Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Grizzlies	5%	107	119	119.0	100	98.7
	3	Nuggets	95%	128	136	136.0	100	101.3

Prediction updated: Apr 9, 2026 01:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+10

-6

104

DEN

+13

-12

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.14 57.2%

DEN

1.37 68.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SF · 6'4" 203 · 23	32.8	9	35%	3	7	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Toby Okani #5 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	32.8	15	63%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · C · 6'9" 215 · 22	21.9	16	89%	6	1	1	1	1	3	2	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	21.9	15	68%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	21.9	27	71%	6	2	1	0	0	2	1	5	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	3-7	43%

Adama Bal #72 · NA · 6'7" 190 · 22	38.8	12	50%	6	5	2	0	1	1	2	4	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Lucas Williamson #55 · NA · 6'4" 205 · 27	36.6	16	67%	6	1	0	0	2	4	3	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Dariq Whitehead #00 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	28.3	7	32%	7	3	0	0	0	5	1	6	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-10	20%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	5.0	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	38	24	5	1	6	20	10	28	16-23	70%	23-42	55%	19-50	38%

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30 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SF · 6'4" 203 · 23	32.8	9	35%	3	7	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Toby Okani #5 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	32.8	15	63%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · C · 6'9" 215 · 22	21.9	16	89%	6	1	1	1	1	3	2	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	21.9	15	68%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	21.9	27	71%	6	2	1	0	0	2	1	5	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	3-7	43%

Adama Bal #72 · NA · 6'7" 190 · 22	38.8	12	50%	6	5	2	0	1	1	2	4	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Lucas Williamson #55 · NA · 6'4" 205 · 27	36.6	16	67%	6	1	0	0	2	4	3	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Dariq Whitehead #00 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	28.3	7	32%	7	3	0	0	0	5	1	6	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-10	20%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	5.0	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	38	24	5	1	6	20	10	28	16-23	70%	23-42	55%	19-50	38%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	34.8	26	68%	7	5	0	0	3	0	0	7	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	5-10	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	31.0	14	70%	15	10	2	0	2	0	4	11	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	29.7	18	75%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	26.6	14	70%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-1	0%	7-8	88%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	22.3	6	43%	2	6	0	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	26.1	13	72%	7	2	2	1	1	4	1	6	3-5	60%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	19.5	13	65%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-8	38%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	14.8	10	83%	2	1	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	12.8	14	117%	4	0	0	2	3	5	1	3	2-3	67%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	6.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	5.9	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	3.2	3	75%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	INACTIVE
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	69%	52	31	6	5	12	20	9	43	16-21	76%	39-54	72%	14-36	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.14 57.2%

DEN

1.37 68.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

74%

DEN

80%

Midrange

MEM

39%

DEN

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

28.5

38%

57%

DEN

21.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

MEM

70%

DEN

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Coward	27	71%	13.5 / 19
T. Hendricks	16	89%	8.0 / 9
L. Williamson	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Okani	15	63%	7.5 / 12
W. Clayton	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Bal	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. Mashack	9	35%	4.5 / 13
D. Whitehead	7	32%	3.5 / 11
T. Gibson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	26	68%	13.0 / 19
C. Johnson	18	75%	9.0 / 12
N. Jokić	14	70%	7.0 / 10
C. Braun	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Valančiūnas	14	117%	7.0 / 6
B. Brown	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Hardaway	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Strawther	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Gordon	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Pickett	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Holmes	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Simpson	0	-	0.0 / 1
C. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 1 121.3	MEM 119.0 DEN 136.0 +17.0
Pace	7 101.8 19 99.4	MEM 98.7 DEN 101.3 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 9 14.7	MEM 14.6 DEN 14.2 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 1 57.7%	MEM 56.0% DEN 66.7% +10.7%
TO %	22 14.3% 3 12.1%	MEM 5.5% −5.3% DEN 10.8%
ORB %	19 24.7% 24 23.6%	MEM 18.9% DEN 24.3% +5.4%
FTrt	21 25.1 4 29.4	MEM 25.0 +1.7 DEN 23.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 9 66.5%	MEM 57.1% DEN 58.5% +1.4%
STL %	11 8.7% 30 6.8%	MEM 5.0% DEN 6.0% +1.0%
BLK %	14 9.1% 29 7.6%	MEM 1.9% DEN 11.9% +10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 1 60.1%	MEM 57.2% DEN 68.7% +11.5%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 12 65.1%	MEM 73.7% DEN 80.0% +6.3%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 2 47.0%	MEM 39.1% DEN 57.9% +18.8%
3P %	22 35.3% 1 39.6%	MEM 38.0% DEN 38.9% +0.9%
FT %	9 79.3% 5 80.8%	MEM 69.6% DEN 76.2% +6.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 19 31.1%	MEM 20.7% DEN 38.9% +18.2%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 21 28.1%	MEM 25.0% DEN 21.1% −3.9%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 17 40.8%	MEM 54.3% +14.3% DEN 40.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	MEM	DEN
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	119	136
Rebounds	38	52
Assists	24	31
Steals	5	6
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	20	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (0)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	43 (2)
Field Goals	42-92	53-90
At-the-Rim FG	14-19	28-35
Midrange FG	9-23	11-19
2-Point FG	23-42	39-54
3-Point FG	19-50	14-36
Free Throws	16-23	16-21
Fast Break Pts	7	19
2nd Chance Pts	10	15
Points in Paint	44	66
Pts off Turnovers	15	11
Bench Points	37	58
Biggest Lead	8	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg