Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Spurs	86%	119	127	121.6	102	98.3
	25	Warriors	14%	104	113	111.9	101	105.0

Prediction updated: Apr 2, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+21

-14

109

GSW

+10

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.14 56.9%

GSW

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	32.7	15	63%	7	11	1	0	4	2	4	3	5-7	71%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	28.9	41	79%	18	3	0	3	0	0	0	18	7-8	88%	14-16	88%	2-6	33%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	27.8	8	44%	2	4	0	1	2	2	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	25.6	15	47%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	4-13	31%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	24.7	11	69%	4	4	2	0	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%

Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	27.2	13	81%	6	3	1	0	0	1	2	4	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	25.7	11	42%	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	1	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	23.6	13	59%	2	5	2	0	3	4	1	1	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	17.1	0	0%	3	1	1	2	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	6.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	57%	48	33	8	6	14	20	13	35	24-30	80%	29-46	63%	15-47	32%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	32.7	15	63%	7	11	1	0	4	2	4	3	5-7	71%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	28.9	41	79%	18	3	0	3	0	0	0	18	7-8	88%	14-16	88%	2-6	33%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	27.8	8	44%	2	4	0	1	2	2	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	25.6	15	47%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	4-13	31%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	24.7	11	69%	4	4	2	0	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%

Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	27.2	13	81%	6	3	1	0	0	1	2	4	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	25.7	11	42%	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	1	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	23.6	13	59%	2	5	2	0	3	4	1	1	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	17.1	0	0%	3	1	1	2	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	6.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	57%	48	33	8	6	14	20	13	35	24-30	80%	29-46	63%	15-47	32%

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25 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nate Williams #19 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	46.6	18	50%	4	1	2	0	2	5	2	2	0-0	-	6-14	43%	2-4	50%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	25.6	2	33%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
LJ Cryer #18 · SG · 6'0" 200 · 24	23.5	17	65%	1	3	0	0	2	3	0	1	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	20.7	14	88%	2	1	1	1	0	5	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	17.2	14	70%	6	5	0	0	1	1	0	6	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%

Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	38.0	14	47%	8	7	1	1	5	1	1	7	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	29.4	5	36%	4	5	2	0	2	4	2	2	1-3	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	29.0	17	71%	8	4	0	1	1	5	1	7	5-6	83%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	10.1	12	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision \| Left Thumb Sprain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon Surgery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness Management
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	39	29	6	3	13	26	7	32	15-18	83%	28-51	55%	14-35	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.14 56.9%

GSW

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

81%

GSW

75%

Midrange

SAS

48%

GSW

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

22.5

32%

48%

GSW

21.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

SAS

80%

GSW

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	41	79%	20.5 / 26
S. Castle	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Champagnie	15	47%	7.5 / 16
H. Barnes	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Harper	13	59%	6.5 / 11
D. Fox	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Johnson	11	42%	5.5 / 13
D. Vassell	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Bryant	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Williams	18	50%	9.0 / 18
L. Cryer	17	65%	8.5 / 13
Ö. Yurtseven	17	71%	8.5 / 12
D. Green	14	88%	7.0 / 8
B. Podziemski	14	70%	7.0 / 10
P. Spencer	14	47%	7.0 / 15
S. Curry	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Leons	5	36%	2.5 / 7
W. Richard	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 19 114.0	SAS 121.6 +9.7 GSW 111.9
Pace	13 100.5 18 99.9	SAS 98.3 GSW 105.0 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 10 14.7	SAS 14.7 GSW 13.7 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 13 55.0%	SAS 55.4% GSW 57.0% +1.6%
TO %	4 12.5% 28 14.9%	SAS 12.4% −1.4% GSW 13.8%
ORB %	10 26.2% 14 25.8%	SAS 28.9% +12.2% GSW 16.7%
FTrt	12 27.3 24 23.8	SAS 32.3 +11.4 GSW 20.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 1 70.6%	SAS 75.0% +6.0% GSW 69.0%
STL %	24 7.5% 3 9.6%	SAS 7.8% +1.9% GSW 5.9%
BLK %	10 10.0% 27 8.0%	SAS 11.8% +5.3% GSW 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 11 57.1%	SAS 56.9% GSW 57.7% +0.8%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 5 66.7%	SAS 81.0% +6.0% GSW 75.0%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 22 42.1%	SAS 48.0% +2.3% GSW 45.7%
3P %	15 35.9% 20 35.6%	SAS 31.9% GSW 40.0% +8.1%
FT %	12 78.7% 6 80.7%	SAS 80.0% GSW 83.3% +3.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 24 29.5%	SAS 22.6% +4.0% GSW 18.6%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 3 20.8%	SAS 26.9% −13.8% GSW 40.7%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 1 49.7%	SAS 50.5% +9.8% GSW 40.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	GSW
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	124	113
Rebounds	48	39
Assists	33	29
Steals	8	6
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	13 (2)
Fouls	20	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (8)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	32 (1)
Field Goals	44-93	42-86
At-the-Rim FG	17-21	12-16
Midrange FG	12-25	16-35
2-Point FG	29-46	28-51
3-Point FG	15-47	14-35
Free Throws	24-30	15-18
Fast Break Pts	16	10
2nd Chance Pts	19	8
Points in Paint	52	44
Pts off Turnovers	20	19
Bench Points	37	48
Biggest Lead	26	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg