Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 12, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Pistons	84%	117	133	129.1	103	96.6
	20	Pacers	16%	104	121	115.2	105	112.5

Prediction updated: Apr 12, 2026 10:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+15

-17

101

IND

+12

-16

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.30 65.2%

IND

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	21.8	24	92%	4	1	3	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	4-4	100%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 25	21.8	7	29%	8	14	0	0	4	0	1	7	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	21.7	9	90%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	21.7	26	100%	6	3	3	3	0	1	2	4	4-4	100%	11-11	100%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	21.7	7	70%	5	4	1	1	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	20.4	3	30%	5	2	0	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	20.4	15	68%	2	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	19.1	2	14%	5	4	1	0	4	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	16.7	16	89%	5	0	0	1	2	3	2	3	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	14.3	6	60%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	11.9	6	100%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	9.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	7.0	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	5.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	5.9	5	63%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	65%	48	35	12	6	17	17	12	36	18-22	82%	35-56	63%	15-33	45%

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2 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	21.8	24	92%	4	1	3	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	4-4	100%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 25	21.8	7	29%	8	14	0	0	4	0	1	7	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	21.7	9	90%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	21.7	26	100%	6	3	3	3	0	1	2	4	4-4	100%	11-11	100%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	21.7	7	70%	5	4	1	1	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	20.4	3	30%	5	2	0	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	20.4	15	68%	2	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	19.1	2	14%	5	4	1	0	4	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	16.7	16	89%	5	0	0	1	2	3	2	3	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	14.3	6	60%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	11.9	6	100%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	9.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	7.0	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	5.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	5.9	5	63%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	65%	48	35	12	6	17	17	12	36	18-22	82%	35-56	63%	15-33	45%

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20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	38.3	18	53%	3	6	1	0	3	2	2	1	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	3-8	38%
Kobe Brown #24 · SF · 6'7" 250 · 26	34.5	20	71%	7	2	2	0	2	1	2	5	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	34.3	15	58%	11	2	2	0	4	2	2	9	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-10	30%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	29.7	21	58%	0	8	3	0	1	1	0	0	6-6	100%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Jalen Slawson #18 · PF · 6'7" 215 · 26	27.1	2	33%	2	4	5	1	0	3	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	23.9	13	72%	3	3	1	5	3	6	1	2	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	20.0	8	57%	1	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	18.1	21	88%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	7-11	64%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	14.1	3	25%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Hamstring; Injury Management
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Sprain
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Cervical; Strain
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Thoracic and Lumbar Injury Management
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	60%	31	31	15	6	16	17	8	23	16-20	80%	18-36	50%	23-54	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	IND
Clock	Team	Event	DET	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.30 65.2%

IND

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

79%

IND

67%

Midrange

DET

28%

IND

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

22.5

45%

68%

IND

34.5

43%

64%

Free Throws

DET

82%

IND

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Reed	26	100%	13.0 / 13
T. Harris	24	92%	12.0 / 13
I. Stewart	16	89%	8.0 / 9
K. Huerter	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. Robinson	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Cunningham	7	29%	3.5 / 12
A. Thompson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. LeVert	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Green	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Smith	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Holland	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Sasser	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Jenkins	2	14%	1.0 / 7
I. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Lanier	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Q. Jackson	21	58%	10.5 / 18
O. Toppin	21	88%	10.5 / 12
K. Brown	20	71%	10.0 / 14
E. Thompson	18	53%	9.0 / 17
M. Potter	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Huff	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Jones	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Peter	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Slawson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 117.4 28 110.1	DET 129.1 +13.9 IND 115.2
Pace	20 99.3 10 101.4	DET 96.5 IND 112.5 +16.0
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.5 25 13.9	DET 14.9 IND 12.8 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.7% 23 53.3%	DET 64.6% +6.3% IND 58.3%
TO %	21 14.1% 14 13.6%	DET 15.4% IND 13.9% −1.5%
ORB %	3 30.9% 29 21.7%	DET 34.3% +16.1% IND 18.2%
FTrt	5 29.2 20 25.2	DET 24.7 +2.5 IND 22.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 64.1% 5 67.8%	DET 70.0% IND 75.6% +5.6%
STL %	1 10.4% 28 7.2%	DET 11.7% IND 14.3% +2.6%
BLK %	1 13.2% 26 8.1%	DET 16.7% +6.0% IND 10.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.0% 24 55.4%	DET 65.2% +5.3% IND 59.9%
Rim FG%	16 64.7% 25 62.9%	DET 78.9% +12.2% IND 66.7%
Mid FG%	27 40.5% 19 42.7%	DET 27.8% +27.8% IND 0.0%
3P %	17 35.6% 18 35.6%	DET 45.5% +2.9% IND 42.6%
FT %	27 76.3% 17 77.6%	DET 81.8% +1.8% IND 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.1% 23 30.3%	DET 42.7% +12.7% IND 30.0%
Mid Att. %	11 25.3% 18 27.5%	DET 20.2% IND 10.0% −10.2%
3P Att. %	29 34.5% 14 42.2%	DET 37.1% IND 60.0% +22.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	DET	IND
Possessions	103	105
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	133	121
Rebounds	48	31
Assists	35	31
Steals	12	15
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	23 (2)
Field Goals	50-89	41-90
At-the-Rim FG	30-38	18-27
Midrange FG	5-18	0-9
2-Point FG	35-56	18-36
3-Point FG	15-33	23-54
Free Throws	18-22	16-20
Fast Break Pts	25	23
2nd Chance Pts	16	19
Points in Paint	62	36
Pts off Turnovers	23	33
Bench Points	60	45
Biggest Lead	27	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg