball) (Ben Sheppard steals)107
108
Q4 - 11:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound107
108
Q4 - 11:35HeatJay Huff blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup107
108
Q4 - 11:42HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound107
108
Q4 - 11:45PacersBen Sheppard misses two point jump shot107
108
Q4 - 12:00Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Kobe Brown, T.J. McConnell, Jay Huff, Ben Sheppard)107
108
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)107
108
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.107
108
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound107
108
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot107
108
Q3 - 0:05.1PacersKobe Brown makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)107
108
Q3 - 0:28.2HeatKasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)107
105
Q3 - 0:36.6PacersObi Toppin makes two point driving finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)104
105
Q3 - 0:46.9PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound104
103
Q3 - 0:48.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot104
103
Q3 - 1:01HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound104
103
Q3 - 1:03PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot104
103
Q3 - 1:14HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)104
103
Q3 - 1:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)102
103
Q3 - 1:35Stoppage (Out of bounds)102
103
Q3 - 1:36Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)102
103
Q3 - 1:36Heat 60 second timeout102
103
Q3 - 1:38PacersKobe Brown makes three point jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)102
103
Q3 - 1:49PacersJay Huff defensive rebound102
100
Q3 - 1:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot102
100
Q3 - 2:05PacersObi Toppin makes two point driving finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)102
100
Q3 - 2:13HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup102
98
Q3 - 2:31PacersKobe Brown makes two point driving dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)100
98
Q3 - 2:55HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)100
96
Q3 - 3:02HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound97
96
Q3 - 3:03PacersObi Toppin misses two point jump shot97
96
Q3 - 3:20HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)97
96
Q3 - 3:31PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot94
96
Q3 - 3:39HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Obi Toppin draws the foul)94
94
Q3 - 3:49PacersKobe Brown defensive rebound94
94
Q3 - 3:51HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot94
94
Q3 - 4:08Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, T.J. McConnell, Jay Huff, Obi Toppin, Andrew Nembhard)94
94
Q3 - 4:08PacersKobe Brown personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)94
94
Q3 - 4:16Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)94
94
Q3 - 4:16PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (offensive foul)94
94
Q3 - 4:16PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)94
94
Q3 - 4:20PacersMicah Potter defensive rebound94
94
Q3 - 4:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup94
94
Q3 - 4:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound94
94
Q3 - 4:33PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point pullup jump shot94
94
Q3 - 4:41PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound94
94
Q3 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot94
94
Q3 - 5:01PacersObi Toppin makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andrew Nembhard assists)94
94
Q3 - 5:07Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Kobe Brown, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin, Andrew Nembhard)94
92
Q3 - 5:07Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)94
92
Q3 - 5:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)94
92
Q3 - 5:07PacersPacers offensive rebound94
92
Q3 - 5:08PacersKobe Brown misses two point driving layup94
92
Q3 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)94
92
Q3 - 5:34PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point stepback jump shot92
92
Q3 - 5:55HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup92
90
Q3 - 6:20PacersMicah Potter makes two point bank jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)90
90
Q3 - 6:40Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Kobe Brown, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Andrew Nembhard)90
88
Q3 - 6:40Pacers 60 second timeout90
88
Q3 - 6:40HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Loose ball) (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)90
88
Q3 - 6:40PacersPacers defensive rebound90
88
Q3 - 6:41HeatPelle Larsson misses two point floating jump shot90
88
Q3 - 6:58PacersQuenton Jackson makes two point layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)90
88
Q3 - 7:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot90
86
Q3 - 7:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
86
Q3 - 7:35PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup (Quenton Jackson assists)87
86
Q3 - 7:47Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)87
84
Q3 - 7:49HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)87
84
Q3 - 7:50HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound84
84
Q3 - 7:54HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot84
84
Q3 - 8:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
84
Q3 - 8:06PacersPascal Siakam misses two point fadeaway jump shot84
84
Q3 - 8:20HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Jalen Slawson draws the foul)84
84
Q3 - 8:20PacersJalen Slawson defensive rebound84
84
Q3 - 8:20HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving finger roll layup84
84
Q3 - 8:34PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Kobe Brown assists)84
84
Q3 - 8:35PacersKobe Brown offensive rebound84
81
Q3 - 8:38PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot84
81
Q3 - 8:57HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)84
81
Q3 - 9:06Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jalen Slawson, Kobe Brown, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)82
81
Q3 - 9:06PacersMicah Potter personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
81
Q3 - 9:06HeatHeat offensive rebound82
81
Q3 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running pullup jump shot82
81
Q3 - 9:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
81
Q3 - 9:14PacersMicah Potter misses two point turnaround hook shot82
81
Q3 - 9:34HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)82
81
Q3 - 9:45PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (back court violation)79
81
Q3 - 9:46Stoppage (Out of bounds)79
81
Q3 - 9:46PacersPacers offensive rebound79
81
Q3 - 9:46PacersAndrew Wiggins blocks Pascal Siakam's two point layup79
81
Q3 - 9:58PacersJalen Slawson defensive rebound79
81
Q3 - 10:00HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot79
81
Q3 - 10:07PacersJalen Slawson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)79
81
Q3 - 10:15HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound79
81
Q3 - 10:19PacersPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot79
81
Q3 - 10:38PacersJalen Slawson defensive rebound79
81
Q3 - 10:41HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot79
81
Q3 - 11:00HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound79
81
Q3 - 11:03PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point stepback jump shot79
81
Q3 - 11:17HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup79
81
Q3 - 11:28PacersQuenton Jackson makes two point driving reverse layup77
81
Q3 - 11:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Pelle Larsson assists)77
79
Q3 - 11:52PacersMicah Potter personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
79
Q3 - 12:00Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Jalen Slawson, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)75
79
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)75
79
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.75
79
Q2 - 0:00.0PacersPacers offensive rebound75
79
Q2 - 0:00.0PacersBam Adebayo blocks Ethan Thompson's two point pullup jump shot75
79
Q2 - 0:05.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)75
79
Q2 - 0:28.5PacersEthan Thompson makes three point pullup jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)72
79
Q2 - 0:30.6Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Kobe Brown, Andrew Nembhard)72
76
Q2 - 0:30.6Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
76
Q2 - 0:50.9Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)72
76
Q2 - 0:51.5HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)72
76
Q2 - 1:02PacersKobe Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)70
76
Q2 - 1:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)70
74
Q2 - 1:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
74
Q2 - 1:25PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot68
74
Q2 - 1:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)68
74
Q2 - 1:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound66
74
Q2 - 1:46PacersKobe Brown misses three point jump shot66
74
Q2 - 1:51Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)66
74
Q2 - 1:51Pacers 60 second timeout66
74
Q2 - 1:58HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point running finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)66
74
Q2 - 2:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
74
Q2 - 2:05PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup64
74
Q2 - 2:13PacersMicah Potter defensive rebound64
74
Q2 - 2:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot64
74
Q2 - 2:25PacersBen Sheppard makes two point cutting layup (Pascal Siakam assists)64
74
Q2 - 2:42HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup64
72
Q2 - 2:55PacersMicah Potter makes three point jump shot (Kobe Brown assists)62
72
Q2 - 3:06PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound62
69
Q2 - 3:08HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot62
69
Q2 - 3:15HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound62
69
Q2 - 3:17PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 162
69
Q2 - 3:17HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)62
69
Q2 - 3:17PacersPascal Siakam makes two point pullup jump shot62
69
Q2 - 3:31HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 262
67
Q2 - 3:31Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Kobe Brown, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)61
67
Q2 - 3:31HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 261
67
Q2 - 3:31PacersQuenton Jackson shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)60
67
Q2 - 3:34PacersQuenton Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)60
67
Q2 - 3:36PacersQuenton Jackson defensive rebound60
67
Q2 - 3:39HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point pullup jump shot60
67
Q2 - 3:54PacersMicah Potter makes regular free throw 2 of 260
67
Q2 - 3:54PacersMicah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 260
66
Q2 - 3:54HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Micah Potter draws the foul)60
65
Q2 - 4:01PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound60
65
Q2 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 260
65
Q2 - 4:04Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Kobe Brown, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)60
65
Q2 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 260
65
Q2 - 4:04PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
65
Q2 - 4:13PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround jump shot59
65
Q2 - 4:28HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)59
63
Q2 - 4:48PacersQuenton Jackson makes two point running dunk (Pascal Siakam assists)57
63
Q2 - 4:52HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)57
61
Q2 - 4:59HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound57
61
Q2 - 5:02PacersObi Toppin misses three point running jump shot57
61
Q2 - 5:05PacersQuenton Jackson defensive rebound57
61
Q2 - 5:09HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot57
61
Q2 - 5:19PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup57
61
Q2 - 5:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Davion Mitchell assists)57
59
Q2 - 5:30PacersPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)55
59
Q2 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)55
59
Q2 - 6:01Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Andrew Nembhard)52
59
Q2 - 6:01Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)52
59
Q2 - 6:01Heat 60 second timeout52
59
Q2 - 6:04PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)52
59
Q2 - 6:11HeatMyron Gardner turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
56
Q2 - 6:17PacersPascal Siakam makes three point pullup jump shot52
56
Q2 - 6:23Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jalen Slawson, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Andrew Nembhard)52
53
Q2 - 6:23Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo)52
53
Q2 - 6:23Myron Gardner kicked ball violation52
53
Q2 - 6:28HeatMyron Gardner makes two point putback layup52
53
Q2 - 6:29HeatMyron Gardner offensive rebound50
53
Q2 - 6:31HeatEthan Thompson blocks Pelle Larsson's two point driving layup50
53
Q2 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
53
Q2 - 6:43PacersMyron Gardner blocks Quenton Jackson's two point cutting finger roll layup50
53
Q2 - 6:57HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)50
53
Q2 - 7:07PacersObi Toppin makes regular free throw 1 of 150
53
Q2 - 7:07Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo)50
52
Q2 - 7:07HeatMyron Gardner shooting foul (Obi Toppin draws the foul)50
52
Q2 - 7:07PacersObi Toppin makes two point pullup jump shot50
52
Q2 - 7:29Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
50
Q2 - 7:29Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)50
50
Q2 - 7:29Pacers 60 second timeout50
50
Q2 - 7:29HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)50
50
Q2 - 7:43Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Pascal Siakam, Jalen Slawson, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin)48
50
Q2 - 7:43Stoppage (Out of bounds)48
50
Q2 - 7:43HeatHeat defensive rebound48
50
Q2 - 7:46PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot48
50
Q2 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)48
50
Q2 - 8:07PacersQuenton Jackson makes two point driving layup46
50
Q2 - 8:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 146
48
Q2 - 8:22PacersKobe Brown shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)45
48
Q2 - 8:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot45
48
Q2 - 8:31PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup (Obi Toppin assists)43
48
Q2 - 8:50Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)43
46
Q2 - 8:50HeatSimone Fontecchio personal foul (Loose ball) (Obi Toppin draws the foul)43
46
Q2 - 8:50PacersPacers defensive rebound43
46
Q2 - 8:50HeatKel'el Ware misses two point bank jump shot43
46
Q2 - 9:04PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)43
46
Q2 - 9:11PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound43
43
Q2 - 9:14HeatKasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot43
43
Q2 - 9:30HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound43
43
Q2 - 9:34PacersEthan Thompson misses three point jump shot43
43
Q2 - 9:44HeatKasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 243
43
Q2 - 9:44Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Pascal Siakam, Kobe Brown, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin)42
43
Q2 - 9:44HeatKasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 242
43
Q2 - 9:44PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)41
43
Q2 - 9:55PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)41
43
Q2 - 10:10HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 241
40
Q2 - 10:10HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 240
40
Q2 - 10:10PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)40
40
Q2 - 10:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound40
40
Q2 - 10:19HeatSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot40
40
Q2 - 10:24PacersPascal Siakam turnover (out of bounds lost ball)40
40
Q2 - 10:37PacersKobe Brown defensive rebound40
40
Q2 - 10:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot40
40
Q2 - 10:54PacersKobe Brown makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)40
40
Q2 - 11:12HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving finger roll layup40
37
Q2 - 11:33PacersKobe Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 138
37
Q2 - 11:33HeatSimone Fontecchio shooting foul (Kobe Brown draws the foul)38
36
Q2 - 11:33PacersKobe Brown makes two point driving layup38
36
Q2 - 11:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Pelle Larsson assists)38
34
Q2 - 12:00Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Kobe Brown, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard)36
34
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.36
34
Q1 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)36
34
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot36
34
Q1 - 0:05.5PacersT.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 1 of 133
34
Q1 - 0:05.5HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)33
33
Q1 - 0:05.5PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot33
33
Q1 - 0:25.3Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)33
31
Q1 - 0:25.3HeatKel'el Ware makes two point dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)33
31
Q1 - 0:38.1PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)31
31
Q1 - 1:04Jump ball. Kobe Brown vs. Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Quenton Jackson gains possession)31
31
Q1 - 1:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Kobe Brown steals)31
31
Q1 - 1:04Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Kobe Brown, Quenton Jackson, T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard)31
31
Q1 - 1:04Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)31
31
Q1 - 1:18PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
31
Q1 - 1:32HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)31
29
Q1 - 1:42HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound29
29
Q1 - 1:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot29
29
Q1 - 1:49HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound29
29
Q1 - 1:52PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot29
29
Q1 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)29
29
Q1 - 2:17PacersMicah Potter makes two point driving dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)26
29
Q1 - 2:28PacersMicah Potter defensive rebound26
27
Q1 - 2:32HeatSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot26
27
Q1 - 2:48PacersT.J. McConnell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)26
27
Q1 - 2:59PacersMicah Potter defensive rebound26
24
Q1 - 3:02HeatSimone Fontecchio misses two point running finger roll layup26
24
Q1 - 3:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound26
24
Q1 - 3:07PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot26
24
Q1 - 3:14PacersMicah Potter defensive rebound26
24
Q1 - 3:15HeatSimone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 2 of 226
24
Q1 - 3:15HeatSimone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 226
24
Q1 - 3:15PacersMicah Potter shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)25
24
Q1 - 3:15HeatSimone Fontecchio offensive rebound25
24
Q1 - 3:16HeatSimone Fontecchio misses two point driving layup25
24
Q1 - 3:31PacersMicah Potter makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)25
24
Q1 - 3:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)25
21
Q1 - 4:04Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)22
21
Q1 - 4:04Heat 60 second timeout22
21
Q1 - 4:05PacersMicah Potter makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)22
21
Q1 - 4:14PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound22
18
Q1 - 4:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot22
18
Q1 - 4:33PacersT.J. McConnell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)22
18
Q1 - 4:50HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)22
15
Q1 - 5:11PacersKobe Brown makes two point cutting layup (T.J. McConnell assists)20
15
Q1 - 5:26HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)20
13
Q1 - 5:42PacersMicah Potter makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)17
13
Q1 - 5:55HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 217
10
Q1 - 5:55Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Kobe Brown, T.J. McConnell, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)16
10
Q1 - 5:55HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 216
10
Q1 - 5:55PacersEthan Thompson shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)15
10
Q1 - 6:06PacersMicah Potter makes three point jump shot (Kobe Brown assists)15
10
Q1 - 6:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup bank jump shot15
7
Q1 - 6:29PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running finger roll layup13
7
Q1 - 6:32PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound13
5
Q1 - 6:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot13
5
Q1 - 6:57PacersMicah Potter turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)13
5
Q1 - 7:10HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Micah Potter draws the foul)13
5
Q1 - 7:19Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Micah Potter, Kobe Brown, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)13
5
Q1 - 7:19Pacers 60 second timeout13
5
Q1 - 7:20HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup13
5
Q1 - 7:26PacersMicah Potter turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
5
Q1 - 7:35Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)11
5
Q1 - 7:35HeatPelle Larsson turnover (offensive foul)11
5
Q1 - 7:35HeatPelle Larsson offensive foul (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)11
5
Q1 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
5
Q1 - 7:42PacersJalen Slawson misses three point jump shot11
5
Q1 - 7:56PacersJalen Slawson defensive rebound11
5
Q1 - 7:57HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 111
5
Q1 - 7:57PacersJalen Slawson personal foul (Loose ball) (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)11
5
Q1 - 7:57HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot11
5
Q1 - 8:07PacersQuenton Jackson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)9
5
Q1 - 8:14PacersQuenton Jackson defensive rebound9
3
Q1 - 8:16HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot9
3
Q1 - 8:26HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound9
3
Q1 - 8:30PacersMicah Potter misses three point jump shot9
3
Q1 - 8:40HeatPelle Larsson makes two point running layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)9
3
Q1 - 8:45HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound7
3
Q1 - 8:47PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot7
3
Q1 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 27
3
Q1 - 9:01Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Micah Potter, Jalen Slawson, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)6
3
Q1 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 26
3
Q1 - 9:01PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
3
Q1 - 9:16PacersQuenton Jackson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)5
3
Q1 - 9:35HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
3
Q1 - 9:44PacersEthan Thompson personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)2
3
Q1 - 9:55PacersPascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)2
3
Q1 - 9:55PacersPascal Siakam offensive foul (Charge) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)2
3
Q1 - 10:05HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)2
3
Q1 - 10:14HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot2
3
Q1 - 10:23PacersPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)0
3
Q1 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)0
3
Q1 - 10:58PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 20
3
Q1 - 10:58PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 20
2
Q1 - 10:58HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)0
2
Q1 - 11:05PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:22PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running finger roll layup0
2
Q1 - 11:27PacersEthan Thompson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:29HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:39PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Jalen Slawson (Quenton Jackson gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Pascal Siakam, Jalen Slawson, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
IND
1.35 67.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
34
65%
IND
22
29
76%
Midrange
MIA
11
28
39%
IND
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
IND
18
27.0
39
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
13
18
72%
IND
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3170%15.5 / 22
J. Jaquez1750%8.5 / 17
A. Wiggins1550%7.5 / 15
P. Larsson1558%7.5 / 13
B. Adebayo1542%7.5 / 18
D. Mitchell1275%6.0 / 8
K. Ware550%2.5 / 5
K. Jakučionis583%2.5 / 3
M. Gardner2100%1.0 / 1
S. Fontecchio110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Siakam3056%15.0 / 27
M. Potter21105%10.5 / 10
K. Brown1882%9.0 / 11
A. Nembhard1563%7.5 / 12
T. McConnell1594%7.5 / 8
O. Toppin1275%6.0 / 8
Q. Jackson1083%5.0 / 6
J. Huff660%3.0 / 5
B. Sheppard563%2.5 / 4
E. Thompson350%1.5 / 3
J. Slawson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
96
+12
-7
108
IND
93
+7
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
IND
1.35 67.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
12
115.8
28
110.1
MIA 114.6
IND 129.8 +15.2
Pace
1
104.3
10
101.4
MIA 102.7
IND 104.3 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time
30
13.1
25
13.9
MIA 14.0
IND 13.8 −0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
18
54.2%
23
53.3%
MIA 53.0%
IND 67.4% +14.4%
TO %
5
12.6%
14
13.6%
MIA 6.1% −4.8%
IND 10.9%
ORB %
17
25.4%
29
21.7%
MIA 20.4% +11.8%
IND 8.6%
FTrt
14
26.8
20
25.2
MIA 18.2 +4.1
IND 14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
10
66.3%
5
67.8%
MIA 63.0%
IND 67.9% +4.9%
STL %
17
8.3%
28
7.2%
MIA 4.9% +2.0%
IND 2.9%
BLK %
28
7.9%
26
8.1%
MIA 7.5%
IND 8.1% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
15
56.8%
24
55.4%
MIA 54.6%
IND 67.5% +12.9%
Rim FG%
20
63.6%
25
62.9%
MIA 64.7%
IND 75.9% +11.2%
Mid FG%
21
42.4%
19
42.7%
MIA 39.3%
IND 54.2% +14.9%
3P %
11
36.1%
18
35.6%
MIA 35.1%
IND 46.2% +11.1%
FT %
11
79.2%
17
77.6%
MIA 72.2%
IND 84.6% +12.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
11
32.9%
23
30.3%
MIA 34.3% +2.8%
IND 31.5%
Mid Att. %
17
26.5%
18
27.5%
MIA 28.3%
IND 26.1% −2.2%
3P Att. %
18
40.6%
14
42.2%
MIA 37.4%
IND 42.4% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions103104
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points118135
Rebounds4242
Assists2936
Steals53
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1717
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)39 (5)
Field Goals46-9953-92
At-the-Rim FG22-3422-29
Midrange FG11-2813-24
2-Point FG33-6235-53
3-Point FG13-3718-39
Free Throws13-1811-13
Fast Break Pts1012
2nd Chance Pts135
Points in Paint6254
Pts off Turnovers217
Bench Points3077
Biggest Lead817

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31
37.5
15
50%
6
5
2
2
1
3
4
2
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
3-6
50%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26
36.4
31
70%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-9
78%
5-13
38%
#9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
35.8
15
58%
5
3
0
0
1
3
0
5
1-3
33%
7-10
70%
0-1
0%
#45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 28
35.5
12
75%
3
8
2
0
1
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 29
33.0
15
42%
12
3
0
1
1
1
0
12
3-4
75%
6-13
46%
0-3
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
25.7
17
50%
8
2
0
0
1
1
3
5
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
2-5
40%
#7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22
15.1
5
50%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 20
12.5
5
83%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30
7.2
1
10%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 25
1.5
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 33
NWT - Injury/Illness
#17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#3 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32
Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
55%
42
29
5
4
7
17
10
32
13-18
72%
33-62
53%
13-37
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.