Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Grizzlies	36%	107	115	112.7	102	111.1
	24	Bucks	65%	112	131	129.7	101	93.3

Prediction updated: Apr 5, 2026 07:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+18

-14

106

MIL

+13

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.07 53.7%

MIL

1.39 69.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toby Okani #5 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 24	41.2	9	35%	3	0	1	0	1	4	2	1	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	39.0	33	66%	10	10	4	1	4	3	5	5	13-16	81%	7-13	54%	2-6	33%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	25.4	20	77%	3	4	0	0	3	0	2	1	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	14.3	13	59%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · C · 6'9" 215 · 22	12.5	11	110%	4	0	4	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-4	75%

Dariq Whitehead #00 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	38.6	16	42%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	3-10	30%
Lucas Williamson #55 · NA · 6'4" 205 · 27	36.4	5	28%	4	4	1	0	3	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Adama Bal #72 · NA · 6'7" 190 · 22	25.2	8	57%	2	2	2	0	1	6	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	7.3	0	0%	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; Protocol
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	38	25	13	1	14	21	15	23	22-28	79%	21-46	46%	17-46	37%

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30 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toby Okani #5 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 24	41.2	9	35%	3	0	1	0	1	4	2	1	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	39.0	33	66%	10	10	4	1	4	3	5	5	13-16	81%	7-13	54%	2-6	33%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	25.4	20	77%	3	4	0	0	3	0	2	1	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	14.3	13	59%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · C · 6'9" 215 · 22	12.5	11	110%	4	0	4	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-4	75%

Dariq Whitehead #00 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	38.6	16	42%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	3-10	30%
Lucas Williamson #55 · NA · 6'4" 205 · 27	36.4	5	28%	4	4	1	0	3	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Adama Bal #72 · NA · 6'7" 190 · 22	25.2	8	57%	2	2	2	0	1	6	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	7.3	0	0%	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; Protocol
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	38	25	13	1	14	21	15	23	22-28	79%	21-46	46%	17-46	37%

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24 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	32.4	24	75%	4	3	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	6-9	67%	4-7	57%
Ousmane Dieng #21 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	31.3	17	47%	9	6	0	0	2	0	2	7	4-7	57%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	26.5	6	43%	1	1	0	1	4	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 31	22.4	4	67%	4	6	1	2	4	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	21.9	19	59%	11	0	2	2	0	3	4	7	6-7	86%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%

Cormac Ryan #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	29.4	21	105%	4	3	5	0	2	1	1	3	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	3-4	75%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	26.1	12	75%	4	3	0	0	2	5	2	2	0-2	0%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	23.8	19	119%	3	3	1	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-5	100%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	23.3	5	50%	4	4	0	0	1	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	1.9	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 25	0.9	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Synovitis
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Pointer
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	70%	44	30	11	5	20	19	11	33	15-24	63%	34-51	67%	16-32	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.07 53.7%

MIL

1.39 69.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

60%

MIL

71%

Midrange

MEM

29%

MIL

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

25.5

37%

55%

MIL

24.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

MEM

79%

MIL

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Rupert	33	66%	16.5 / 25
W. Clayton	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Whitehead	16	42%	8.0 / 19
O. Prosper	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Hendricks	11	110%	5.5 / 5
T. Okani	9	35%	4.5 / 13
A. Bal	8	57%	4.0 / 7
L. Williamson	5	28%	2.5 / 9
T. Gibson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Rollins	24	75%	12.0 / 16
C. Ryan	21	105%	10.5 / 10
M. Turner	19	59%	9.5 / 16
T. Prince	19	119%	9.5 / 8
O. Dieng	17	47%	8.5 / 18
J. Sims	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Green	6	43%	3.0 / 7
P. Nance	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Kuzma	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Antetokounmpo	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Antetokounmpo	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 24 112.3	MEM 112.7 MIL 129.7 +17.0
Pace	7 101.8 24 98.1	MEM 111.1 +17.8 MIL 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 7 14.8	MEM 13.0 −2.5 MIL 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 3 56.5%	MEM 50.5% MIL 69.9% +19.4%
TO %	22 14.3% 24 14.7%	MEM 11.8% −5.8% MIL 17.6%
ORB %	19 24.7% 30 21.1%	MEM 31.3% MIL 32.4% +1.1%
FTrt	21 25.1 29 22.3	MEM 30.4 +1.5 MIL 28.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 17 63.3%	MEM 65.8% +5.8% MIL 60.0%
STL %	11 8.7% 23 7.5%	MEM 12.7% +1.8% MIL 10.9%
BLK %	14 9.1% 25 8.2%	MEM 2.0% MIL 10.9% +8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 9 57.5%	MEM 53.7% MIL 69.7% +16.0%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 4 67.1%	MEM 60.0% MIL 70.6% +10.6%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 20 42.6%	MEM 28.6% MIL 58.8% +30.2%
3P %	22 35.3% 2 38.7%	MEM 37.0% MIL 50.0% +13.0%
FT %	9 79.3% 30 73.0%	MEM 78.6% +16.1% MIL 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 27 28.2%	MEM 27.2% MIL 41.0% +13.8%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 16 26.1%	MEM 22.8% MIL 20.5% −2.3%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 5 45.7%	MEM 50.0% +11.4% MIL 38.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MEM	MIL
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	115	131
Rebounds	38	44
Assists	25	30
Steals	13	11
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	21	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (1)	33 (5)
Field Goals	38-92	50-83
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	24-34
Midrange FG	6-21	10-17
2-Point FG	21-46	34-51
3-Point FG	17-46	16-32
Free Throws	22-28	15-24
Fast Break Pts	15	7
2nd Chance Pts	28	23
Points in Paint	36	58
Pts off Turnovers	22	15
Bench Points	29	61
Biggest Lead	6	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg