Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Pacers	43%	115	145	134.3	108	111.6
	22	Bulls	57%	117	126	115.6	109	105.6

Prediction updated: Apr 1, 2026 11:41 PM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+12

-13

107

CHI

+20

-20

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.36 67.8%

CHI

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	30.8	24	75%	2	5	2	1	0	4	1	1	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	5-8	63%
Kobe Brown #24 · SF · 6'7" 250 · 26	28.1	17	85%	8	6	0	0	2	2	3	5	0-0	-	7-7	100%	1-3	33%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	21.6	25	78%	4	5	0	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	10-12	83%	1-4	25%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	16.9	8	57%	3	6	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	16.8	17	106%	3	3	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-7	71%

Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	27.5	10	45%	3	0	3	0	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	25.3	9	56%	1	7	2	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	23.9	8	50%	8	5	2	3	2	3	0	8	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	21.6	13	59%	2	5	2	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	16.8	8	100%	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	10.8	6	50%	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Bruise
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Cervical; Strain
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	145	68%	41	49	14	5	13	22	9	32	9-10	90%	38-54	70%	20-48	42%

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23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	30.8	24	75%	2	5	2	1	0	4	1	1	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	5-8	63%
Kobe Brown #24 · SF · 6'7" 250 · 26	28.1	17	85%	8	6	0	0	2	2	3	5	0-0	-	7-7	100%	1-3	33%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	21.6	25	78%	4	5	0	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	10-12	83%	1-4	25%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	16.9	8	57%	3	6	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	16.8	17	106%	3	3	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-7	71%

Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	27.5	10	45%	3	0	3	0	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	25.3	9	56%	1	7	2	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	23.9	8	50%	8	5	2	3	2	3	0	8	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	21.6	13	59%	2	5	2	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	16.8	8	100%	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	10.8	6	50%	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Bruise
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Cervical; Strain
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	145	68%	41	49	14	5	13	22	9	32	9-10	90%	38-54	70%	20-48	42%

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22 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	28.9	17	65%	9	6	2	0	4	1	0	9	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	26.2	14	100%	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	26.2	18	64%	3	4	1	1	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	1-5	20%
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	25.2	15	68%	2	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	25.1	20	67%	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	5	6-8	75%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%

Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	29.0	15	54%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	22.4	11	55%	6	0	0	1	1	2	3	3	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	17.3	8	50%	8	1	0	1	3	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	15.5	0	0%	3	3	2	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	13.2	0	0%	4	1	0	0	3	3	0	4	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	11.0	8	67%	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow: Sprain
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	58%	46	22	6	4	20	14	14	32	19-26	73%	34-58	59%	13-39	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.36 67.8%

CHI

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

74%

CHI

62%

Midrange

IND

60%

CHI

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

30.0

42%

63%

CHI

19.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

IND

90%

CHI

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	25	78%	12.5 / 16
E. Thompson	24	75%	12.0 / 16
K. Brown	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Huff	17	106%	8.5 / 8
B. Sheppard	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Peter	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Jones	9	56%	4.5 / 8
Q. Jackson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Slawson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Potter	8	100%	4.0 / 4
O. Toppin	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Yabusele	20	67%	10.0 / 15
C. Sexton	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Buzelis	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. Jones	15	68%	7.5 / 11
R. Dillingham	15	54%	7.5 / 14
I. Okoro	14	100%	7.0 / 7
L. Miller	11	55%	5.5 / 10
L. Olbrich	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. McClung	8	67%	4.0 / 6
Y. Kawamura	0	-	0.0 / 3
P. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 25 112.2	IND 134.3 +18.7 CHI 115.6
Pace	10 101.4 3 103.3	IND 111.6 +6.1 CHI 105.6
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 28 13.6	IND 12.9 −0.7 CHI 13.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 14 54.7%	IND 66.7% +11.5% CHI 55.2%
TO %	14 13.6% 20 14.1%	IND 11.6% −4.0% CHI 15.6%
ORB %	29 21.7% 27 23.1%	IND 22.0% CHI 30.4% +8.4%
FTrt	20 25.2 22 24.6	IND 9.8 CHI 26.8 +17.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 7 67.2%	IND 84.5% +37.7% CHI 46.8%
STL %	28 7.2% 26 7.4%	IND 13.0% +7.5% CHI 5.5%
BLK %	26 8.1% 15 9.0%	IND 8.6% +1.2% CHI 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 17 56.5%	IND 67.8% +10.0% CHI 57.8%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 30 61.4%	IND 74.4% +12.5% CHI 61.9%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 15 43.7%	IND 60.0% +10.0% CHI 50.0%
3P %	18 35.6% 19 35.6%	IND 41.7% +8.4% CHI 33.3%
FT %	17 77.6% 18 77.6%	IND 90.0% +16.9% CHI 73.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 3 38.2%	IND 38.2% CHI 43.3% +5.1%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 1 17.5%	IND 14.7% −1.8% CHI 16.5%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 8 44.3%	IND 47.1% +6.9% CHI 40.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	IND	CHI
Possessions	108	109
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	145	126
Rebounds	41	46
Assists	49	22
Steals	14	6
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	20 (0)
Fouls	22	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	32 (0)
Field Goals	58-102	47-97
At-the-Rim FG	29-39	26-42
Midrange FG	9-15	8-16
2-Point FG	38-54	34-58
3-Point FG	20-48	13-39
Free Throws	9-10	19-26
Fast Break Pts	29	13
2nd Chance Pts	19	17
Points in Paint	72	60
Pts off Turnovers	32	13
Bench Points	54	42
Biggest Lead	28	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg