Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Jazz	3%	101	111	102.8	108	110.0
	1	Thunder	97%	125	146	133.9	109	107.1

Prediction updated: Apr 5, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+18

-16

110

OKC

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.01 50.5%

OKC

1.43 71.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PG · 6'6" 235 · 22	43.2	34	77%	4	5	1	0	2	2	0	4	6-6	100%	5-9	56%	6-10	60%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	37.6	20	40%	14	6	0	1	2	4	7	7	0-1	0%	10-20	50%	0-5	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	36.4	8	33%	4	5	3	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	33.5	14	50%	4	2	1	2	3	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 26	20.2	4	40%	4	2	0	0	2	2	1	3	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	25.9	9	50%	9	3	5	0	2	0	4	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	23.5	17	53%	4	1	1	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-14	36%
Kennedy Chandler #0 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 24	19.8	5	63%	0	5	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	43	29	11	3	16	13	14	29	11-15	73%	29-61	48%	14-39	36%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PG · 6'6" 235 · 22	43.2	34	77%	4	5	1	0	2	2	0	4	6-6	100%	5-9	56%	6-10	60%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	37.6	20	40%	14	6	0	1	2	4	7	7	0-1	0%	10-20	50%	0-5	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	36.4	8	33%	4	5	3	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	33.5	14	50%	4	2	1	2	3	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 26	20.2	4	40%	4	2	0	0	2	2	1	3	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	25.9	9	50%	9	3	5	0	2	0	4	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	23.5	17	53%	4	1	1	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-14	36%
Kennedy Chandler #0 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 24	19.8	5	63%	0	5	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	43	29	11	3	16	13	14	29	11-15	73%	29-61	48%	14-39	36%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 25	25.7	15	68%	2	7	0	0	1	0	1	1	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	23.6	20	83%	4	7	1	0	3	0	0	4	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	22.2	21	88%	7	1	0	4	1	1	1	6	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	4-5	80%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	21.2	13	93%	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	19.0	10	83%	8	3	0	1	1	0	2	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	22.0	16	80%	5	1	2	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-5	80%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	18.8	7	39%	1	7	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	15.1	3	38%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	14.4	9	75%	2	1	1	0	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	13.3	5	63%	4	0	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	12.4	6	60%	3	3	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	8.1	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	8.1	2	50%	2	4	0	0	1	1	2	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	8.1	8	133%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	8.1	11	92%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Payton Sandfort #14 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	72%	46	40	8	8	15	13	8	38	14-16	88%	30-47	64%	24-45	53%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.01 50.5%

OKC

1.43 71.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

47%

OKC

63%

Midrange

UTA

48%

OKC

65%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

21.0

36%

54%

OKC

36.0

53%

80%

Free Throws

UTA

73%

OKC

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	34	77%	17.0 / 22
K. Filipowski	20	40%	10.0 / 25
S. Mykhailiuk	17	53%	8.5 / 16
A. Bailey	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Konchar	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Williams	8	33%	4.0 / 12
K. Chandler	5	63%	2.5 / 4
O. Tshiebwe	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Holmgren	21	88%	10.5 / 12
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	20	83%	10.0 / 12
C. Wallace	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Williams	15	68%	7.5 / 11
L. Dort	13	93%	6.5 / 7
B. Carlson	11	92%	5.5 / 6
I. Hartenstein	10	83%	5.0 / 6
I. Joe	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Williams	8	133%	4.0 / 3
A. Mitchell	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Williams	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Caruso	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. McCain	3	38%	1.5 / 4
N. Topić	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Wiggins	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 7 117.6	UTA 102.8 OKC 133.9 +31.2
Pace	2 103.4 15 100.3	UTA 110.0 +2.9 OKC 107.1
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 20 14.1	UTA 13.1 −0.4 OKC 13.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 4 56.1%	UTA 50.0% OKC 71.7% +21.7%
TO %	23 14.4% 1 11.8%	UTA 13.1% −0.8% OKC 13.9%
ORB %	12 26.2% 28 22.3%	UTA 26.9% +5.3% OKC 21.6%
FTrt	10 27.7 17 26.1	UTA 15.0 OKC 17.4 +2.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 25 59.8%	UTA 67.4% OKC 74.1% +6.7%
STL %	14 8.5% 4 9.6%	UTA 10.2% +2.9% OKC 7.3%
BLK %	30 7.5% 2 11.0%	UTA 6.4% OKC 13.1% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 4 58.5%	UTA 50.5% OKC 71.6% +21.1%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 11 65.2%	UTA 47.2% OKC 63.3% +16.1%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 1 47.6%	UTA 48.0% OKC 64.7% +16.7%
3P %	25 34.5% 9 36.5%	UTA 35.9% OKC 53.3% +17.4%
FT %	13 78.6% 3 81.7%	UTA 73.3% OKC 87.5% +14.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 16 31.3%	UTA 36.0% +3.4% OKC 32.6%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 15 26.1%	UTA 25.0% OKC 18.5% −6.5%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 13 42.6%	UTA 39.0% OKC 48.9% +9.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	OKC
Possessions	108	109
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	111	146
Rebounds	43	46
Assists	29	40
Steals	11	8
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	13	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	38 (3)
Field Goals	43-100	54-92
At-the-Rim FG	17-36	19-30
Midrange FG	12-25	11-17
2-Point FG	29-61	30-47
3-Point FG	14-39	24-45
Free Throws	11-15	14-16
Fast Break Pts	21	16
2nd Chance Pts	21	8
Points in Paint	46	46
Pts off Turnovers	17	33
Bench Points	31	67
Biggest Lead	4	43

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg