Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Pacers	17%	110	108	109.1	99	113.8
	6	Hornets	83%	123	129	131.6	98	86.7

Prediction updated: Apr 3, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+15

-11

103

CHA

+14

-9

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.07 53.5%

CHA

1.25 62.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	33.9	30	60%	7	2	2	0	2	1	2	5	2-3	67%	11-20	55%	2-4	50%
Kobe Brown #24 · SF · 6'7" 250 · 26	28.0	12	55%	9	4	0	0	2	1	4	5	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	25.2	16	89%	3	5	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	24.6	7	44%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	24.0	12	33%	6	4	1	1	2	3	3	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-10	20%

Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	30.2	3	75%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	22.8	7	70%	6	10	1	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	20.0	11	61%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	18.1	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	13.1	4	40%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Cervical; Strain
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Cervical and Lumbar; Soreness
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Bruise
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	45	29	5	1	11	18	11	34	7-10	70%	28-57	49%	15-36	42%

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23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	33.9	30	60%	7	2	2	0	2	1	2	5	2-3	67%	11-20	55%	2-4	50%
Kobe Brown #24 · SF · 6'7" 250 · 26	28.0	12	55%	9	4	0	0	2	1	4	5	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	25.2	16	89%	3	5	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	24.6	7	44%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	24.0	12	33%	6	4	1	1	2	3	3	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-10	20%

Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	30.2	3	75%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	22.8	7	70%	6	10	1	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	20.0	11	61%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	18.1	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	13.1	4	40%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Cervical; Strain
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Cervical and Lumbar; Soreness
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Bruise
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	45	29	5	1	11	18	11	34	7-10	70%	28-57	49%	15-36	42%

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6 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	30.2	20	77%	4	4	2	0	2	1	0	4	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	3-7	43%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 25	30.0	18	56%	6	9	2	0	3	2	1	5	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	5-12	42%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	29.6	22	65%	6	3	1	1	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	4-8	50%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	25.6	19	59%	6	1	0	1	1	5	1	5	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	3-5	60%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	24.6	7	44%	8	2	0	3	1	1	5	3	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	24.4	6	60%	2	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	22.9	13	81%	6	3	1	0	0	1	1	5	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	4-8	50%
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	17.7	7	70%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	17.1	2	50%	3	2	0	2	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	14.2	11	61%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	3.5	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Tosan Evbuomwan #20 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Fracture
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	48	31	8	7	9	18	12	36	13-15	87%	22-47	47%	24-49	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.07 53.5%

CHA

1.25 62.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

57%

CHA

51%

Midrange

IND

18%

CHA

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

22.5

42%

63%

CHA

36.0

49%

73%

Free Throws

IND

70%

CHA

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	30	60%	15.0 / 25
Q. Jackson	16	89%	8.0 / 9
K. Brown	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Huff	12	33%	6.0 / 18
O. Toppin	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Sheppard	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Jones	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Peter	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Potter	4	40%	2.0 / 5
E. Thompson	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	22	65%	11.0 / 17
K. Knueppel	20	77%	10.0 / 13
M. Bridges	19	59%	9.5 / 16
L. Ball	18	56%	9.0 / 16
S. James	13	81%	6.5 / 8
C. White	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Kalkbrenner	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Connaughton	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Green	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Mann	4	100%	2.0 / 2
X. Tillman	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 5 118.6	IND 109.1 CHA 131.6 +22.5
Pace	10 101.4 27 97.5	IND 113.8 +27.0 CHA 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 3 15.2	IND 12.7 −3.9 CHA 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 12 55.2%	IND 54.3% CHA 60.4% +6.1%
TO %	14 13.6% 27 14.8%	IND 11.0% CHA 8.9% −2.1%
ORB %	29 21.7% 4 30.5%	IND 23.4% CHA 26.1% +2.7%
FTrt	20 25.2 23 24.4	IND 10.8 CHA 15.6 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 14 64.3%	IND 67.4% CHA 67.4%
STL %	28 7.2% 29 7.2%	IND 5.1% CHA 8.2% +3.1%
BLK %	26 8.1% 20 8.6%	IND 2.1% CHA 12.3% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 10 57.3%	IND 53.5% CHA 62.6% +9.1%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 23 63.1%	IND 56.5% +5.1% CHA 51.4%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 25 41.4%	IND 18.2% CHA 33.3% +15.1%
3P %	18 35.6% 3 37.8%	IND 41.7% CHA 49.0% +7.3%
FT %	17 77.6% 2 81.8%	IND 70.0% CHA 86.7% +16.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 25 29.3%	IND 49.5% +13.0% CHA 36.5%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 6 22.0%	IND 11.8% −0.7% CHA 12.5%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 2 48.7%	IND 38.7% CHA 51.0% +12.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	CHA
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	20.9	27.1
Points	108	129
Rebounds	45	48
Assists	29	31
Steals	5	8
Blocks	1	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	36 (3)
Field Goals	43-93	46-96
At-the-Rim FG	26-46	18-35
Midrange FG	2-11	4-12
2-Point FG	28-57	22-47
3-Point FG	15-36	24-49
Free Throws	7-10	13-15
Fast Break Pts	23	16
2nd Chance Pts	9	15
Points in Paint	56	42
Pts off Turnovers	13	13
Bench Points	31	43
Biggest Lead	4	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg