Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Kings	18%	107	105	111.7	94	91.6
	17	Warriors	82%	119	110	114.6	96	98.6

Prediction updated: Apr 8, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+16

-14

GSW

+17

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.09 54.7%

GSW

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	35.5	12	38%	6	2	2	0	2	4	2	4	3-4	75%	3-10	30%	1-4	25%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	34.2	13	43%	6	4	0	1	2	0	2	4	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SF · 6'4" 216 · 28	26.4	11	79%	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	26.2	17	57%	7	1	0	0	2	0	2	5	3-3	100%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	20.6	6	50%	3	5	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	31.7	18	60%	4	4	4	0	3	3	0	4	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	28.9	16	57%	4	2	1	1	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-10	40%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	25.9	8	100%	9	2	0	3	0	6	5	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	10.6	4	67%	1	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	41	22	9	6	14	21	13	28	12-17	71%	30-56	54%	11-31	35%

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24 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	35.5	12	38%	6	2	2	0	2	4	2	4	3-4	75%	3-10	30%	1-4	25%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	34.2	13	43%	6	4	0	1	2	0	2	4	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SF · 6'4" 216 · 28	26.4	11	79%	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	26.2	17	57%	7	1	0	0	2	0	2	5	3-3	100%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	20.6	6	50%	3	5	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	31.7	18	60%	4	4	4	0	3	3	0	4	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	28.9	16	57%	4	2	1	1	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-10	40%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	25.9	8	100%	9	2	0	3	0	6	5	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	10.6	4	67%	1	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	41	22	9	6	14	21	13	28	12-17	71%	30-56	54%	11-31	35%

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17 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pat Spencer #61 · SF · 6'2" 205 · 30	40.6	14	41%	2	3	1	0	3	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	3-8	38%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	29.5	20	71%	1	3	1	0	2	2	0	1	6-6	100%	1-5	20%	4-6	67%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	28.7	21	75%	4	5	1	0	1	0	1	3	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	4-6	67%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	27.1	1	13%	6	7	1	1	3	3	0	6	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	21.0	2	20%	5	3	0	2	3	3	3	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	27.2	14	58%	12	0	2	2	0	2	4	8	0-0	-	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	25.0	17	71%	5	2	1	0	3	0	1	4	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	4-11	36%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	24.6	12	75%	4	3	3	0	1	0	3	1	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	16.3	9	75%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Low Back; Soreness
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Surgery
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	39	27	10	5	17	15	13	26	19-24	79%	20-44	45%	17-38	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.09 54.7%

GSW

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

56%

GSW

52%

Midrange

SAC

52%

GSW

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

16.5

35%

53%

GSW

25.5

45%

67%

Free Throws

SAC

71%

GSW

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Hayes	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Raynaud	17	57%	8.5 / 15
D. McDermott	16	57%	8.0 / 14
P. Achiuwa	13	43%	6.5 / 15
N. Clifford	12	38%	6.0 / 16
D. Plowden	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Cardwell	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Carter	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Monk	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Melton	21	75%	10.5 / 14
B. Podziemski	20	71%	10.0 / 14
S. Curry	17	71%	8.5 / 12
P. Spencer	14	41%	7.0 / 17
C. Bassey	14	58%	7.0 / 12
G. Payton	12	75%	6.0 / 8
S. Curry	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Leons	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Green	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 19 114.0	SAC 111.7 GSW 114.6 +2.9
Pace	17 100.0 18 99.9	SAC 91.6 GSW 98.6 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 10 14.7	SAC 15.7 GSW 14.6 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 13 55.0%	SAC 53.4% GSW 55.5% +2.1%
TO %	15 13.7% 28 14.9%	SAC 13.7% −1.8% GSW 15.5%
ORB %	13 25.9% 14 25.8%	SAC 33.3% +1.6% GSW 31.7%
FTrt	19 25.6 24 23.8	SAC 19.5 GSW 29.3 +9.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 1 70.6%	SAC 53.7% GSW 73.0% +19.3%
STL %	21 8.0% 3 9.6%	SAC 9.6% GSW 10.4% +0.8%
BLK %	19 8.6% 27 8.0%	SAC 13.6% +4.7% GSW 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 11 57.1%	SAC 54.7% GSW 57.3% +2.6%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 5 66.7%	SAC 55.6% +3.6% GSW 52.0%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 22 42.1%	SAC 51.7% +14.9% GSW 36.8%
3P %	29 34.1% 20 35.6%	SAC 35.5% GSW 44.7% +9.2%
FT %	21 77.2% 6 80.7%	SAC 70.6% GSW 79.2% +8.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 24 29.5%	SAC 31.0% +0.5% GSW 30.5%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 3 20.8%	SAC 33.3% GSW 23.2% −10.2%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 1 49.7%	SAC 35.6% GSW 46.3% +10.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	GSW
Possessions	94	96
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	105	110
Rebounds	41	39
Assists	22	27
Steals	9	10
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	21	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	26 (6)
Field Goals	41-87	37-82
At-the-Rim FG	15-27	13-25
Midrange FG	15-29	7-19
2-Point FG	30-56	20-44
3-Point FG	11-31	17-38
Free Throws	12-17	19-24
Fast Break Pts	10	6
2nd Chance Pts	15	22
Points in Paint	56	36
Pts off Turnovers	22	19
Bench Points	46	52
Biggest Lead	3	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg