Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Pacers	18%	110	108	109.1	99	102.0
	18	Cavaliers	82%	122	117	118.2	99	96.1

Prediction updated: Apr 5, 2026 10:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+14

-10

103

CLE

+14

-9

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.06 52.9%

CLE

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Brown #24 · PG · 6'7" 250 · 26	39.8	11	50%	7	5	1	0	1	1	4	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	3-7	43%
Jalen Slawson #18 · PF · 6'7" 215 · 26	32.7	19	86%	6	2	2	0	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-7	71%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	30.4	21	75%	12	4	0	0	1	1	3	9	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	29.6	5	18%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	3-4	75%	1-6	17%	0-6	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · SF · 6'4" 173 · 28	28.9	15	47%	5	4	2	0	3	1	2	3	4-5	80%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	23.5	21	70%	8	4	1	0	1	2	1	7	10-10	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	19.1	2	14%	0	5	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	18.4	8	67%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	17.6	6	50%	3	2	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Sacral; Contusion
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Sprain
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Cervical; Strain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Thoracic and Lumbar Injury Management
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	53%	43	28	7	1	10	15	12	31	25-29	86%	16-42	38%	17-44	39%

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25 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Brown #24 · PG · 6'7" 250 · 26	39.8	11	50%	7	5	1	0	1	1	4	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	3-7	43%
Jalen Slawson #18 · PF · 6'7" 215 · 26	32.7	19	86%	6	2	2	0	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-7	71%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	30.4	21	75%	12	4	0	0	1	1	3	9	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	29.6	5	18%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	3-4	75%	1-6	17%	0-6	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · SF · 6'4" 173 · 28	28.9	15	47%	5	4	2	0	3	1	2	3	4-5	80%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	23.5	21	70%	8	4	1	0	1	2	1	7	10-10	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	19.1	2	14%	0	5	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	18.4	8	67%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	17.6	6	50%	3	2	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Sacral; Contusion
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Sprain
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Cervical; Strain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Thoracic and Lumbar Injury Management
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	53%	43	28	7	1	10	15	12	31	25-29	86%	16-42	38%	17-44	39%

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18 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	34.3	28	70%	4	7	3	1	2	3	0	4	7-8	88%	3-6	50%	5-11	45%
Keon Ellis #14 · PF · 6'4" 175 · 26	33.3	13	72%	5	0	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	32.9	38	66%	6	6	1	0	3	3	1	5	4-5	80%	14-20	70%	2-7	29%
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	30.9	4	18%	7	5	0	0	0	3	0	7	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-9	11%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	26.2	14	78%	10	2	0	1	0	2	2	8	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-4	50%

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	22.6	5	63%	4	1	0	2	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	21.8	6	43%	3	1	3	1	2	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	20.0	6	43%	2	3	0	0	1	1	2	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	13.2	3	75%	4	0	0	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	4.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Bone Bruise
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	46	26	8	6	9	20	9	37	15-19	79%	27-45	60%	16-47	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.06 52.9%

CLE

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

38%

CLE

79%

Midrange

IND

38%

CLE

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

25.5

39%

58%

CLE

24.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

IND

86%

CLE

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Potter	21	75%	10.5 / 14
O. Toppin	21	70%	10.5 / 15
J. Slawson	19	86%	9.5 / 11
Q. Jackson	15	47%	7.5 / 16
K. Brown	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Peter	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Huff	6	50%	3.0 / 6
E. Thompson	5	18%	2.5 / 14
K. Jones	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	38	66%	19.0 / 29
J. Harden	28	70%	14.0 / 20
T. Bryant	14	78%	7.0 / 9
K. Ellis	13	72%	6.5 / 9
L. Nance	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Schröder	6	43%	3.0 / 7
C. Porter	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Strus	4	18%	2.0 / 11
N. Tomlin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Proctor	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 6 118.3	IND 109.1 CLE 118.2 +9.1
Pace	10 101.4 12 100.6	IND 102.0 +5.9 CLE 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 21 14.1	IND 14.1 −0.9 CLE 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 5 56.1%	IND 48.3% CLE 55.4% +7.1%
TO %	14 13.6% 10 13.2%	IND 9.2% CLE 9.1% −0.1%
ORB %	29 21.7% 9 26.9%	IND 24.5% +2.0% CLE 22.5%
FTrt	20 25.2 15 26.5	IND 33.7 +13.0 CLE 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 11 65.3%	IND 84.8% +24.3% CLE 60.5%
STL %	28 7.2% 15 8.4%	IND 7.1% CLE 8.1% +1.0%
BLK %	26 8.1% 11 9.8%	IND 2.2% CLE 14.3% +12.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 5 58.2%	IND 52.9% CLE 56.8% +3.9%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 7 66.1%	IND 38.5% CLE 79.3% +40.8%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 3 46.8%	IND 37.5% +12.5% CLE 25.0%
3P %	18 35.6% 13 36.0%	IND 38.6% +4.6% CLE 34.0%
FT %	17 77.6% 19 77.6%	IND 86.2% +7.3% CLE 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 14 31.7%	IND 30.2% CLE 31.5% +1.3%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 8 24.1%	IND 18.6% CLE 17.4% −1.2%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 9 44.2%	IND 51.2% +0.1% CLE 51.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	CLE
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	108	117
Rebounds	43	46
Assists	28	26
Steals	7	8
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (6)	37 (5)
Field Goals	33-86	43-92
At-the-Rim FG	10-26	23-29
Midrange FG	6-16	4-16
2-Point FG	16-42	27-45
3-Point FG	17-44	16-47
Free Throws	25-29	15-19
Fast Break Pts	9	11
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	24	54
Pts off Turnovers	4	8
Bench Points	37	20
Biggest Lead	12	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg