Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Jazz	39%	115	137	112.3	122	122.3
	21	Pelicans	61%	119	156	127.9	122	121.7

Prediction updated: Apr 7, 2026 11:02 PM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

106

+13

-16

119

NOP

106

+12

-16

118

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.16 58.1%

NOP

1.32 66.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bez Mbeng #21 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 23	48.0	26	68%	3	3	5	0	2	2	1	2	1-2	50%	11-14	79%	1-4	25%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	34.1	19	50%	4	5	0	0	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	8-12	67%	0-5	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PG · 6'6" 235 · 22	26.3	18	47%	3	4	0	0	3	4	0	3	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	2-8	25%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 26	21.0	12	60%	7	0	2	0	2	4	2	5	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	18.3	9	45%	6	5	0	0	1	4	0	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%

Kennedy Chandler #0 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 24	43.2	31	70%	7	8	2	0	3	0	2	5	7-8	88%	9-15	60%	2-3	67%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	37.8	12	67%	10	10	2	1	1	2	5	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	11.4	10	63%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury Recovery
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	58%	41	38	12	1	16	18	10	31	21-24	88%	43-72	60%	10-32	31%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bez Mbeng #21 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 23	48.0	26	68%	3	3	5	0	2	2	1	2	1-2	50%	11-14	79%	1-4	25%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	34.1	19	50%	4	5	0	0	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	8-12	67%	0-5	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PG · 6'6" 235 · 22	26.3	18	47%	3	4	0	0	3	4	0	3	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	2-8	25%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 26	21.0	12	60%	7	0	2	0	2	4	2	5	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	18.3	9	45%	6	5	0	0	1	4	0	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%

Kennedy Chandler #0 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 24	43.2	31	70%	7	8	2	0	3	0	2	5	7-8	88%	9-15	60%	2-3	67%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	37.8	12	67%	10	10	2	1	1	2	5	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	11.4	10	63%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury Recovery
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	58%	41	38	12	1	16	18	10	31	21-24	88%	43-72	60%	10-32	31%

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21 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	37.8	40	65%	5	6	3	0	2	2	2	3	5-5	100%	16-22	73%	1-7	14%
Derik Queen #22 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 21	37.2	17	71%	12	7	3	2	7	2	1	11	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25	36.0	20	77%	4	2	2	0	3	3	1	3	0-0	-	7-10	70%	2-3	67%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	31.9	34	71%	2	4	1	1	2	3	0	2	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	7-16	44%
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	28.5	7	70%	12	6	2	1	0	2	2	10	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	26.5	9	64%	5	1	0	0	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	23.3	25	78%	6	4	3	1	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	8-11	73%	3-5	60%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	11.1	2	25%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	7.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Contusion
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Fracture
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	156	66%	48	32	15	5	16	18	10	38	20-23	87%	47-72	65%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.16 58.1%

NOP

1.32 66.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

62%

NOP

74%

Midrange

UTA

56%

NOP

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

15.0

31%

47%

NOP

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

UTA

88%

NOP

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Chandler	31	70%	15.5 / 22
B. Mbeng	26	68%	13.0 / 19
C. Williams	19	50%	9.5 / 19
B. Sensabaugh	18	47%	9.0 / 19
O. Tshiebwe	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Konchar	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Hinson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Filipowski	9	45%	4.5 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Fears	40	65%	20.0 / 31
J. Poole	34	71%	17.0 / 24
J. Hawkins	25	78%	12.5 / 16
M. Peavy	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Queen	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Oduro	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Looney	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Alexander	2	25%	1.0 / 4
H. Dickinson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 20 113.3	UTA 112.3 NOP 127.9 +15.6
Pace	2 103.4 11 101.3	UTA 122.3 +0.5 NOP 121.7
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 22 14.1	UTA 11.8 −0.0 NOP 11.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 27 52.7%	UTA 55.8% NOP 64.2% +8.4%
TO %	23 14.4% 11 13.2%	UTA 12.3% −0.5% NOP 12.8%
ORB %	12 26.2% 8 27.0%	UTA 20.8% NOP 24.4% +3.6%
FTrt	10 27.7 8 28.4	UTA 23.1 +1.4 NOP 21.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 26 59.6%	UTA 71.7% +19.2% NOP 52.5%
STL %	14 8.5% 10 8.7%	UTA 9.8% NOP 12.3% +2.5%
BLK %	30 7.5% 7 10.1%	UTA 1.4% NOP 6.9% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 25 55.4%	UTA 58.1% NOP 66.1% +8.0%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 29 61.5%	UTA 61.7% NOP 74.1% +12.4%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 30 36.6%	UTA 56.0% +27.4% NOP 28.6%
3P %	25 34.5% 24 34.7%	UTA 31.3% NOP 41.2% +9.9%
FT %	13 78.6% 14 78.4%	UTA 87.5% +0.5% NOP 87.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 1 42.8%	UTA 45.2% NOP 54.7% +9.5%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 5 21.7%	UTA 24.0% NOP 13.2% −10.8%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 27 35.5%	UTA 30.8% NOP 32.1% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	UTA	NOP
Possessions	122	122
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	137	156
Rebounds	41	48
Assists	38	32
Steals	12	15
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (5)	38 (2)
Field Goals	53-104	61-106
At-the-Rim FG	29-47	43-58
Midrange FG	14-25	4-14
2-Point FG	43-72	47-72
3-Point FG	10-32	14-34
Free Throws	21-24	20-23
Fast Break Pts	22	44
2nd Chance Pts	12	10
Points in Paint	78	90
Pts off Turnovers	23	28
Bench Points	53	38
Biggest Lead	11	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg