Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Pelicans	55%	117	113	115.3	98	103.3
	25	Kings	45%	115	117	118.2	99	94.2

Prediction updated: Apr 4, 2026 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+10

-13

SAC

+17

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.20 60.1%

SAC

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	31.8	13	65%	4	4	0	2	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-5	20%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	29.2	20	59%	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	28.5	13	50%	6	3	1	0	4	0	1	5	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	20.4	6	50%	7	2	0	0	0	3	2	5	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	12.8	3	50%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	37.0	28	70%	8	6	0	0	1	1	0	8	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	5-11	45%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	31.8	8	67%	3	3	4	0	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	27.6	8	36%	6	2	5	1	2	4	4	2	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	20.9	14	100%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-5	80%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Injury Management
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Fracture
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	60%	36	24	12	3	13	18	7	29	19-21	90%	26-50	52%	14-34	41%

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20 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	31.8	13	65%	4	4	0	2	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-5	20%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	29.2	20	59%	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	28.5	13	50%	6	3	1	0	4	0	1	5	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	20.4	6	50%	7	2	0	0	0	3	2	5	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	12.8	3	50%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	37.0	28	70%	8	6	0	0	1	1	0	8	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	5-11	45%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	31.8	8	67%	3	3	4	0	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	27.6	8	36%	6	2	5	1	2	4	4	2	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	20.9	14	100%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-5	80%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Injury Management
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Fracture
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	60%	36	24	12	3	13	18	7	29	19-21	90%	26-50	52%	14-34	41%

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25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	38.6	23	68%	5	6	1	0	4	0	0	5	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	4-6	67%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	31.7	9	41%	6	3	1	1	2	2	0	6	1-3	33%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	29.0	28	82%	9	4	0	0	1	2	2	7	6-7	86%	11-13	85%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	24.9	12	60%	7	2	2	0	3	2	3	4	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	23.5	14	64%	2	5	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-0	-

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	30.9	17	65%	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	5-5	100%	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	23.6	6	100%	8	1	0	5	2	5	4	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	19.6	5	28%	3	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	18.2	3	25%	3	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
DaQuan Jeffries #25 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 29	INACTIVE
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Management
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	58%	46	29	7	6	14	16	12	34	15-20	75%	36-57	63%	10-33	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.20 60.1%

SAC

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

64%

SAC

73%

Midrange

NOP

43%

SAC

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

21.0

41%

62%

SAC

15.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

NOP

90%

SAC

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Fears	28	70%	14.0 / 20
S. Bey	20	59%	10.0 / 17
J. Hawkins	14	100%	7.0 / 7
T. Murphy	13	65%	6.5 / 10
Z. Williamson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Peavy	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Queen	8	36%	4.0 / 11
Y. Missi	6	50%	3.0 / 6
H. Jones	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Raynaud	28	82%	14.0 / 17
N. Clifford	23	68%	11.5 / 17
D. Plowden	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. DeRozan	14	64%	7.0 / 11
P. Achiuwa	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Carter	9	41%	4.5 / 11
D. Cardwell	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Hayes	5	28%	2.5 / 9
D. McDermott	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 26 110.6	NOP 115.3 SAC 118.2 +2.9
Pace	11 101.3 17 100.0	NOP 103.3 +9.1 SAC 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 14 14.5	NOP 13.9 −1.3 SAC 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 29 52.5%	NOP 56.0% SAC 56.7% +0.7%
TO %	11 13.2% 15 13.7%	NOP 12.2% −1.0% SAC 13.2%
ORB %	8 27.0% 13 25.9%	NOP 17.1% SAC 29.3% +12.2%
FTrt	8 28.4 19 25.6	NOP 25.0 +2.8 SAC 22.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 20 61.5%	NOP 60.0% SAC 63.0% +3.0%
STL %	10 8.7% 21 8.0%	NOP 12.2% +5.1% SAC 7.1%
BLK %	7 10.1% 19 8.6%	NOP 5.3% SAC 12.0% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 29 54.7%	NOP 60.1% +2.2% SAC 57.9%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 8 65.9%	NOP 63.6% SAC 72.7% +9.1%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 13 43.8%	NOP 42.9% SAC 57.1% +14.2%
3P %	24 34.7% 29 34.1%	NOP 41.2% +10.9% SAC 30.3%
FT %	14 78.4% 21 77.2%	NOP 90.5% +15.5% SAC 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 28 28.0%	NOP 26.2% +1.7% SAC 24.4%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 30 38.1%	NOP 33.3% −5.6% SAC 38.9%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 30 33.9%	NOP 40.5% +3.8% SAC 36.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	SAC
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	113	117
Rebounds	36	46
Assists	24	29
Steals	12	7
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	18	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	40-84	46-90
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	16-22
Midrange FG	12-28	20-35
2-Point FG	26-50	36-57
3-Point FG	14-34	10-33
Free Throws	19-21	15-20
Fast Break Pts	26	10
2nd Chance Pts	11	22
Points in Paint	48	62
Pts off Turnovers	20	22
Bench Points	58	31
Biggest Lead	17	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg