Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Mavericks	21%	108	103	97.2	106	107.1
	12	Clippers	79%	118	116	109.4	106	104.9

Prediction updated: Apr 8, 2026 02:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+19

-8

117

LAC

+15

-14

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.88 44.0%

LAC

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	33.9	25	45%	9	2	0	1	1	2	3	6	6-6	100%	8-22	36%	1-3	33%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	28.9	12	46%	5	1	1	0	1	0	0	5	10-10	100%	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	19.9	6	30%	2	0	3	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	19.6	2	20%	2	3	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	19.5	4	100%	8	1	0	0	1	4	4	4	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	26.3	11	31%	3	2	0	3	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-10	10%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	26.1	21	81%	9	1	1	2	0	2	4	5	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	1-1	100%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	24.6	12	50%	6	7	2	0	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	18.5	3	25%	6	0	1	1	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	17.6	6	75%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	5.3	1	17%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Soreness
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Impingement
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	44%	54	18	9	7	8	20	15	39	27-28	96%	29-67	43%	6-33	18%

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20 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	33.9	25	45%	9	2	0	1	1	2	3	6	6-6	100%	8-22	36%	1-3	33%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	28.9	12	46%	5	1	1	0	1	0	0	5	10-10	100%	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	19.9	6	30%	2	0	3	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	19.6	2	20%	2	3	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	19.5	4	100%	8	1	0	0	1	4	4	4	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	26.3	11	31%	3	2	0	3	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-10	10%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	26.1	21	81%	9	1	1	2	0	2	4	5	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	1-1	100%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	24.6	12	50%	6	7	2	0	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	18.5	3	25%	6	0	1	1	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	17.6	6	75%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	5.3	1	17%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Soreness
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Impingement
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	44%	54	18	9	7	8	20	15	39	27-28	96%	29-67	43%	6-33	18%

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12 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	30.1	34	74%	4	3	1	0	3	0	1	3	6-9	67%	5-9	56%	6-10	60%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	28.4	22	58%	1	4	1	1	2	4	0	1	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	27.2	2	25%	7	3	2	0	2	1	0	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	25.3	9	56%	11	3	0	4	1	3	3	8	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	23.5	11	50%	10	2	0	1	0	3	5	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%

John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 29	27.9	12	50%	7	1	0	2	3	0	2	5	1-4	25%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	27.1	9	38%	6	3	1	0	3	1	0	6	7-8	88%	1-6	17%	0-2	0%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	24.4	11	69%	5	2	1	1	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	16.2	4	100%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	2.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	54%	56	23	6	9	14	18	12	44	20-28	71%	27-55	49%	14-37	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.88 44.0%

LAC

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

52%

LAC

48%

Midrange

DAL

37%

LAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

9.0

18%

27%

LAC

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

DAL

96%

LAC

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	25	45%	12.5 / 28
M. Bagley	21	81%	10.5 / 13
M. Christie	12	46%	6.0 / 13
R. Nembhard	12	50%	6.0 / 12
K. Thompson	11	31%	5.5 / 18
N. Marshall	6	30%	3.0 / 10
T. Smith	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Powell	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Poulakidas	3	25%	1.5 / 6
K. Middleton	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Johnson	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	34	74%	17.0 / 23
D. Garland	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Collins	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Jones	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Sanders	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Lopez	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Mathurin	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Miller	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Dunn	2	25%	1.0 / 4
N. Omier	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 1
S. Pedulla	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 11 116.4	DAL 97.2 LAC 109.4 +12.3
Pace	6 102.5 28 97.3	DAL 107.1 +2.2 LAC 104.9
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 5 15.0	DAL 13.4 −0.3 LAC 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 8 55.9%	DAL 38.0% LAC 52.2% +14.2%
TO %	13 13.5% 17 13.9%	DAL 7.4% −5.2% LAC 12.6%
ORB %	26 23.2% 23 23.7%	DAL 25.4% +1.9% LAC 23.5%
FTrt	6 28.7 3 29.5	DAL 28.0 LAC 30.4 +2.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 29 58.6%	DAL 51.4% LAC 56.1% +4.7%
STL %	27 7.3% 5 9.2%	DAL 8.5% +2.8% LAC 5.7%
BLK %	16 9.0% 13 9.5%	DAL 12.7% LAC 13.4% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 3 58.7%	DAL 44.0% LAC 54.2% +10.2%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 3 67.1%	DAL 51.7% +3.3% LAC 48.4%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 10 44.2%	DAL 36.8% LAC 50.0% +13.2%
3P %	26 34.4% 7 36.8%	DAL 18.2% LAC 37.8% +19.6%
FT %	28 75.5% 1 82.3%	DAL 96.4% +25.0% LAC 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 15 31.6%	DAL 29.0% LAC 33.7% +4.7%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 20 27.9%	DAL 38.0% LAC 26.1% −11.9%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 19 40.4%	DAL 33.0% LAC 40.2% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	LAC
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	103	116
Rebounds	54	56
Assists	18	23
Steals	9	6
Blocks	7	9
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (3)	44 (2)
Field Goals	35-100	41-92
At-the-Rim FG	15-29	15-31
Midrange FG	14-38	12-24
2-Point FG	29-67	27-55
3-Point FG	6-33	14-37
Free Throws	27-28	20-28
Fast Break Pts	23	27
2nd Chance Pts	19	11
Points in Paint	44	52
Pts off Turnovers	17	8
Bench Points	54	38
Biggest Lead	3	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg