Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Pelicans	36%	112	106	107.1	99	107.3
	18	Blazers	64%	117	118	116.8	101	93.7

Prediction updated: Apr 3, 2026 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+14

-19

POR

+19

-13

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.12 55.8%

POR

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	36.4	19	53%	8	2	1	0	1	2	0	8	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	1-6	17%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	34.7	15	50%	6	1	1	0	1	2	3	3	0-2	0%	3-9	33%	3-5	60%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	29.4	15	68%	1	3	0	1	2	4	0	1	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 30	28.0	9	45%	8	5	2	0	5	1	1	7	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Herbert Jones #2 · C · 6'7" 206 · 27	25.9	9	45%	4	3	0	0	4	3	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%

Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	27.7	12	55%	6	7	2	1	3	4	1	5	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	26.0	21	88%	2	1	2	2	2	3	0	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	3-4	75%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	19.7	6	50%	7	0	0	1	1	0	5	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	12.2	0	0%	2	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	INACTIVE
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Fracture
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	44	25	9	5	19	21	12	32	21-26	81%	29-61	48%	9-23	39%

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20 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	36.4	19	53%	8	2	1	0	1	2	0	8	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	1-6	17%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	34.7	15	50%	6	1	1	0	1	2	3	3	0-2	0%	3-9	33%	3-5	60%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	29.4	15	68%	1	3	0	1	2	4	0	1	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 30	28.0	9	45%	8	5	2	0	5	1	1	7	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Herbert Jones #2 · C · 6'7" 206 · 27	25.9	9	45%	4	3	0	0	4	3	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%

Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	27.7	12	55%	6	7	2	1	3	4	1	5	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	26.0	21	88%	2	1	2	2	2	3	0	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	3-4	75%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	19.7	6	50%	7	0	0	1	1	0	5	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	12.2	0	0%	2	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	INACTIVE
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Fracture
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	44	25	9	5	19	21	12	32	21-26	81%	29-61	48%	9-23	39%

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18 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	39.4	23	77%	4	1	3	0	1	2	2	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	6-12	50%
Jrue Holiday #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 36	37.4	27	61%	5	9	1	0	4	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	7-15	47%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	37.3	26	50%	8	7	2	1	3	4	1	7	10-13	77%	5-13	38%	2-7	29%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	22.2	4	50%	9	2	1	0	1	5	3	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	20.5	14	58%	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-4	50%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	30.9	13	65%	5	2	2	0	1	1	2	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-8	38%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	23.1	6	60%	9	1	0	3	0	1	4	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	20.1	3	50%	3	1	1	3	2	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	9.3	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jayson Kent #29 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 25	INACTIVE
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	45	27	11	7	13	17	14	31	14-18	78%	22-41	54%	20-51	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	POR
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.12 55.8%

POR

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

52%

POR

67%

Midrange

NOP

43%

POR

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

13.5

39%

59%

POR

30.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

NOP

81%

POR

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Fears	21	88%	10.5 / 12
T. Murphy	19	53%	9.5 / 18
S. Bey	15	50%	7.5 / 15
Z. Williamson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. Queen	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Murray	9	45%	4.5 / 10
H. Jones	9	45%	4.5 / 10
Y. Missi	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Peavy	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	27	61%	13.5 / 22
D. Avdija	26	50%	13.0 / 26
T. Camara	23	77%	11.5 / 15
S. Henderson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
M. Thybulle	13	65%	6.5 / 10
R. Williams	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Clingan	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Murray	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Cissoko	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 21 113.1	NOP 107.1 POR 116.8 +9.8
Pace	11 101.3 8 101.6	NOP 107.3 +13.6 POR 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 16 14.2	NOP 13.4 −1.9 POR 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 22 53.3%	NOP 50.6% POR 56.5% +5.9%
TO %	11 13.2% 30 16.1%	NOP 16.6% POR 13.8% −2.8%
ORB %	8 27.0% 2 31.3%	NOP 27.9% POR 30.4% +2.5%
FTrt	8 28.4 9 28.0	NOP 31.0 +11.4 POR 19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 18 61.6%	NOP 65.8% +1.5% POR 64.3%
STL %	10 8.7% 20 8.1%	NOP 9.1% POR 10.9% +1.8%
BLK %	7 10.1% 8 10.1%	NOP 12.2% +0.7% POR 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 23 55.6%	NOP 55.8% +0.1% POR 55.7%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 19 63.9%	NOP 51.5% POR 66.7% +15.2%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 29 37.4%	NOP 42.9% +14.3% POR 28.6%
3P %	24 34.7% 28 34.2%	NOP 39.1% POR 39.2% +0.1%
FT %	14 78.4% 24 76.5%	NOP 80.8% +3.0% POR 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 5 35.6%	NOP 39.3% +9.9% POR 29.3%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 2 17.6%	NOP 33.3% POR 15.2% −18.1%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 3 46.8%	NOP 27.4% POR 55.4% +28.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	POR
Possessions	99	101
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	106	118
Rebounds	44	45
Assists	25	27
Steals	9	11
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	13 (3)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	31 (2)
Field Goals	38-84	42-92
At-the-Rim FG	17-33	18-27
Midrange FG	12-28	4-14
2-Point FG	29-61	22-41
3-Point FG	9-23	20-51
Free Throws	21-26	14-18
Fast Break Pts	19	17
2nd Chance Pts	8	25
Points in Paint	48	40
Pts off Turnovers	15	24
Bench Points	39	24
Biggest Lead	10	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg