Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 10, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Warriors	68%	116	118	115.7	102	107.3
	23	Kings	32%	110	124	121.6	102	97.2

Prediction updated: Apr 11, 2026 02:03 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

-16

SAC

+18

-16

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.26 62.8%

SAC

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	32.2	30	79%	3	1	1	0	2	2	0	3	9-10	90%	6-7	86%	3-8	38%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	27.3	11	61%	3	5	2	0	3	0	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	26.9	7	35%	3	6	2	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	25.9	11	42%	7	2	1	1	4	2	1	6	2-3	67%	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.6	7	117%	4	6	1	0	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	28.0	17	77%	4	3	1	0	2	2	0	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	15.2	10	83%	3	0	2	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	15.0	6	60%	4	1	0	1	0	3	1	3	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	13.9	2	33%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	11.8	7	88%	2	0	2	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	2.5	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor Injury Management
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Coaches Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Surgery
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	63%	36	30	12	4	16	22	6	30	26-28	93%	25-45	56%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	32.2	30	79%	3	1	1	0	2	2	0	3	9-10	90%	6-7	86%	3-8	38%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	27.3	11	61%	3	5	2	0	3	0	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	26.9	7	35%	3	6	2	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	25.9	11	42%	7	2	1	1	4	2	1	6	2-3	67%	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.6	7	117%	4	6	1	0	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	28.0	17	77%	4	3	1	0	2	2	0	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	15.2	10	83%	3	0	2	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	15.0	6	60%	4	1	0	1	0	3	1	3	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	13.9	2	33%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	11.8	7	88%	2	0	2	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	2.5	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor Injury Management
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Coaches Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Surgery
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	63%	36	30	12	4	16	22	6	30	26-28	93%	25-45	56%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	39.1	23	88%	9	4	1	0	3	3	1	8	3-5	60%	7-8	88%	2-4	50%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	37.9	20	56%	6	6	0	0	4	3	1	5	8-9	89%	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SF · 6'4" 216 · 28	37.1	20	59%	9	3	2	0	2	2	4	5	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	3-9	33%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	34.6	29	76%	9	4	2	1	4	2	4	5	1-4	25%	5-7	71%	6-11	55%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	24.9	5	25%	6	4	2	1	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%

Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	23.6	7	50%	7	1	2	2	0	5	5	2	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	19.1	6	50%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	6-6	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	14.0	3	25%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	9.8	11	92%	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb UCL Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	49	25	10	6	16	21	16	33	25-34	74%	24-45	53%	17-44	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.26 62.8%

SAC

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

78%

SAC

75%

Midrange

GSW

41%

SAC

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

21.0

39%

58%

SAC

25.5

39%

58%

Free Throws

GSW

93%

SAC

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Podziemski	30	79%	15.0 / 19
D. Melton	17	77%	8.5 / 11
S. Curry	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Porziņģis	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Horford	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Payton	10	83%	5.0 / 6
G. Santos	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Green	7	117%	3.5 / 3
M. Leons	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Bassey	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Spencer	2	33%	1.0 / 3
W. Richard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Carter	29	76%	14.5 / 19
M. Raynaud	23	88%	11.5 / 13
N. Clifford	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. Plowden	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Monk	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Cardwell	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Hayes	6	50%	3.0 / 6
P. Achiuwa	5	25%	2.5 / 10
D. McDermott	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 26 110.6	GSW 115.7 SAC 121.6 +5.9
Pace	18 99.9 17 100.0	GSW 107.3 +10.1 SAC 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 14 14.5	GSW 13.4 −1.4 SAC 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 29 52.5%	GSW 56.8% +1.2% SAC 55.6%
TO %	28 14.9% 15 13.7%	GSW 14.6% SAC 13.3% −1.3%
ORB %	14 25.8% 13 25.9%	GSW 15.4% SAC 34.8% +19.4%
FTrt	24 23.8 19 25.6	GSW 34.6 SAC 38.2 +3.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 20 61.5%	GSW 76.9% +15.9% SAC 61.0%
STL %	3 9.6% 21 8.0%	GSW 11.8% +2.0% SAC 9.8%
BLK %	27 8.0% 19 8.6%	GSW 8.9% SAC 13.3% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 29 54.7%	GSW 62.8% +3.2% SAC 59.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 8 65.9%	GSW 77.8% +2.8% SAC 75.0%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 13 43.8%	GSW 40.7% SAC 45.5% +4.8%
3P %	20 35.6% 29 34.1%	GSW 38.9% +0.3% SAC 38.6%
FT %	6 80.7% 21 77.2%	GSW 92.9% +19.4% SAC 73.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 28 28.0%	GSW 22.2% +8.7% SAC 13.5%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 30 38.1%	GSW 33.3% −3.7% SAC 37.1%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 30 33.9%	GSW 44.4% SAC 49.4% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	GSW	SAC
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	118	124
Rebounds	36	49
Assists	30	25
Steals	12	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	33 (1)
Field Goals	39-81	41-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-18	9-12
Midrange FG	11-27	15-33
2-Point FG	25-45	24-45
3-Point FG	14-36	17-44
Free Throws	26-28	25-34
Fast Break Pts	12	12
2nd Chance Pts	11	21
Points in Paint	44	42
Pts off Turnovers	14	19
Bench Points	52	27
Biggest Lead	11	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg