Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, April 6, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	76ers	26%	111	102	105.2	97	88.2
	3	Spurs	74%	120	115	118.6	97	107.6

Prediction updated: Apr 6, 2026 11:51 PM

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+18

-11

104

SAS

+14

-9

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

0.97 48.6%

SAS

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	40.8	14	50%	8	3	1	1	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	39.6	15	44%	3	8	0	0	4	2	1	2	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	1-4	25%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	39.1	34	61%	12	1	0	4	4	3	5	7	16-19	84%	6-13	46%	2-6	33%
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	38.1	16	47%	4	4	2	0	1	4	0	4	2-4	50%	1-10	10%	4-5	80%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	29.4	5	31%	8	0	1	0	1	5	2	6	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%

Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	22.9	5	36%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Dominick Barlow #25 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 23	16.0	6	75%	8	0	2	0	0	1	5	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	8.6	5	63%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	5.5	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	48	17	7	5	11	21	17	31	24-29	83%	24-57	42%	10-31	32%

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11 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	40.8	14	50%	8	3	1	1	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	39.6	15	44%	3	8	0	0	4	2	1	2	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	1-4	25%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	39.1	34	61%	12	1	0	4	4	3	5	7	16-19	84%	6-13	46%	2-6	33%
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	38.1	16	47%	4	4	2	0	1	4	0	4	2-4	50%	1-10	10%	4-5	80%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	29.4	5	31%	8	0	1	0	1	5	2	6	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%

Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	22.9	5	36%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Dominick Barlow #25 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 23	16.0	6	75%	8	0	2	0	0	1	5	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	8.6	5	63%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	5.5	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	48	17	7	5	11	21	17	31	24-29	83%	24-57	42%	10-31	32%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	30.6	19	59%	10	13	2	0	2	4	0	10	6-6	100%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	30.1	9	50%	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	26.7	7	58%	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	7	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	26.5	13	50%	0	4	2	1	3	2	0	0	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	15.7	17	71%	5	1	0	3	2	2	0	5	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	27.9	17	77%	3	4	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-3	100%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	25.4	13	38%	9	1	2	1	1	1	4	5	4-6	67%	3-9	33%	1-5	20%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	22.5	10	71%	3	1	0	0	0	4	1	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	17.1	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	12.6	5	83%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	4.8	3	75%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	47	31	8	5	9	23	9	38	16-22	73%	33-57	58%	11-32	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

0.97 48.6%

SAS

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

55%

SAS

68%

Midrange

PHI

29%

SAS

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

15.0

32%

48%

SAS

16.5

34%

52%

Free Throws

PHI

83%

SAS

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	34	61%	17.0 / 28
P. George	16	47%	8.0 / 17
T. Maxey	15	44%	7.5 / 17
V. Edgecombe	14	50%	7.0 / 14
D. Barlow	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Oubre	5	31%	2.5 / 8
Q. Grimes	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Drummond	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Edwards	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	19	59%	9.5 / 16
V. Wembanyama	17	71%	8.5 / 12
D. Harper	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Fox	13	50%	6.5 / 13
K. Johnson	13	38%	6.5 / 17
L. Kornet	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Vassell	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Champagnie	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Bryant	5	83%	2.5 / 3
L. Waters	3	75%	1.5 / 2
H. Barnes	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.4 3 118.9	PHI 105.2 SAS 118.6 +13.4
Pace	16 100.3 13 100.5	PHI 88.2 SAS 107.6 +19.4
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.6 18 14.2	PHI 16.3 SAS 13.4 −2.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 7 55.9%	PHI 44.3% SAS 55.6% +11.3%
TO %	6 12.8% 4 12.5%	PHI 10.6% SAS 10.0% −0.6%
ORB %	11 26.2% 10 26.2%	PHI 30.9% +8.4% SAS 22.5%
FTrt	11 27.5 12 27.3	PHI 33.0 +8.3 SAS 24.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.9% 13 64.6%	PHI 50.0% SAS 70.5% +20.5%
STL %	7 9.0% 24 7.5%	PHI 7.2% SAS 8.2% +1.0%
BLK %	3 10.9% 10 10.0%	PHI 8.8% SAS 8.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.9% 6 58.1%	PHI 48.6% SAS 56.4% +7.8%
Rim FG%	27 62.1% 9 65.8%	PHI 55.2% SAS 67.6% +12.4%
Mid FG%	23 41.8% 5 45.1%	PHI 28.6% SAS 40.0% +11.4%
3P %	23 34.9% 15 35.9%	PHI 32.3% SAS 34.4% +2.1%
FT %	4 80.9% 12 78.7%	PHI 82.8% +10.1% SAS 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.0% 7 34.4%	PHI 33.0% SAS 41.6% +8.6%
Mid Att. %	13 25.9% 7 23.4%	PHI 31.8% SAS 22.5% −9.3%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 15 42.2%	PHI 35.2% SAS 36.0% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	SAS
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	26.4	21.6
Points	102	115
Rebounds	48	47
Assists	17	31
Steals	7	8
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	9 (2)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (1)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	38 (2)
Field Goals	34-88	44-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-29	25-37
Midrange FG	8-28	8-20
2-Point FG	24-57	33-57
3-Point FG	10-31	11-32
Free Throws	24-29	16-22
Fast Break Pts	11	22
2nd Chance Pts	18	7
Points in Paint	38	58
Pts off Turnovers	12	20
Bench Points	18	50
Biggest Lead	4	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg