Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 30, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Timberwolves	68%	117	124	119.2	104	102.2
	21	Mavericks	32%	111	94	91.3	103	104.8

Prediction updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:21 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+10

-10

104

DAL

+18

-15

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.19 59.6%

DAL

0.89 44.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ayo Dosunmu #13 · SF · 6'4" 201 · 26	33.3	18	69%	15	12	3	0	1	0	2	13	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	1-2	50%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	31.4	24	75%	3	4	0	0	0	4	0	3	3-7	43%	6-10	60%	3-4	75%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	29.7	15	68%	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	5-9	56%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	28.3	14	78%	10	1	1	2	2	5	2	8	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	14.0	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 27	24.9	12	43%	5	0	0	1	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 26	23.4	12	55%	4	3	1	0	0	3	0	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	22.6	17	65%	2	4	0	0	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #12 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33	18.1	0	0%	3	4	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	5.0	4	67%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	5.0	6	100%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	4.5	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #4 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zyon Pullin #15 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Patella Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	51	33	8	6	10	27	6	45	8-12	67%	37-65	57%	14-31	45%

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13 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ayo Dosunmu #13 · SF · 6'4" 201 · 26	33.3	18	69%	15	12	3	0	1	0	2	13	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	1-2	50%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	31.4	24	75%	3	4	0	0	0	4	0	3	3-7	43%	6-10	60%	3-4	75%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	29.7	15	68%	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	5-9	56%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	28.3	14	78%	10	1	1	2	2	5	2	8	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	14.0	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 27	24.9	12	43%	5	0	0	1	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 26	23.4	12	55%	4	3	1	0	0	3	0	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	22.6	17	65%	2	4	0	0	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #12 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33	18.1	0	0%	3	4	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	5.0	4	67%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	5.0	6	100%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	4.5	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #4 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zyon Pullin #15 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Patella Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	51	33	8	6	10	27	6	45	8-12	67%	37-65	57%	14-31	45%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	30.7	12	29%	4	1	0	2	2	1	1	3	2-4	50%	5-16	31%	0-3	0%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	28.0	3	30%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	24.4	21	75%	8	2	0	1	1	4	5	3	3-8	38%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	22.6	9	45%	6	1	1	0	5	2	0	6	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-1	100%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	20.2	8	36%	3	5	0	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	27.8	15	58%	6	7	2	0	3	0	0	6	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	23.6	9	90%	8	2	1	0	1	0	2	6	9-10	90%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	22.1	5	28%	2	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-6	17%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	17.9	8	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	17.7	4	29%	8	0	1	0	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	5.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Impingement
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	44%	53	21	6	3	15	14	14	39	25-34	74%	24-60	40%	7-29	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.19 59.6%

DAL

0.89 44.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

81%

DAL

62%

Midrange

MIN

28%

DAL

19%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

21.0

45%

68%

DAL

10.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

MIN

67%

DAL

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	24	75%	12.0 / 16
A. Dosunmu	18	69%	9.0 / 13
A. Edwards	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. DiVincenzo	15	68%	7.5 / 11
R. Gobert	14	78%	7.0 / 9
N. Reid	12	43%	6.0 / 14
B. Hyland	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Beringer	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Shannon	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Clark	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Conley	0	-	0.0 / 3
K. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gafford	21	75%	10.5 / 14
B. Williams	15	58%	7.5 / 13
C. Flagg	12	29%	6.0 / 21
K. Middleton	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Powell	9	90%	4.5 / 5
R. Nembhard	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Poulakidas	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Thompson	5	28%	2.5 / 9
T. Smith	4	29%	2.0 / 7
M. Christie	3	30%	1.5 / 5
A. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 27 110.4	MIN 119.2 +28.0 DAL 91.3
Pace	9 101.4 6 102.5	MIN 102.2 DAL 104.8 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 24 14.0	MIN 14.1 DAL 13.7 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 28 52.7%	MIN 60.4% +21.6% DAL 38.8%
TO %	18 13.9% 13 13.5%	MIN 9.8% −2.8% DAL 12.6%
ORB %	15 25.7% 26 23.2%	MIN 13.3% DAL 23.7% +10.4%
FTrt	7 28.5 6 28.7	MIN 12.5 DAL 38.2 +25.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 22 60.4%	MIN 64.7% DAL 67.7% +3.0%
STL %	13 8.6% 27 7.3%	MIN 7.7% +1.9% DAL 5.8%
BLK %	6 10.4% 16 9.0%	MIN 10.0% +5.4% DAL 4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 28 55.2%	MIN 59.6% +15.3% DAL 44.3%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 22 63.2%	MIN 80.6% +18.5% DAL 62.1%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 18 43.1%	MIN 27.6% +8.2% DAL 19.4%
3P %	6 37.0% 26 34.4%	MIN 45.2% +21.1% DAL 24.1%
FT %	29 75.2% 28 75.5%	MIN 66.7% DAL 73.5% +6.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 12 32.8%	MIN 37.5% +4.9% DAL 32.6%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 28 31.7%	MIN 30.2% −4.6% DAL 34.8%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 26 35.5%	MIN 32.3% DAL 32.6% +0.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DAL
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	124	94
Rebounds	51	53
Assists	33	21
Steals	8	6
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	27	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	45 (1)	39 (1)
Field Goals	51-96	31-89
At-the-Rim FG	29-36	18-29
Midrange FG	8-29	6-31
2-Point FG	37-65	24-60
3-Point FG	14-31	7-29
Free Throws	8-12	25-34
Fast Break Pts	33	19
2nd Chance Pts	10	19
Points in Paint	68	42
Pts off Turnovers	20	12
Bench Points	53	41
Biggest Lead	33	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg