Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Raptors	37%	105	116	116.0	100	108.7
	7	Pistons	63%	109	127	128.3	99	91.7

Prediction updated: Mar 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+18

-13

105

DET

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.10 55.2%

DET

1.43 71.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	30.8	24	75%	6	2	1	0	2	1	0	6	8-10	80%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Brandon Ingram #3 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 29	30.8	22	65%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 25	27.7	5	25%	1	12	3	2	4	2	0	1	1-4	25%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22	26.7	3	25%	4	4	3	0	1	6	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	23.5	13	65%	4	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-

Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	29.3	6	38%	0	12	1	0	1	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	23.8	14	50%	10	0	2	1	2	2	7	3	0-2	0%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	22.0	16	62%	6	2	1	0	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	18.5	13	108%	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 28	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fasciitis
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	55%	35	33	13	3	13	22	14	21	20-31	65%	33-60	55%	10-29	34%

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16 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	30.8	24	75%	6	2	1	0	2	1	0	6	8-10	80%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Brandon Ingram #3 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 29	30.8	22	65%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 25	27.7	5	25%	1	12	3	2	4	2	0	1	1-4	25%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22	26.7	3	25%	4	4	3	0	1	6	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	23.5	13	65%	4	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-

Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	29.3	6	38%	0	12	1	0	1	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	23.8	14	50%	10	0	2	1	2	2	7	3	0-2	0%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	22.0	16	62%	6	2	1	0	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	18.5	13	108%	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 28	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fasciitis
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	55%	35	33	13	3	13	22	14	21	20-31	65%	33-60	55%	10-29	34%

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7 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	36.6	21	81%	5	5	0	1	3	3	1	4	9-9	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	34.6	31	97%	9	3	0	1	3	5	2	7	7-7	100%	12-13	92%	0-0	-
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	32.9	12	60%	5	6	0	0	1	1	0	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	29.0	19	95%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	5-8	63%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	26.2	5	36%	7	5	2	0	3	2	2	5	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	21.7	8	57%	2	3	1	0	4	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	19.0	12	86%	1	2	0	2	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	13.4	10	83%	2	5	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	13.1	1	10%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	7.7	8	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	5.8	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lung; Pneumothorax
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	71%	34	33	7	5	18	22	7	27	26-30	87%	31-50	62%	13-23	57%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DET
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.10 55.2%

DET

1.43 71.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

60%

DET

70%

Midrange

TOR

44%

DET

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

15.0

34%

52%

DET

19.5

57%

85%

Free Throws

TOR

65%

DET

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	24	75%	12.0 / 16
B. Ingram	22	65%	11.0 / 17
S. Mamukelashvili	16	62%	8.0 / 13
C. Murray-Boyles	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Poeltl	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Lawson	13	108%	6.5 / 6
J. Shead	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Barnes	5	25%	2.5 / 10
J. Walter	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Fultz	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Duren	31	97%	15.5 / 16
D. Jenkins	21	81%	10.5 / 13
D. Robinson	19	95%	9.5 / 10
T. Harris	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. LeVert	12	86%	6.0 / 7
P. Reed	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Huerter	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Sasser	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. Thompson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Holland	1	10%	0.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 115.1 9 117.4	TOR 116.0 DET 128.3 +12.3
Pace	22 99.1 20 99.3	TOR 108.7 +17.0 DET 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.1 13 14.5	TOR 13.2 −2.5 DET 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.6% 15 54.7%	TOR 53.9% DET 69.2% +15.3%
TO %	7 12.9% 21 14.1%	TOR 12.0% −7.6% DET 19.6%
ORB %	16 25.5% 3 30.9%	TOR 34.1% +9.1% DET 25.0%
FTrt	16 26.5 5 29.2	TOR 34.8 DET 41.1 +6.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 69.2% 16 64.1%	TOR 76.7% +1.7% DET 75.0%
STL %	8 8.8% 1 10.4%	TOR 13.0% +5.9% DET 7.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 1 13.2%	TOR 6.0% DET 8.3% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.6% 12 57.0%	TOR 55.2% DET 71.3% +16.1%
Rim FG%	6 66.5% 16 64.7%	TOR 59.5% DET 69.7% +10.2%
Mid FG%	16 43.7% 27 40.5%	TOR 44.4% DET 47.1% +2.7%
3P %	21 35.4% 17 35.6%	TOR 34.5% DET 56.5% +22.0%
FT %	22 76.9% 27 76.3%	TOR 64.5% DET 86.7% +22.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 32.9% 2 40.1%	TOR 47.2% +2.0% DET 45.2%
Mid Att. %	27 30.7% 11 25.3%	TOR 20.2% −3.1% DET 23.3%
3P Att. %	25 36.3% 29 34.5%	TOR 32.6% +1.1% DET 31.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	TOR	DET
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	116	127
Rebounds	35	34
Assists	33	33
Steals	13	7
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	18 (3)
Fouls	22	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (2)	27 (4)
Field Goals	43-89	44-73
At-the-Rim FG	25-42	23-33
Midrange FG	8-18	8-17
2-Point FG	33-60	31-50
3-Point FG	10-29	13-23
Free Throws	20-31	26-30
Fast Break Pts	14	12
2nd Chance Pts	11	7
Points in Paint	60	54
Pts off Turnovers	33	19
Bench Points	49	39
Biggest Lead	0	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg