Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Spurs	40%	112	118	120.4	98	98.7
	11	Clippers	60%	115	99	100.0	99	98.2

Prediction updated: Apr 3, 2026 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-14

LAC

+13

-10

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.23 61.5%

LAC

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	33.4	20	67%	4	5	0	0	5	4	0	4	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	3-5	60%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	29.2	22	73%	8	5	3	0	3	4	0	8	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	1-4	25%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	28.9	14	58%	10	2	0	0	0	1	2	8	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	27.6	13	46%	8	4	2	0	1	1	2	6	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	25.1	8	80%	6	5	0	0	0	1	2	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	26.8	13	59%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	25.0	19	79%	2	5	1	0	2	4	1	1	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	20.7	3	75%	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	10.1	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	3.8	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	3.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	62%	48	30	7	2	14	21	10	38	12-14	86%	35-57	61%	12-31	39%

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15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	33.4	20	67%	4	5	0	0	5	4	0	4	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	3-5	60%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	29.2	22	73%	8	5	3	0	3	4	0	8	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	1-4	25%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	28.9	14	58%	10	2	0	0	0	1	2	8	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	27.6	13	46%	8	4	2	0	1	1	2	6	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	25.1	8	80%	6	5	0	0	0	1	2	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	26.8	13	59%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	25.0	19	79%	2	5	1	0	2	4	1	1	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	20.7	3	75%	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	10.1	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	3.8	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	3.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	62%	48	30	7	2	14	21	10	38	12-14	86%	35-57	61%	12-31	39%

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11 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	31.7	24	75%	6	5	2	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	4-5	80%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	29.0	11	31%	2	3	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-2	0%	4-9	44%	1-8	13%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 29	24.8	15	83%	6	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	24.0	6	25%	6	3	0	1	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 29	23.8	4	33%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	26.9	18	69%	7	2	2	0	3	3	4	3	8-8	100%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	25.7	12	55%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	20.9	3	38%	1	4	2	1	1	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	13.2	6	43%	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	6.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	5.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	5.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	49%	38	20	8	3	10	18	10	28	14-18	78%	35-66	53%	5-27	19%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.23 61.5%

LAC

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

78%

LAC

78%

Midrange

SAS

47%

LAC

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

18.0

39%

58%

LAC

7.5

19%

28%

Free Throws

SAS

86%

LAC

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	22	73%	11.0 / 15
S. Castle	20	67%	10.0 / 15
D. Harper	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. Vassell	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Champagnie	13	46%	6.5 / 14
K. Johnson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
L. Kornet	8	80%	4.0 / 5
H. Barnes	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Bryant	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. McLaughlin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
H. Ingram	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Olynyk	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	24	75%	12.0 / 16
B. Mathurin	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Collins	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Miller	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Garland	11	31%	5.5 / 18
B. Lopez	6	25%	3.0 / 12
K. Sanders	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Jones	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Dunn	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Washington	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 11 116.4	SAS 120.4 +20.4 LAC 100.0
Pace	13 100.5 28 97.3	SAS 98.7 +0.5 LAC 98.2
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 5 15.0	SAS 14.6 −0.1 LAC 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 8 55.9%	SAS 60.2% +14.5% LAC 45.7%
TO %	4 12.5% 17 13.9%	SAS 14.5% LAC 9.0% −5.5%
ORB %	10 26.2% 23 23.7%	SAS 26.3% +5.5% LAC 20.8%
FTrt	12 27.3 3 29.5	SAS 15.9 LAC 19.4 +3.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 29 58.6%	SAS 63.8% +13.8% LAC 50.0%
STL %	24 7.5% 5 9.2%	SAS 7.1% LAC 8.1% +1.0%
BLK %	10 10.0% 13 9.5%	SAS 3.0% LAC 5.3% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 3 58.7%	SAS 61.5% +13.0% LAC 48.5%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 3 67.1%	SAS 77.8% LAC 78.3% +0.5%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 10 44.2%	SAS 46.7% +7.2% LAC 39.5%
3P %	15 35.9% 7 36.8%	SAS 38.7% +20.2% LAC 18.5%
FT %	12 78.7% 1 82.3%	SAS 85.7% +7.9% LAC 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 15 31.6%	SAS 30.7% +6.0% LAC 24.7%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 20 27.9%	SAS 34.1% −12.1% LAC 46.2%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 19 40.4%	SAS 35.2% +6.2% LAC 29.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	LAC
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	118	99
Rebounds	48	38
Assists	30	20
Steals	7	8
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	10 (0)
Fouls	21	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	28 (3)
Field Goals	47-88	40-93
At-the-Rim FG	21-27	18-23
Midrange FG	14-30	17-43
2-Point FG	35-57	35-66
3-Point FG	12-31	5-27
Free Throws	12-14	14-18
Fast Break Pts	11	8
2nd Chance Pts	12	15
Points in Paint	66	56
Pts off Turnovers	12	22
Bench Points	41	39
Biggest Lead	26	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg