Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Kings	23%	107	123	126.8	97	85.7
	18	Raptors	77%	116	115	117.3	98	112.9

Prediction updated: Apr 1, 2026 11:41 PM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+23

-13

107

TOR

+10

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.15 57.5%

TOR

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	38.0	28	67%	19	1	0	1	2	4	11	8	3-4	75%	11-17	65%	1-2	50%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	34.9	28	61%	1	4	0	0	1	2	1	0	12-12	100%	5-14	36%	2-4	50%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	32.3	9	50%	2	3	1	0	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	23.1	6	60%	8	0	0	0	1	3	0	8	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	22.8	13	46%	5	3	1	0	0	1	3	2	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	29.2	18	69%	3	5	1	1	3	1	0	3	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	21.8	11	69%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	14.4	5	42%	2	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	14.4	2	33%	6	3	0	1	2	4	3	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	9.1	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
DaQuan Jeffries #25 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 29	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Management
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	48	24	7	3	13	22	19	29	27-29	93%	30-59	51%	12-33	36%

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26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	38.0	28	67%	19	1	0	1	2	4	11	8	3-4	75%	11-17	65%	1-2	50%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	34.9	28	61%	1	4	0	0	1	2	1	0	12-12	100%	5-14	36%	2-4	50%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	32.3	9	50%	2	3	1	0	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	23.1	6	60%	8	0	0	0	1	3	0	8	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	22.8	13	46%	5	3	1	0	0	1	3	2	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	29.2	18	69%	3	5	1	1	3	1	0	3	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	21.8	11	69%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	14.4	5	42%	2	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	14.4	2	33%	6	3	0	1	2	4	3	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	9.1	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
DaQuan Jeffries #25 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 29	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Management
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	48	24	7	3	13	22	19	29	27-29	93%	30-59	51%	12-33	36%

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18 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	37.1	16	80%	1	7	2	1	2	2	0	1	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	3-3	100%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 26	36.3	20	48%	5	6	0	1	5	4	1	4	3-5	60%	7-14	50%	1-5	20%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	35.3	14	39%	5	10	2	1	3	2	1	4	4-8	50%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	32.3	8	100%	4	3	3	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	28.2	18	75%	5	1	1	0	0	2	1	4	6-8	75%	6-8	75%	0-0	-

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	33.1	17	85%	6	3	1	2	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	18.0	20	77%	4	2	0	0	0	5	1	3	6-8	75%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	16.0	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Heel - inflammation - injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	61%	32	33	9	5	11	21	5	27	22-32	69%	33-54	61%	9-23	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.15 57.5%

TOR

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

69%

TOR

77%

Midrange

SAC

33%

TOR

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

36%

55%

TOR

13.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

SAC

93%

TOR

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Achiuwa	28	67%	14.0 / 21
D. DeRozan	28	61%	14.0 / 23
M. Monk	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Carter	13	46%	6.5 / 14
D. Plowden	11	69%	5.5 / 8
N. Clifford	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Raynaud	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Hayes	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. McDermott	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Cardwell	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	20	48%	10.0 / 21
C. Murray-Boyles	20	77%	10.0 / 13
J. Poeltl	18	75%	9.0 / 12
S. Mamukelashvili	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Shead	16	80%	8.0 / 10
S. Barnes	14	39%	7.0 / 18
J. Walter	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. Lawson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 15 115.1	SAC 126.8 +9.5 TOR 117.3
Pace	17 100.0 22 99.1	SAC 85.7 TOR 112.9 +27.2
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 19 14.1	SAC 16.8 TOR 12.8 −4.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 16 54.6%	SAC 52.2% TOR 60.4% +8.2%
TO %	15 13.7% 7 12.9%	SAC 11.8% TOR 10.8% −1.0%
ORB %	13 25.9% 16 25.5%	SAC 41.3% +26.6% TOR 14.7%
FTrt	19 25.6 16 26.5	SAC 31.5 TOR 41.6 +10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 3 69.2%	SAC 57.1% TOR 78.6% +21.5%
STL %	21 8.0% 8 8.8%	SAC 7.2% TOR 9.2% +2.0%
BLK %	19 8.6% 12 9.6%	SAC 5.6% TOR 8.5% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 16 56.6%	SAC 57.5% TOR 60.5% +3.0%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 6 66.5%	SAC 69.0% TOR 77.4% +8.4%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 16 43.7%	SAC 33.3% TOR 39.1% +5.8%
3P %	29 34.1% 21 35.4%	SAC 36.4% TOR 39.1% +2.7%
FT %	21 77.2% 22 76.9%	SAC 93.1% +24.3% TOR 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 10 32.9%	SAC 31.5% TOR 40.3% +8.7%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 27 30.7%	SAC 32.6% TOR 29.9% −2.7%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 25 36.3%	SAC 35.9% +6.0% TOR 29.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	TOR
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	27.2	20.8
Points	123	115
Rebounds	48	32
Assists	24	33
Steals	7	9
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (4)	5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	27 (1)
Field Goals	42-92	42-77
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	24-31
Midrange FG	10-30	9-23
2-Point FG	30-59	33-54
3-Point FG	12-33	9-23
Free Throws	27-29	22-32
Fast Break Pts	7	26
2nd Chance Pts	29	10
Points in Paint	54	62
Pts off Turnovers	16	15
Bench Points	39	39
Biggest Lead	12	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg