Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Celtics	92%	118	133	141.5	94	91.4
	28	Bucks	8%	100	101	109.8	92	94.7

Prediction updated: Apr 3, 2026 11:17 PM

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+16

-8

102

MIL

+10

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.30 65.2%

MIL

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	31.5	17	77%	3	5	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-9	56%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	31.1	23	68%	11	9	3	0	2	1	0	11	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 29	30.2	26	59%	3	4	2	0	2	3	0	3	10-11	91%	5-13	38%	2-4	50%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	28.9	19	73%	10	2	0	4	0	2	4	6	3-4	75%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 28	26.6	13	108%	6	2	0	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	26.5	16	67%	3	6	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-6	33%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 26	22.7	2	33%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	12.4	7	70%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	12.4	2	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	6.2	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #99 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	6.2	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	5.2	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Tonje #8 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Vučević #4 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	65%	48	33	7	4	8	13	10	38	16-19	84%	33-52	63%	17-37	46%

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2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	31.5	17	77%	3	5	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-9	56%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	31.1	23	68%	11	9	3	0	2	1	0	11	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 29	30.2	26	59%	3	4	2	0	2	3	0	3	10-11	91%	5-13	38%	2-4	50%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	28.9	19	73%	10	2	0	4	0	2	4	6	3-4	75%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 28	26.6	13	108%	6	2	0	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	26.5	16	67%	3	6	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-6	33%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 26	22.7	2	33%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	12.4	7	70%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	12.4	2	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	6.2	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #99 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	6.2	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	5.2	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Tonje #8 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Vučević #4 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	65%	48	33	7	4	8	13	10	38	16-19	84%	33-52	63%	17-37	46%

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28 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	33.4	14	64%	10	1	0	0	0	3	1	9	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-9	44%
AJ Green #20 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 27	30.9	15	83%	1	5	1	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-9	56%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 31	24.8	14	50%	7	3	0	0	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-5	40%
Ousmane Dieng #21 · SG · 6'9" 185 · 23	24.0	9	30%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-11	27%	1-4	25%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	18.8	4	40%	1	0	0	2	1	3	1	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Cormac Ryan #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	32.8	11	61%	1	2	0	1	2	2	0	1	5-5	100%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	24.8	18	113%	0	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-5	80%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	16.3	3	75%	4	6	0	0	1	4	2	2	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	14.8	5	63%	1	3	1	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	10.0	7	44%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	5.2	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 25	4.5	1	17%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Synovitis
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension; Bone Bruise
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Pointer
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	57%	30	24	5	4	13	21	8	22	10-13	77%	14-36	39%	21-47	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.30 65.2%

MIL

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

79%

MIL

53%

Midrange

BOS

43%

MIL

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

25.5

46%

69%

MIL

31.5

45%

67%

Free Throws

BOS

84%

MIL

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	26	59%	13.0 / 22
J. Tatum	23	68%	11.5 / 17
N. Queta	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. White	17	77%	8.5 / 11
P. Pritchard	16	67%	8.0 / 12
S. Hauser	13	108%	6.5 / 6
J. Walsh	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Bassey	6	100%	3.0 / 3
B. Scheierman	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Garza	2	50%	1.0 / 2
H. González	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Harper	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Prince	18	113%	9.0 / 8
A. Green	15	83%	7.5 / 9
P. Nance	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Kuzma	14	50%	7.0 / 14
C. Ryan	11	61%	5.5 / 9
O. Dieng	9	30%	4.5 / 15
A. Jackson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
G. Harris	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Turner	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Sims	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Antetokounmpo	1	17%	0.5 / 3
T. Antetokounmpo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 24 112.3	BOS 141.5 +31.7 MIL 109.8
Pace	30 95.5 24 98.1	BOS 91.4 MIL 94.7 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 7 14.8	BOS 15.8 MIL 15.2 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 3 56.5%	BOS 65.7% +10.9% MIL 54.8%
TO %	2 12.0% 24 14.7%	BOS 8.5% −4.3% MIL 12.8%
ORB %	6 29.2% 30 21.1%	BOS 31.3% +13.9% MIL 17.4%
FTrt	30 20.7 29 22.3	BOS 21.3 +5.6 MIL 15.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 17 63.3%	BOS 66.0% MIL 68.6% +2.6%
STL %	25 7.4% 23 7.5%	BOS 7.4% +2.0% MIL 5.4%
BLK %	5 10.4% 25 8.2%	BOS 11.1% +3.4% MIL 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 9 57.5%	BOS 65.2% +8.5% MIL 56.7%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 4 67.1%	BOS 79.3% +26.0% MIL 53.3%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 20 42.6%	BOS 43.5% +14.9% MIL 28.6%
3P %	8 36.7% 2 38.7%	BOS 45.9% +1.2% MIL 44.7%
FT %	7 80.7% 30 73.0%	BOS 84.2% +7.3% MIL 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 27 28.2%	BOS 32.6% +14.5% MIL 18.1%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 16 26.1%	BOS 25.8% MIL 25.3% −0.5%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 5 45.7%	BOS 41.6% MIL 56.6% +15.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	BOS	MIL
Possessions	94	92
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	133	101
Rebounds	48	30
Assists	33	24
Steals	7	5
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	13	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (6)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	22 (2)
Field Goals	50-89	35-83
At-the-Rim FG	23-29	8-15
Midrange FG	10-23	6-21
2-Point FG	33-52	14-36
3-Point FG	17-37	21-47
Free Throws	16-19	10-13
Fast Break Pts	11	3
2nd Chance Pts	14	17
Points in Paint	56	22
Pts off Turnovers	19	15
Bench Points	35	45
Biggest Lead	35	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg