Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Timberwolves	75%	116	124	119.2	104	93.6
	23	Pacers	25%	108	104	101.0	103	115.9

Prediction updated: Apr 7, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+15

-18

101

IND

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.23 61.4%

IND

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	33.4	5	50%	12	3	1	2	2	3	2	10	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Ayo Dosunmu #13 · SF · 6'4" 201 · 26	33.1	24	67%	5	1	3	0	5	2	1	4	3-3	100%	9-12	75%	1-5	20%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	30.7	11	46%	6	4	1	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-10	30%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	27.8	19	59%	2	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	6-6	100%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	20.7	8	67%	2	3	3	0	3	3	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 27	23.8	17	85%	2	1	2	0	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 26	20.7	19	79%	4	7	1	0	0	3	0	4	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	17.7	11	61%	1	0	4	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #12 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33	16.4	6	60%	3	4	1	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	3.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	3.1	2	100%	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #4 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zyon Pullin #15 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 25	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	INACTIVE
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Maintenance
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Patella Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	61%	39	27	16	4	18	22	10	29	15-16	94%	29-48	60%	17-41	41%

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18 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	33.4	5	50%	12	3	1	2	2	3	2	10	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Ayo Dosunmu #13 · SF · 6'4" 201 · 26	33.1	24	67%	5	1	3	0	5	2	1	4	3-3	100%	9-12	75%	1-5	20%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	30.7	11	46%	6	4	1	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-10	30%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	27.8	19	59%	2	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	6-6	100%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	20.7	8	67%	2	3	3	0	3	3	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 27	23.8	17	85%	2	1	2	0	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 26	20.7	19	79%	4	7	1	0	0	3	0	4	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	17.7	11	61%	1	0	4	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #12 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33	16.4	6	60%	3	4	1	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	3.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	3.1	2	100%	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #4 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zyon Pullin #15 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 25	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	INACTIVE
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Maintenance
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Patella Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	61%	39	27	16	4	18	22	10	29	15-16	94%	29-48	60%	17-41	41%

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23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SF · 6'4" 195 · 27	29.6	17	71%	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	8-10	80%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Jarace Walker #5 · SG · 6'7" 235 · 23	28.1	11	42%	6	5	3	0	5	0	0	6	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	25.7	12	67%	4	3	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	24.9	9	45%	1	4	1	0	1	4	0	1	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	16.5	2	50%	5	1	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	34.4	14	88%	2	0	1	1	2	2	0	2	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	1-2	50%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	23.1	9	64%	2	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	22.3	11	69%	3	2	1	0	3	2	0	3	4-6	67%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	22.1	14	47%	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	3	5-5	100%	3-10	30%	1-3	33%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	13.4	5	83%	4	2	3	0	3	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Sprain
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Thoracic & Lumbar Injury Management
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Hamstring; Injury Management
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Cervical; Strain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	58%	34	24	11	1	22	16	5	29	25-31	81%	26-47	55%	9-26	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.23 61.4%

IND

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

68%

IND

61%

Midrange

MIN

47%

IND

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

25.5

41%

62%

IND

13.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

MIN

94%

IND

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Dosunmu	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Randle	19	59%	9.5 / 16
B. Hyland	19	79%	9.5 / 12
N. Reid	17	85%	8.5 / 10
D. DiVincenzo	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Clark	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Conley	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Anderson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Gobert	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Shannon	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Beringer	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Thompson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Slawson	14	88%	7.0 / 8
O. Toppin	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Huff	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Walker	11	42%	5.5 / 13
M. Potter	11	69%	5.5 / 8
Q. Jackson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
K. Jones	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Peter	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Brown	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 28 110.1	MIN 119.2 +18.3 IND 101.0
Pace	9 101.4 10 101.4	MIN 93.6 IND 115.9 +22.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 25 13.9	MIN 15.4 IND 12.4 −3.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 23 53.3%	MIN 61.2% +7.1% IND 54.1%
TO %	18 13.9% 14 13.6%	MIN 17.2% −3.8% IND 21.0%
ORB %	15 25.7% 29 21.7%	MIN 25.6% +10.9% IND 14.7%
FTrt	7 28.5 20 25.2	MIN 18.0 IND 42.5 +24.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 5 67.8%	MIN 58.7% IND 68.6% +9.9%
STL %	13 8.6% 28 7.2%	MIN 15.4% +4.7% IND 10.7%
BLK %	6 10.4% 26 8.1%	MIN 8.5% +6.4% IND 2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 24 55.4%	MIN 61.4% +3.0% IND 58.4%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 25 62.9%	MIN 67.7% +7.2% IND 60.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 19 42.7%	MIN 47.1% +13.8% IND 33.3%
3P %	6 37.0% 18 35.6%	MIN 41.5% +6.9% IND 34.6%
FT %	29 75.2% 17 77.6%	MIN 93.8% +13.2% IND 80.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 23 30.3%	MIN 34.8% IND 52.1% +17.2%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 18 27.5%	MIN 19.1% IND 12.3% −6.8%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 14 42.2%	MIN 46.1% +10.5% IND 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	IND
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	26.7	21.3
Points	124	104
Rebounds	39	34
Assists	27	24
Steals	16	11
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	22 (1)
Fouls	22	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	29 (0)
Field Goals	46-89	35-73
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	23-38
Midrange FG	8-17	3-9
2-Point FG	29-48	26-47
3-Point FG	17-41	9-26
Free Throws	15-16	25-31
Fast Break Pts	13	21
2nd Chance Pts	12	6
Points in Paint	54	50
Pts off Turnovers	34	20
Bench Points	57	53
Biggest Lead	31	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg