Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 12, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Bulls	40%	113	128	113.3	113	121.3
	17	Mavericks	60%	116	149	134.2	111	103.9

Prediction updated: Apr 13, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

100

+17

-13

117

DAL

+19

-18

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.10 55.2%

DAL

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Williams #44 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 25	35.6	13	43%	4	5	3	1	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-9	22%
Leonard Miller #11 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22	34.6	17	65%	7	2	0	1	3	3	2	5	0-1	0%	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	30.6	10	63%	15	10	2	0	1	2	7	8	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	28.4	19	59%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	1-1	100%
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	19.4	6	27%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-3	0%

Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	29.9	25	63%	5	5	2	0	5	2	0	5	2-4	50%	10-13	77%	1-5	20%
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 28	28.7	11	55%	3	4	2	1	2	2	2	1	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	18.0	13	93%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	14.8	14	54%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadricep; Contusion
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain; Injury Management
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain; Left Elbow Sprain
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	55%	42	30	12	3	13	20	13	29	14-19	74%	42-68	62%	10-38	26%

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23 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Williams #44 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 25	35.6	13	43%	4	5	3	1	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-9	22%
Leonard Miller #11 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22	34.6	17	65%	7	2	0	1	3	3	2	5	0-1	0%	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	30.6	10	63%	15	10	2	0	1	2	7	8	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	28.4	19	59%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	1-1	100%
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	19.4	6	27%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-3	0%

Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	29.9	25	63%	5	5	2	0	5	2	0	5	2-4	50%	10-13	77%	1-5	20%
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 28	28.7	11	55%	3	4	2	1	2	2	2	1	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	18.0	13	93%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	14.8	14	54%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadricep; Contusion
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain; Injury Management
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain; Left Elbow Sprain
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	55%	42	30	12	3	13	20	13	29	14-19	74%	42-68	62%	10-38	26%

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17 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	38.3	15	63%	9	23	2	0	4	2	2	7	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	24.4	7	88%	12	2	1	0	0	4	2	10	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	12.5	12	86%	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	10.0	10	56%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	5.7	8	100%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%

Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	40.8	17	50%	20	1	2	2	3	4	10	10	5-6	83%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	37.0	20	77%	7	0	2	0	3	5	1	6	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	4-9	44%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	36.0	28	74%	2	4	1	1	1	3	0	2	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	8-16	50%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	25.1	20	63%	1	1	0	0	5	5	0	1	8-9	89%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	10.1	12	60%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-9	44%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Impingement
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 28	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	149	67%	57	35	10	5	18	24	16	41	23-27	85%	30-51	59%	22-49	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.10 55.2%

DAL

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

73%

DAL

65%

Midrange

CHI

42%

DAL

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

15.0

26%

39%

DAL

33.0

45%

67%

Free Throws

CHI

74%

DAL

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Dillingham	25	63%	12.5 / 20
C. Sexton	19	59%	9.5 / 16
L. Miller	17	65%	8.5 / 13
Y. Kawamura	14	54%	7.0 / 13
P. Williams	13	43%	6.5 / 15
M. McClung	13	93%	6.5 / 7
M. Gueye	11	55%	5.5 / 10
L. Olbrich	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Jones	6	27%	3.0 / 11

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poulakidas	28	74%	14.0 / 19
T. Smith	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Johnson	20	63%	10.0 / 16
M. Cisse	17	50%	8.5 / 17
R. Nembhard	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Christie	12	86%	6.0 / 7
K. Thompson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Flagg	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Middleton	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Powell	7	88%	3.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.2 27 110.4	CHI 113.3 DAL 134.2 +21.0
Pace	3 103.3 6 102.5	CHI 121.3 +17.4 DAL 103.9
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.6 24 14.0	CHI 11.9 −2.0 DAL 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.7% 28 52.7%	CHI 53.8% DAL 63.0% +9.2%
TO %	20 14.1% 13 13.5%	CHI 10.2% −3.7% DAL 13.9%
ORB %	27 23.1% 26 23.2%	CHI 24.1% DAL 35.6% +11.5%
FTrt	22 24.6 6 28.7	CHI 17.9 DAL 27.0 +9.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 22 60.4%	CHI 57.7% DAL 67.3% +9.6%
STL %	26 7.4% 27 7.3%	CHI 10.6% +1.6% DAL 9.0%
BLK %	15 9.0% 16 9.0%	CHI 5.9% DAL 7.4% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 28 55.2%	CHI 55.2% DAL 66.5% +11.3%
Rim FG%	30 61.4% 22 63.2%	CHI 72.7% +7.8% DAL 64.9%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 18 43.1%	CHI 41.7% DAL 42.9% +1.2%
3P %	19 35.6% 26 34.4%	CHI 26.3% DAL 44.9% +18.6%
FT %	18 77.6% 28 75.5%	CHI 73.7% DAL 85.2% +11.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.2% 12 32.8%	CHI 41.5% +4.5% DAL 37.0%
Mid Att. %	1 17.5% 28 31.7%	CHI 22.6% DAL 14.0% −8.6%
3P Att. %	8 44.3% 26 35.5%	CHI 35.8% DAL 49.0% +13.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	CHI	DAL
Possessions	113	111
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	128	149
Rebounds	42	57
Assists	30	35
Steals	12	10
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	20	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (4)	41 (1)
Field Goals	52-106	52-100
At-the-Rim FG	32-44	24-37
Midrange FG	10-24	6-14
2-Point FG	42-68	30-51
3-Point FG	10-38	22-49
Free Throws	14-19	23-27
Fast Break Pts	19	24
2nd Chance Pts	15	26
Points in Paint	78	56
Pts off Turnovers	19	11
Bench Points	63	97
Biggest Lead	2	34

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg