Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 30, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	17%	109	101	101.0	100	109.0
	20	Lakers	83%	121	120	118.8	101	93.3

Prediction updated: Mar 31, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+10

-9

101

LAL

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.00 50.0%

LAL

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Riley #27 · PF · 6'9" 180 · 20	36.0	20	50%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	1-7	14%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	28.3	5	42%	1	7	0	0	4	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	26.9	18	75%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.9	11	46%	6	2	2	0	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	20.1	14	47%	3	1	4	1	0	3	1	2	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	36.0	11	69%	5	1	1	1	0	3	1	4	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	27.5	8	36%	5	5	2	0	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	22.4	11	61%	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	20.0	3	21%	2	5	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Retrocalcaneal; Bursitis
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Capsulitis
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	50%	33	25	11	2	9	22	5	28	12-16	75%	34-58	59%	7-35	20%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Riley #27 · PF · 6'9" 180 · 20	36.0	20	50%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	1-7	14%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	28.3	5	42%	1	7	0	0	4	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	26.9	18	75%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.9	11	46%	6	2	2	0	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	20.1	14	47%	3	1	4	1	0	3	1	2	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	36.0	11	69%	5	1	1	1	0	3	1	4	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	27.5	8	36%	5	5	2	0	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	22.4	11	61%	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	20.0	3	21%	2	5	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Retrocalcaneal; Bursitis
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Capsulitis
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	50%	33	25	11	2	9	22	5	28	12-16	75%	34-58	59%	7-35	20%

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20 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	33.0	21	55%	10	12	0	1	4	0	1	9	4-6	67%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SG · 6'7" 235 · 24	27.9	4	67%	3	2	3	1	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 28	27.2	19	56%	3	9	1	0	5	0	1	2	11-12	92%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	25.6	14	64%	6	0	0	0	0	2	0	6	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	22.4	12	100%	7	1	0	3	2	0	2	5	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	0-0	-

Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	25.6	6	27%	1	1	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-5	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	23.1	4	40%	8	1	1	0	1	0	2	6	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	23.0	19	106%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	19.8	19	119%	7	0	0	2	0	1	2	5	2-3	67%	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	5.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	3.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	2.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	NWT - League Suspension
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Contusion
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	48	29	7	7	15	15	9	39	25-32	78%	37-55	67%	7-24	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.00 50.0%

LAL

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

75%

LAL

69%

Midrange

WAS

38%

LAL

65%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

10.5

20%

30%

LAL

10.5

29%

44%

Free Throws

WAS

75%

LAL

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Riley	20	50%	10.0 / 20
J. Champagnie	18	75%	9.0 / 12
T. Vukcevic	14	47%	7.0 / 15
T. Johnson	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Gill	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Hardy	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Watkins	8	36%	4.0 / 11
B. Carrington	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. Cooper	3	21%	1.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	21	55%	10.5 / 19
A. Reaves	19	56%	9.5 / 17
L. Kennard	19	106%	9.5 / 9
J. Hayes	19	119%	9.5 / 8
R. Hachimura	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Ayton	12	100%	6.0 / 6
B. James	6	27%	3.0 / 11
J. LaRavia	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Vanderbilt	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Bufkin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Knecht	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 10 117.1	WAS 101.0 LAL 118.8 +17.8
Pace	5 102.5 21 99.2	WAS 109.0 +15.8 LAL 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 6 14.8	WAS 13.2 −2.2 LAL 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 2 57.3%	WAS 47.8% LAL 60.1% +12.3%
TO %	26 14.7% 19 13.9%	WAS 8.3% −5.6% LAL 13.9%
ORB %	21 24.0% 22 23.9%	WAS 11.4% LAL 24.3% +12.9%
FTrt	26 23.5 1 32.0	WAS 17.2 LAL 40.5 +23.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 19 61.5%	WAS 61.0% LAL 65.9% +4.9%
STL %	22 7.8% 12 8.6%	WAS 11.0% +4.1% LAL 6.9%
BLK %	9 10.0% 23 8.3%	WAS 3.6% LAL 12.1% +8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 2 59.4%	WAS 50.0% LAL 63.2% +13.2%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 1 72.0%	WAS 75.0% +6.4% LAL 68.6%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 4 46.8%	WAS 38.5% LAL 65.0% +26.5%
3P %	16 35.9% 14 35.9%	WAS 20.0% LAL 29.2% +9.2%
FT %	23 76.6% 26 76.3%	WAS 75.0% LAL 78.1% +3.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 21 30.7%	WAS 34.4% LAL 44.3% +9.9%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 26 30.0%	WAS 28.0% LAL 25.3% −2.6%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 22 39.4%	WAS 37.6% +7.3% LAL 30.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	WAS	LAL
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	101	120
Rebounds	33	48
Assists	25	29
Steals	11	7
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	22	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (5)	9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	39 (4)
Field Goals	41-93	44-79
At-the-Rim FG	24-32	24-35
Midrange FG	10-26	13-20
2-Point FG	34-58	37-55
3-Point FG	7-35	7-24
Free Throws	12-16	25-32
Fast Break Pts	6	21
2nd Chance Pts	17	10
Points in Paint	58	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	17
Bench Points	33	50
Biggest Lead	4	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg