Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 29, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Rockets	68%	115	134	135.4	99	90.1
	21	Pelicans	32%	109	102	102.0	100	111.0

Prediction updated: Mar 29, 2026 11:03 PM

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+24

-6

117

NOP

+12

-10

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.3%

NOP

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	34.9	14	54%	8	5	3	0	0	0	2	6	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	33.3	20	63%	4	3	0	2	0	3	2	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	31.8	36	67%	13	7	3	3	0	2	7	6	7-8	88%	7-16	44%	5-7	71%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	28.8	20	59%	4	6	1	0	2	1	0	4	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	1-7	14%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	21.3	6	50%	2	2	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	25.2	9	56%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	22.3	15	63%	8	1	1	0	0	1	3	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	16.1	6	50%	14	3	0	2	1	4	6	8	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	13.4	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 28	5.5	2	33%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	3.7	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Tristen Newton #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	57%	59	33	9	8	6	17	22	37	18-21	86%	31-61	51%	18-44	41%

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10 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	34.9	14	54%	8	5	3	0	0	0	2	6	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	33.3	20	63%	4	3	0	2	0	3	2	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	31.8	36	67%	13	7	3	3	0	2	7	6	7-8	88%	7-16	44%	5-7	71%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	28.8	20	59%	4	6	1	0	2	1	0	4	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	1-7	14%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	21.3	6	50%	2	2	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	25.2	9	56%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	22.3	15	63%	8	1	1	0	0	1	3	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	16.1	6	50%	14	3	0	2	1	4	6	8	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	13.4	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 28	5.5	2	33%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	3.7	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Tristen Newton #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	57%	59	33	9	8	6	17	22	37	18-21	86%	31-61	51%	18-44	41%

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21 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	31.2	8	50%	5	1	0	4	0	3	1	4	4-8	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	31.1	18	69%	7	1	0	1	1	1	1	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	4-6	67%
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 27	29.7	10	45%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 30	28.2	19	68%	4	6	1	1	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	25.3	18	75%	4	3	0	0	1	3	1	3	6-8	75%	6-8	75%	0-0	-

Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	24.0	13	46%	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	1	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	22.1	12	40%	2	5	2	1	2	3	1	1	3-4	75%	3-10	30%	1-4	25%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	16.9	2	25%	3	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	16.2	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	5.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	3.6	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	50%	36	19	4	9	10	18	8	28	19-28	68%	28-57	49%	9-29	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.3%

NOP

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

57%

NOP

60%

Midrange

HOU

45%

NOP

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

27.0

41%

61%

NOP

13.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

HOU

86%

NOP

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	36	67%	18.0 / 27
J. Smith	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Durant	20	59%	10.0 / 17
T. Eason	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Thompson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Holiday	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Sheppard	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Capela	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Tate	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Okogie	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Green	2	100%	1.0 / 1
I. Crawford	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	19	68%	9.5 / 14
S. Bey	18	69%	9.0 / 13
Z. Williamson	18	75%	9.0 / 12
D. Queen	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Fears	12	40%	6.0 / 15
H. Jones	10	45%	5.0 / 11
Y. Missi	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Matković	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Hawkins	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Peavy	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Poole	0	-	0.0 / 2
K. Looney	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 20 113.3	HOU 135.4 +33.4 NOP 102.0
Pace	29 96.9 11 101.3	HOU 90.1 NOP 111.0 +20.9
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 22 14.1	HOU 16.0 NOP 13.0 −3.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 27 52.7%	HOU 55.2% +6.9% NOP 48.3%
TO %	25 14.7% 11 13.2%	HOU 6.5% −3.6% NOP 10.1%
ORB %	1 34.8% 8 27.0%	HOU 44.0% +26.2% NOP 17.8%
FTrt	18 26.0 8 28.4	HOU 20.0 NOP 32.6 +12.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 26 59.6%	HOU 67.3% +15.9% NOP 51.4%
STL %	9 8.7% 10 8.7%	HOU 9.1% +5.1% NOP 4.0%
BLK %	4 10.9% 7 10.1%	HOU 14.0% NOP 14.8% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 25 55.4%	HOU 57.3% +7.3% NOP 50.0%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 29 61.5%	HOU 56.7% NOP 60.0% +3.3%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 30 36.6%	HOU 45.2% +21.7% NOP 23.5%
3P %	10 36.4% 24 34.7%	HOU 40.9% +9.9% NOP 31.0%
FT %	25 76.3% 14 78.4%	HOU 85.7% +17.8% NOP 67.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 1 42.8%	HOU 28.6% NOP 46.5% +17.9%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 5 21.7%	HOU 29.5% NOP 19.8% −9.8%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 27 35.5%	HOU 41.9% +8.2% NOP 33.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	HOU	NOP
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	26.4	21.6
Points	134	102
Rebounds	59	36
Assists	33	19
Steals	9	4
Blocks	8	9
Turnovers (Team)	6 (2)	10 (1)
Fouls	17	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	22 (2)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (3)	28 (5)
Field Goals	49-105	37-86
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	24-40
Midrange FG	14-31	4-17
2-Point FG	31-61	28-57
3-Point FG	18-44	9-29
Free Throws	18-21	19-28
Fast Break Pts	22	17
2nd Chance Pts	31	10
Points in Paint	52	54
Pts off Turnovers	14	7
Bench Points	38	29
Biggest Lead	33	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg