Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 29, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Warriors	29%	113	93	101.1	92	89.0
	5	Nuggets	71%	121	116	126.1	92	95.2

Prediction updated: Mar 30, 2026 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+13

-13

DEN

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.02 51.1%

DEN

1.27 63.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	32.5	9	45%	10	3	1	0	4	4	2	8	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	31.8	23	77%	5	2	2	1	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	5-8	63%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	29.6	13	59%	4	8	1	0	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	28.6	23	77%	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	5-5	100%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	25.3	0	0%	1	3	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	24.2	7	35%	5	8	2	0	0	2	3	2	1-3	33%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	21.0	16	100%	5	1	0	0	0	5	1	4	1-1	100%	6-6	100%	1-2	50%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	16.0	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-6	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	11.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	7.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	4.6	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	3.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	3.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Soreness
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	NWT - Not With Team
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	41	29	9	2	13	18	9	32	9-11	82%	21-41	51%	14-42	33%

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18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	32.5	9	45%	10	3	1	0	4	4	2	8	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	31.8	23	77%	5	2	2	1	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	5-8	63%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	29.6	13	59%	4	8	1	0	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	28.6	23	77%	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	5-5	100%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	25.3	0	0%	1	3	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	24.2	7	35%	5	8	2	0	0	2	3	2	1-3	33%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	21.0	16	100%	5	1	0	0	0	5	1	4	1-1	100%	6-6	100%	1-2	50%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	16.0	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-6	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	11.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	7.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	4.6	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	3.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	3.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Soreness
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	NWT - Not With Team
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	41	29	9	2	13	18	9	32	9-11	82%	21-41	51%	14-42	33%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	36.1	25	63%	15	8	1	0	2	3	3	12	1-1	100%	6-12	50%	4-8	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	34.5	20	77%	6	7	2	1	4	1	0	6	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	32.8	12	67%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	0-3	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 24	22.3	10	45%	6	5	0	1	2	5	2	4	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	2-5	40%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	19.1	6	60%	1	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	26.1	16	80%	3	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	24.7	15	68%	1	0	2	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-4	75%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	17.6	7	50%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	7.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	6.0	0	0%	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	5.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	1.9	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	1.9	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	1.9	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	INACTIVE
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	INACTIVE
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	64%	40	31	11	4	11	18	6	34	11-12	92%	24-46	52%	19-40	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.02 51.1%

DEN

1.27 63.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

63%

DEN

58%

Midrange

GSW

41%

DEN

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

21.0

33%

50%

DEN

28.5

48%

71%

Free Throws

GSW

82%

DEN

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Podziemski	23	77%	11.5 / 15
K. Porziņģis	23	77%	11.5 / 15
G. Payton	16	100%	8.0 / 8
D. Green	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Santos	9	45%	4.5 / 10
P. Spencer	7	35%	3.5 / 10
M. Leons	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Melton	0	-	0.0 / 5
L. Cryer	0	-	0.0 / 6
N. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 3
S. Curry	0	-	0.0 / 1
Q. Post	0	-	0.0 / 1
Ö. Yurtseven	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	25	63%	12.5 / 20
J. Murray	20	77%	10.0 / 13
T. Hardaway	16	80%	8.0 / 10
B. Brown	15	68%	7.5 / 11
C. Braun	12	67%	6.0 / 9
P. Watson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Strawther	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Johnson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Holmes	5	125%	2.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 1 121.3	GSW 101.1 DEN 126.1 +25.0
Pace	18 99.9 19 99.4	GSW 89.0 DEN 95.2 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 9 14.7	GSW 16.2 DEN 15.1 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 1 57.7%	GSW 50.6% DEN 61.0% +10.4%
TO %	28 14.9% 3 12.1%	GSW 14.6% DEN 11.6% −3.0%
ORB %	14 25.8% 24 23.6%	GSW 20.9% +5.1% DEN 15.8%
FTrt	24 23.8 4 29.4	GSW 13.3 DEN 14.0 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 9 66.5%	GSW 82.9% +10.8% DEN 72.1%
STL %	3 9.6% 30 6.8%	GSW 9.8% DEN 12.0% +2.2%
BLK %	27 8.0% 29 7.6%	GSW 4.3% DEN 9.8% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 1 60.1%	GSW 51.1% DEN 63.7% +12.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 12 65.1%	GSW 63.2% +5.3% DEN 57.9%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 2 47.0%	GSW 40.9% DEN 48.1% +7.2%
3P %	20 35.6% 1 39.6%	GSW 33.3% DEN 47.5% +14.2%
FT %	6 80.7% 5 80.8%	GSW 81.8% DEN 91.7% +9.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 19 31.1%	GSW 22.9% +0.8% DEN 22.1%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 21 28.1%	GSW 26.5% −4.9% DEN 31.4%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 17 40.8%	GSW 50.6% +4.1% DEN 46.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	GSW	DEN
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	93	116
Rebounds	41	40
Assists	29	31
Steals	9	11
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	11 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	34 (3)
Field Goals	35-83	43-86
At-the-Rim FG	12-19	11-19
Midrange FG	9-22	13-27
2-Point FG	21-41	24-46
3-Point FG	14-42	19-40
Free Throws	9-11	11-12
Fast Break Pts	11	16
2nd Chance Pts	9	16
Points in Paint	36	36
Pts off Turnovers	13	22
Bench Points	25	43
Biggest Lead	13	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg