Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 29, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	17%	107	88	85.4	103	103.9
	17	Blazers	83%	119	123	120.6	102	101.1

Prediction updated: Mar 29, 2026 10:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+13

-15

101

POR

+14

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.87 43.6%

POR

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Reese #15 · C · 6'9" 230 · 23	38.8	8	31%	13	4	1	0	4	5	3	10	0-2	0%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 22	24.1	4	14%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-5	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	22.4	11	39%	2	4	1	0	4	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	22.3	5	42%	8	2	0	0	0	1	4	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 23	16.1	10	71%	2	0	1	1	0	4	0	2	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	30.6	8	57%	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	25.6	14	64%	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	24.3	10	63%	2	1	0	1	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	19.0	10	50%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	16.8	8	57%	2	0	1	0	1	4	0	2	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Capsulitis; Injury Management
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain; Injury Management
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	39	16	7	2	15	28	9	30	19-22	86%	27-65	42%	5-22	23%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Reese #15 · C · 6'9" 230 · 23	38.8	8	31%	13	4	1	0	4	5	3	10	0-2	0%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 22	24.1	4	14%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-5	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	22.4	11	39%	2	4	1	0	4	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	22.3	5	42%	8	2	0	0	0	1	4	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 23	16.1	10	71%	2	0	1	1	0	4	0	2	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	30.6	8	57%	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	25.6	14	64%	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	24.3	10	63%	2	1	0	1	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	19.0	10	50%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	16.8	8	57%	2	0	1	0	1	4	0	2	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Capsulitis; Injury Management
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain; Injury Management
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	39	16	7	2	15	28	9	30	19-22	86%	27-65	42%	5-22	23%

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17 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	28.2	23	72%	7	1	3	0	1	2	1	6	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	4-9	44%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	27.6	20	56%	7	5	2	0	4	1	1	6	3-6	50%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	24.6	21	70%	3	7	0	0	2	4	0	3	8-9	89%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Jrue Holiday #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 36	21.8	11	79%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	20.6	6	50%	5	1	0	5	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%

Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	31.0	9	56%	2	2	0	0	1	3	2	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	19.0	10	83%	5	2	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	18.3	1	25%	4	3	1	0	1	2	2	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	Injury/Illness - Low Back; Soreness
Jayson Kent #29 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	12.5	5	83%	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	10.8	7	39%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	10.8	6	43%	4	0	0	1	2	3	1	3	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	61%	49	24	8	10	14	24	11	38	23-32	72%	32-50	64%	12-36	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	POR
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	POR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.87 43.6%

POR

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

57%

POR

69%

Midrange

WAS

29%

POR

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

7.5

23%

34%

POR

18.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

WAS

86%

POR

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Riley	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Carrington	11	39%	5.5 / 14
T. Vukcevic	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Champagnie	10	63%	5.0 / 8
S. Cooper	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Reese	8	31%	4.0 / 13
A. Gill	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Watkins	8	57%	4.0 / 7
L. Black	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Coulibaly	4	14%	2.0 / 14

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Camara	23	72%	11.5 / 16
S. Henderson	21	70%	10.5 / 15
D. Avdija	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Holiday	11	79%	5.5 / 7
M. Thybulle	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Murray	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Wesley	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Clingan	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Y. Hansen	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Kent	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Williams	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Cissoko	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 21 113.1	WAS 85.4 POR 120.6 +35.2
Pace	5 102.5 8 101.6	WAS 103.9 +2.8 POR 101.1
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 16 14.2	WAS 13.9 −0.4 POR 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 22 53.3%	WAS 39.7% POR 58.1% +18.4%
TO %	26 14.7% 30 16.1%	WAS 14.2% POR 12.3% −1.9%
ORB %	21 24.0% 2 31.3%	WAS 19.1% POR 26.8% +7.7%
FTrt	26 23.5 9 28.0	WAS 25.3 POR 37.2 +11.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 18 61.6%	WAS 50.0% POR 54.5% +4.5%
STL %	22 7.8% 20 8.1%	WAS 6.8% POR 7.8% +1.0%
BLK %	9 10.0% 8 10.1%	WAS 4.0% POR 15.4% +11.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 23 55.6%	WAS 43.6% POR 60.9% +17.3%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 19 63.9%	WAS 56.7% POR 69.0% +12.3%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 29 37.4%	WAS 28.6% POR 37.5% +8.9%
3P %	16 35.9% 28 34.2%	WAS 22.7% POR 33.3% +10.6%
FT %	23 76.6% 24 76.5%	WAS 86.4% +14.5% POR 71.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 5 35.6%	WAS 34.5% POR 48.8% +14.4%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 2 17.6%	WAS 40.2% POR 9.3% −30.9%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 3 46.8%	WAS 25.3% POR 41.9% +16.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	WAS	POR
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	88	123
Rebounds	39	49
Assists	16	24
Steals	7	8
Blocks	2	10
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	28	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	38 (5)
Field Goals	32-87	44-86
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	29-42
Midrange FG	10-35	3-8
2-Point FG	27-65	32-50
3-Point FG	5-22	12-36
Free Throws	19-22	23-32
Fast Break Pts	7	24
2nd Chance Pts	16	20
Points in Paint	44	62
Pts off Turnovers	19	24
Bench Points	50	42
Biggest Lead	0	39

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg