Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, April 6, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Cavaliers	74%	117	142	137.9	103	97.7
	26	Grizzlies	26%	109	126	122.3	103	108.8

Prediction updated: Apr 6, 2026 11:51 PM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+16

-12

107

MEM

+10

-13

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.33 66.4%

MEM

1.25 62.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	29.3	22	73%	4	11	0	0	3	1	0	4	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	27.9	21	62%	2	2	3	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	4-11	36%
Keon Ellis #14 · SF · 6'4" 175 · 26	27.3	19	79%	4	8	1	0	0	3	1	3	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	25.7	24	80%	6	4	0	0	3	2	2	4	5-8	63%	8-9	89%	1-2	50%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	24.8	13	72%	9	1	1	2	2	0	2	7	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	26.2	11	69%	8	6	2	2	0	0	3	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	22.0	10	45%	2	1	3	0	1	1	0	2	5-6	83%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	21.5	10	71%	9	2	1	1	2	2	4	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	21.5	10	56%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	11.3	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Bone Bruise
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Injury Management
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	66%	48	36	12	5	12	11	13	35	26-37	70%	40-57	70%	12-32	38%

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17 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	29.3	22	73%	4	11	0	0	3	1	0	4	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	27.9	21	62%	2	2	3	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	4-11	36%
Keon Ellis #14 · SF · 6'4" 175 · 26	27.3	19	79%	4	8	1	0	0	3	1	3	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	25.7	24	80%	6	4	0	0	3	2	2	4	5-8	63%	8-9	89%	1-2	50%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	24.8	13	72%	9	1	1	2	2	0	2	7	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	26.2	11	69%	8	6	2	2	0	0	3	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	22.0	10	45%	2	1	3	0	1	1	0	2	5-6	83%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	21.5	10	71%	9	2	1	1	2	2	4	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	21.5	10	56%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	11.3	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Bone Bruise
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Injury Management
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	66%	48	36	12	5	12	11	13	35	26-37	70%	40-57	70%	12-32	38%

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26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lucas Williamson #55 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 27	39.8	17	53%	5	4	3	0	1	6	2	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	5-12	42%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	20.9	9	90%	1	9	0	0	1	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	19.4	24	100%	3	0	1	0	2	3	1	2	0-1	0%	6-7	86%	4-5	80%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	18.1	11	50%	5	3	1	2	1	0	0	5	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Cedric Coward #23 · SF · 6'5" 206 · 23	17.5	12	100%	5	3	1	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%

Adama Bal #72 · NA · 6'7" 190 · 22	36.6	20	71%	6	0	1	0	0	5	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	6-11	55%
Toby Okani #5 · NA · 6'8" 210 · 25	31.9	3	17%	2	1	0	0	1	5	1	1	0-2	0%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Dariq Whitehead #00 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	30.8	20	67%	3	1	0	0	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	6-12	50%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	24.9	10	50%	1	11	0	0	3	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	31	32	7	4	13	27	8	23	7-10	70%	16-35	46%	29-59	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.33 66.4%

MEM

1.25 62.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

74%

MEM

45%

Midrange

CLE

61%

MEM

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

18.0

38%

56%

MEM

43.5

49%

74%

Free Throws

CLE

70%

MEM

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Mobley	24	80%	12.0 / 15
D. Schröder	22	73%	11.0 / 15
S. Merrill	21	62%	10.5 / 17
K. Ellis	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Allen	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. Porter	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Proctor	10	45%	5.0 / 11
N. Tomlin	10	71%	5.0 / 7
L. Nance	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Enaruna	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Prosper	24	100%	12.0 / 12
A. Bal	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. Whitehead	20	67%	10.0 / 15
L. Williamson	17	53%	8.5 / 16
C. Coward	12	100%	6.0 / 6
G. Jackson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
W. Clayton	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Spencer	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Okani	3	17%	1.5 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 23 112.4	CLE 137.9 +15.5 MEM 122.3
Pace	12 100.6 7 101.8	CLE 97.7 MEM 108.8 +11.1
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 26 13.8	CLE 14.7 MEM 13.2 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 24 53.3%	CLE 65.2% +1.9% MEM 63.3%
TO %	10 13.2% 22 14.3%	CLE 11.0% −0.7% MEM 11.7%
ORB %	9 26.9% 19 24.7%	CLE 36.1% +17.5% MEM 18.6%
FTrt	15 26.5 21 25.1	CLE 41.6 +31.0 MEM 10.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 6 67.4%	CLE 69.2% MEM 71.1% +1.9%
STL %	15 8.4% 11 8.7%	CLE 11.7% +4.9% MEM 6.8%
BLK %	11 9.8% 14 9.1%	CLE 14.3% +7.3% MEM 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 22 55.8%	CLE 66.4% +4.0% MEM 62.4%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 26 62.8%	CLE 74.4% +28.9% MEM 45.5%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 11 44.2%	CLE 61.1% +14.9% MEM 46.2%
3P %	13 36.0% 22 35.3%	CLE 37.5% MEM 49.2% +11.7%
FT %	19 77.6% 9 79.3%	CLE 70.3% +0.3% MEM 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 26 28.6%	CLE 43.8% +20.4% MEM 23.4%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 19 27.8%	CLE 20.2% MEM 13.8% −6.4%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 10 43.6%	CLE 36.0% MEM 62.8% +26.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	MEM
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	142	126
Rebounds	48	31
Assists	36	32
Steals	12	7
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	11	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (6)	23 (2)
Field Goals	52-89	45-94
At-the-Rim FG	29-39	10-22
Midrange FG	11-18	6-13
2-Point FG	40-57	16-35
3-Point FG	12-32	29-59
Free Throws	26-37	7-10
Fast Break Pts	11	10
2nd Chance Pts	21	15
Points in Paint	76	30
Pts off Turnovers	14	17
Bench Points	43	53
Biggest Lead	17	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg