Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 10, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Mavericks	9%	105	120	121.2	99	98.1
	2	Spurs	91%	123	139	139.0	100	100.9

Prediction updated: Apr 10, 2026 11:18 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+15

-7

107

SAS

+17

-10

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.12 56.1%

SAS

1.30 65.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	32.1	33	63%	6	5	0	0	2	1	1	5	4-4	100%	10-18	56%	3-7	43%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	31.2	16	62%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	4-7	57%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	30.8	13	46%	1	7	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	25.4	14	78%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 27	8.2	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	29.6	12	55%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-10	40%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	24.8	4	50%	11	5	2	1	3	5	5	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	19.7	13	59%	1	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	19.5	7	44%	8	0	2	3	0	3	5	3	1-5	20%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	18.8	6	50%	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-4	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 28	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	56%	35	26	7	6	7	19	14	21	15-19	79%	30-58	52%	15-40	38%

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22 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	32.1	33	63%	6	5	0	0	2	1	1	5	4-4	100%	10-18	56%	3-7	43%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	31.2	16	62%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	4-7	57%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	30.8	13	46%	1	7	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	25.4	14	78%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 27	8.2	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	29.6	12	55%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-10	40%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	24.8	4	50%	11	5	2	1	3	5	5	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	19.7	13	59%	1	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	19.5	7	44%	8	0	2	3	0	3	5	3	1-5	20%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	18.8	6	50%	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-4	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 28	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	56%	35	26	7	6	7	19	14	21	15-19	79%	30-58	52%	15-40	38%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	27.5	18	60%	1	10	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	27.4	5	36%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	26.8	14	78%	7	1	1	2	0	2	2	5	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	26.2	40	71%	13	5	1	2	2	0	3	10	10-11	91%	12-16	75%	2-7	29%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	25.6	13	59%	4	6	0	1	2	3	1	3	5-5	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	28.1	15	83%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	25.4	12	120%	4	2	0	1	2	3	1	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	23.5	17	57%	6	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	18.2	2	50%	7	1	1	0	1	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	5.6	3	75%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	5.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	65%	48	30	4	6	10	15	13	35	26-27	96%	37-60	62%	13-32	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.12 56.1%

SAS

1.30 65.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

53%

SAS

68%

Midrange

DAL

50%

SAS

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

22.5

38%

56%

SAS

19.5

41%

61%

Free Throws

DAL

79%

SAS

96%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	33	63%	16.5 / 26
M. Christie	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Middleton	14	78%	7.0 / 9
R. Nembhard	13	46%	6.5 / 14
A. Johnson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Poulakidas	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Cisse	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Smith	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Powell	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Bagley	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	40	71%	20.0 / 28
D. Fox	18	60%	9.0 / 15
K. Johnson	17	57%	8.5 / 15
H. Barnes	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Champagnie	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Harper	13	59%	6.5 / 11
C. Bryant	12	120%	6.0 / 5
D. Vassell	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. McLaughlin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
L. Kornet	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 3 118.9	DAL 121.2 SAS 139.0 +17.8
Pace	6 102.5 13 100.5	DAL 98.1 SAS 100.9 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 18 14.2	DAL 14.7 SAS 14.3 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 7 55.9%	DAL 53.6% SAS 61.4% +7.8%
TO %	13 13.5% 4 12.5%	DAL 6.2% −3.4% SAS 9.6%
ORB %	26 23.2% 10 26.2%	DAL 28.6% SAS 38.2% +9.6%
FTrt	6 28.7 12 27.3	DAL 19.4 SAS 29.3 +9.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 13 64.6%	DAL 57.8% SAS 60.0% +2.2%
STL %	27 7.3% 24 7.5%	DAL 7.1% +3.1% SAS 4.0%
BLK %	16 9.0% 10 10.0%	DAL 10.0% SAS 10.3% +0.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 6 58.1%	DAL 56.1% SAS 65.0% +8.9%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 9 65.8%	DAL 53.3% SAS 68.3% +15.0%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 5 45.1%	DAL 50.0% +2.6% SAS 47.4%
3P %	26 34.4% 15 35.9%	DAL 37.5% SAS 40.6% +3.1%
FT %	28 75.5% 12 78.7%	DAL 78.9% SAS 96.3% +17.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 7 34.4%	DAL 30.6% SAS 44.6% +14.0%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 7 23.4%	DAL 28.6% SAS 20.7% −7.9%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 15 42.2%	DAL 40.8% +6.0% SAS 34.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	SAS
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	120	139
Rebounds	35	48
Assists	26	30
Steals	7	4
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (4)	35 (5)
Field Goals	45-98	50-92
At-the-Rim FG	16-30	28-41
Midrange FG	14-28	9-19
2-Point FG	30-58	37-60
3-Point FG	15-40	13-32
Free Throws	15-19	26-27
Fast Break Pts	12	8
2nd Chance Pts	14	18
Points in Paint	42	72
Pts off Turnovers	12	4
Bench Points	42	49
Biggest Lead	2	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg