Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Cavaliers	48%	117	113	116.5	97	103.3
	12	Lakers	52%	118	127	129.6	98	92.4

Prediction updated: Apr 1, 2026 02:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+14

-14

LAL

+13

-10

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.16 58.2%

LAL

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	27.7	17	57%	0	3	0	0	3	1	0	0	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	2-5	40%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	24.2	10	45%	3	6	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	23.3	11	69%	3	1	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	21.5	6	60%	4	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	18.6	18	75%	4	2	1	0	1	2	2	2	0-2	0%	9-11	82%	0-0	-

Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	24.6	14	88%	6	0	0	1	0	1	4	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	22.3	9	50%	3	1	0	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.4	7	50%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	18.9	9	56%	3	3	1	1	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	15.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	12.0	10	83%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	12.0	2	25%	4	1	2	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Bone Bruise
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	35	26	5	2	14	19	11	24	14-19	74%	30-48	63%	13-39	33%

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8 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	27.7	17	57%	0	3	0	0	3	1	0	0	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	2-5	40%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	24.2	10	45%	3	6	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	23.3	11	69%	3	1	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	21.5	6	60%	4	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	18.6	18	75%	4	2	1	0	1	2	2	2	0-2	0%	9-11	82%	0-0	-

Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	24.6	14	88%	6	0	0	1	0	1	4	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	22.3	9	50%	3	1	0	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.4	7	50%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	18.9	9	56%	3	3	1	1	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	15.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	12.0	10	83%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	12.0	2	25%	4	1	2	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Bone Bruise
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	35	26	5	2	14	19	11	24	14-19	74%	30-48	63%	13-39	33%

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12 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	38.1	14	117%	7	0	1	0	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-2	100%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	36.8	19	53%	6	4	2	1	5	3	1	5	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	2-9	22%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	34.0	42	68%	5	12	2	0	0	4	0	5	10-10	100%	7-13	54%	6-13	46%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	30.6	14	64%	5	6	1	1	3	2	0	5	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	28.1	18	64%	9	1	1	1	0	1	6	3	2-3	67%	8-13	62%	0-0	-

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	22.8	2	50%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	18.9	14	88%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	18.6	4	50%	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	6.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	64%	37	26	9	4	10	19	8	29	24-26	92%	32-52	62%	13-31	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.16 58.2%

LAL

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

73%

LAL

74%

Midrange

CLE

50%

LAL

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

19.5

33%

50%

LAL

19.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

CLE

74%

LAL

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Allen	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Harden	17	57%	8.5 / 15
T. Bryant	14	88%	7.0 / 8
M. Strus	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Mitchell	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Proctor	10	83%	5.0 / 6
N. Tomlin	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Schröder	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Ellis	7	50%	3.5 / 7
E. Mobley	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Nance	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	42	68%	21.0 / 31
A. Reaves	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. Ayton	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. LaRavia	14	117%	7.0 / 6
L. James	14	64%	7.0 / 11
R. Hachimura	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Hayes	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Kennard	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Bufkin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 10 117.1	CLE 116.5 LAL 129.6 +13.1
Pace	12 100.6 21 99.2	CLE 103.3 +10.9 LAL 92.4
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 6 14.8	CLE 13.9 −1.6 LAL 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 2 57.3%	CLE 56.9% LAL 62.0% +5.1%
TO %	10 13.2% 19 13.9%	CLE 12.8% LAL 11.3% −1.5%
ORB %	9 26.9% 22 23.9%	CLE 27.5% +2.5% LAL 25.0%
FTrt	15 26.5 1 32.0	CLE 21.8 LAL 31.3 +9.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 19 61.5%	CLE 60.5% +2.7% LAL 57.8%
STL %	15 8.4% 12 8.6%	CLE 5.2% LAL 9.2% +4.0%
BLK %	11 9.8% 23 8.3%	CLE 3.8% LAL 8.3% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 2 59.4%	CLE 58.2% LAL 63.5% +5.3%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 1 72.0%	CLE 73.1% LAL 74.1% +1.0%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 4 46.8%	CLE 50.0% +2.0% LAL 48.0%
3P %	13 36.0% 14 35.9%	CLE 33.3% LAL 41.9% +8.6%
FT %	19 77.6% 26 76.3%	CLE 73.7% LAL 92.3% +18.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 21 30.7%	CLE 29.9% LAL 32.5% +2.6%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 26 30.0%	CLE 25.3% −4.8% LAL 30.1%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 22 39.4%	CLE 44.8% +7.5% LAL 37.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	CLE	LAL
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	113	127
Rebounds	35	37
Assists	26	26
Steals	5	9
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	10 (2)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (3)	29 (4)
Field Goals	43-87	45-83
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	20-27
Midrange FG	11-22	12-25
2-Point FG	30-48	32-52
3-Point FG	13-39	13-31
Free Throws	14-19	24-26
Fast Break Pts	11	16
2nd Chance Pts	12	14
Points in Paint	56	54
Pts off Turnovers	12	17
Bench Points	51	20
Biggest Lead	7	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg